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Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
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Oct 21 • 3 tweets • 2 min read
Russian MoD, MIA & FSB are toughening RUS migration policy. Among other things, migrants from now on will be held in special "camps" before being "filtrated" and checked on the fact of cooperation w/ "Western" intelligence services. ImageImage
This is a reaction to a deadly shooting at a Russian military training facility in the western Belgorod region (eurasianet.org/russian-army-s…). Needless to say, this will mostly affect migrants from Central Asia.
Link to the source: t.me/oooromanova/14…

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More from @TUmarov

Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Oct 15
Rahmon's emotional speech at 'RUS+CA' summit is interpreted as a step back to USSR. Many claims that by saying "don't treat us like USSR" Rahmon means "treat us like USSR but better"

I don't agree w/ these takes and here's why. 🧵on the future of RUS in CA Image
I might not be experienced enough, as Mr. @k_sonin claims. But I doubt that Sovietness of the speech tells us anything more than Rahmon being a living relict of the USSR. He's the last leader in CA who's clinging to power since then & it's obvious not to expect anth new from him. Image
I agree w/ @mirzokhid and @jmurtazashvili that Rahmon wants more attention from Moscow. But I see different reasoning behind this speech.

Read 15 tweets
Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Oct 14
Putin didn't mention Ukraine or the "conflict" at the Russia-Central Asia summit in Astana.
The reason is obvious: no Central Asian country would publicly support Moscow in its aggression. Receiving silence from its "allies" would have been a huge reputational blow for Putin.
The main goal for Russia in Central Asia amidst the war in Ukraine is to secure its position in Central Asia, not to lose the influence Moscow already has in the region. That's why Putin focused on:
- trade & investment
- Afghanistan
- energy
- logistics
- integration
However, it's a big question whether Central Asian states are on the same page with Russia at all. Even before the war in Ukraine, economic ties between Russia and Central Asia were not booming. Today, Moscow can only offer its allies w/ a one-way ticket to mutual isolation.
Read 4 tweets
Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Sep 22
What does Putin’s partial military mobilization mean for Central Asian migrants in Russia?

A mini-thread 🧵
According to the official data, there are almost 7 mln migrants in Russia. More than 80% of them are from Central Asia. Most of them are young men. Image
Two days ago the State Duma simplified the acquisition of Russian citizenship. Now foreign citizens who signed a contract on service in the army for at least a year can obtain Russian citizenship under a simplified procedure. duma.gov.ru/en/news/55276/
Read 10 tweets
Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Aug 28
🇰🇿🇷🇺 Kazakhstan halts arms exports for a year. The Kazakh government did not give a reason for its decision. But Russian pro-gov telegram channels crow about this as if it's their achievement.

A mini thread about what is happening between Kazakhstan and Russia 🧵🔽
From the very beginning of the war in Ukraine Kazakhstan has avoided taking sides in the crisis while calling for its peaceful resolution.

But today many in Russia are regarding Kazakhstan’s actions as being unworthy of an ally. carnegieendowment.org/eurasiainsight…
Pro-Russian telegram channels actively claim that Kazakhstan exports arms and ammunition to Ukraine via proxies, by order from the UK.

The allegations are based on a supposedly leaked contract by which Kazakhstan allegedly exports Soviet weapons & ammunition to the UK
Read 10 tweets
Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Aug 10
A hastily deleted post by 🇷🇺ex-president Dmitry Medvedev suggesting that after Ukraine, Moscow might turn its attention to the fate of Kazakhstan, was taken at face value by many.

Could Russia really enter into conflict with another of its neighbors? 🧵

carnegieendowment.org/eurasiainsight…
Since the outbreak of war in Ukraine many in Russia have regarded Kazakhstan’s actions as being unworthy of an ally.

Example1:
Example2:
Kazakhstan’s defiant rhetoric has been backed up by action, with 🇰🇿authorities sending humanitarian aid to Ukraine and maintaining contact with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Read 9 tweets
Temur Umarov 马铁木 Profile picture
Jul 9
🧵 Karakalpakstan in numbers:

(source: hook.report/2022/07/prezid…)

Karakalpakstan occupies more than a third of the territory of Uzbekistan, but w/ a population density of 11.7 people per square kilometer (in Tashkent it is 6,379).
W/ a small population, Karakalpakstan is strategically important for Tashkent. The main gas pipelines pass through it, large oil&gas reserves are located there. Karakalpakstan is also the champion in the production of chemical products in Uzbekistan, more than 30%.
In comparison w/ other regions of 🇺🇿, Karakalpakstan is the most depressive. It has the lowest birth rate, the highest death rate of women during childbirth (x2 the average for 🇺🇿), and the highest migration abroad (30% of all migrants from 🇺🇿 abroad come from Karakalpakstan).
Read 7 tweets

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