Vitaly Profile picture
Oct 22, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Missiles, blasts & sirens
Ukraine mornings routine
All 5 missiles flying to Kyiv were intercepted.
Strikes in Kropyvnitskyi and Golovanskyi rayon.
This and neighboring Umanskyi rayon are out of power.
2 strikes of energy facilities in Odessa region.
Emergency services are doing their best to repair the grid.
Power infrastructure was hit it Rivne
Missile strikes on energy infrastructure in Volyn region.
Khmelnitskyi the same. Missile strikes of energy infrastructure.
Just want to remind that a permanent member of UN security council with veto power is a terrorist,
because #RussiaIsATerrorristState

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More from @M0nstas

Jun 16, 2023
#Thoughts
🇷🇺 "Lost" fortification section on the Volnovakha front.

There must be at least two lines.
Majority of 🇷🇺 fortifications are build on the hill behind the water stream and the link between those valleys.
For some reason second line is missing on the Vremiivskiy lendge. Image
Without control of Vuhledar there was no chance to build anything along Kashlahach river.
The ledge made the area too deep to justify the construction 25km away from the front.
Incomplete uneven fronts complicates and hight expectations postponed the decision, So non were build. Image
While @Nrg8000 map shows a continuous lines of fortifications.
@AndrewPerpetua use dots in the data representation. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
#Map #Volnovakha
Reports about 🇺🇦 activities near Vuhledar opens another window of opportunity at Volnovakha.

The city is extremely important on that flank and for Mariupol liberation, there are no options to avoid the fight before any further movement.

Image
Volnovakha is a watershed, all the rivers goes there so its a natural direction for the offense.
Defense is defined by
a1. main fortifications protected by the streams and lowlands
a2. the forest that protects the city from the North.
a3. 20km deep buffer. Image
In order to break the city 🇺🇦 should prepare the battlefield for it.
Important task is to cut of H20, but T0512 would be out of reach.
City is surrounded by the villages it would be a hard task to get over it.

Pavlivka - Petrivske - Krasna Poliana road is the starting point. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 9, 2023
#Map fortifications and roads
Probably under impression after previous 🇺🇦 operations 🇷🇺 decided to concentrate their efforts on the roads, ignoring underdeveloped direction of Azov Upland.

@Nrg8000 map Image
@Nrg8000 Logic of 🇷🇺 fortifications is next
1. Protect hubs (crossroads and storages)
2. Protect the elevation (force the enemy to go always uphill)
3. Protect the Black Sea Lowland access (fast track) ImageImageImage
The "welcome" eastern section requires too much efforts from the attacking side and will rely on maneuver defense.
The major obstacle is the infrastructure. Supply lines should stretch along the dirt roads and the closes exit in Bilmak is fortified. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 7, 2023
Flooded areas of Kherson, Hola Prystan and Krynky.

Comparing to the topographic map. ImageImageImageImage
Kherson main indicator is the roundabout in Korabel district.
Topography is not precise and show difference in 7-9m
Bohoroducka street is at 11m level

both are similarly flooded.

That show that elevation map isn't accurate for this but still useful.
https://t.co/TIpXbvRyWy twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Hola Prystan is another example of misleading elevation, the dry zone is 2 meters lower than a flooded zone in the center of the town ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
May 25, 2023
Another 20 destroyed artillery units reported.
For some reason no talks about the reported artillery position strikes.

The first such event was reported at Jan 11, the next in Jan 27, next Mar 7, it has never been a consistent event.
Everything has changed in May. ImageImage
Other distinct categories in the reports are
S-300 - were reported several times
MLRS - there were only 3 cases, all in April
EW - 13 were hit in May 19,20 and reported constantly since April.

EW is a Special equipment category and it has spiked in March. Image
Artillery is the only combat component where 🇺🇦 has some advantage over 🇷🇺.
When 🇷🇺 has a lot of stuff and can execute firewall strategy, 🇺🇦 can simply outshoot the enemy limiting their capabilities.
In order to overcome that 🇷🇺 will rely on aviation.

F16 would be handy. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
May 24, 2023
Lapin APC leader
@GeoConfirmed
50.453339, 35.630437
FJ3J+84Q Glotovo, Belgorod Oblast, Russia

https://t.co/EtHgEXMorm twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
@GeoConfirmed Lapin the squadron commander
50.461037, 35.640967

@GeoConfirmed
ImageImage
@GeoConfirmed General had a nice 1.2km walk in Glotovo Image
Read 4 tweets

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