"Well, it is very difficult to evaluate the stupidity of the Russians by some logic. I will put it this way: undermining Nova Kakhova dam will definitely cause environ disasters, this is a fact...other aspects. 1st is: why do it - what will they lose & what they will get?..." 1/
Head of 🇺🇦 Military Intelligence Budanov: "The Crimean Bridge is the symbol that will be destroyed. When Crimea returns to Ukraine, this bridge will cease to exist. No-one needs this transport artery...Russians love numerology & everything related to it: 10.10.22..." 2/
"Self-proclaimed President of Belarus Lukashenko stated that it was the answer of the Russians for the Crimean Bridge ... - I will ask you such a rhetorical question: why was the answer not there on the 7th, the 8th?..." 3/
"We heard Zelensky statement about Crimean Bridge that "we did not order it." But Ruschists immediately accused the GUR of undermining & said that you were personally involved in the explosion on the bridge. How do you feel about such accusations? - Personally? (Laughs)..." 4/
"You know, I'm not serious about it. I will not exactly mention the name, but one of the largest printed editions of the Communist Party of China published an article that Russia is blaming Ukraine for a very high level of skepticism on these allegations..." 5/
"And it should be understood that what was published in the publication of the Communist Party of China is agreed with everyone, that is, the official position [that Muscovy blew bridge up themselves]. These are all signs that say that this regime has not long left..." 6/
"Once again I say this is an official publication related to China's top military and political leadership...Zelensky hinted that history with the Crimean bridge can be a consequence of the conflict within Russian security forces ... - Right. There is nothing I can add her..." 7/
"But I will say another: the Crimean Bridge is the symbol that will be destroyed. When Crimea returns, this bridge will cease to exist. This transport artery really doesn't need anyone..." 8/
"And second, you can partially blow up the dam, but to undermine it completely, such works have not been carried out. The mining was partially for partial destruction if required. To destroy this level of construction, you need 10s of tons of explosives properly positioned..." 9/
"Ruschists will receive continuous flooding of the Left Bank of Kherson. They will lose even theoretically the possibility of water supply to the North Crimean Canal, in the Crimea, until we rebuild the dam, and it will take a very long time. It will be unrealistic to do..." 10/
"And the most interesting thing is that [if Ruschist blow up Novo Kakhova dam] they will destroy the possibility of the existence of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, because this object is inextricably linked to it..." 11/
"But Ruschists would have to retreat directly to Crimea. In other words, if you make a continuous destruction, then the scenario is this. Are they ready for it? I think no. Kirill Budanov: "The real accuracy of Russian missiles was not at all the way they all dreamed"..." 12/
"and if they partially decide to destroy Novo Kakhova dam? - They will disable the gateway, machine halls. That is, they will make the dam unusable for its intended purpose. But the North Crimean Canal will remain, partly the spill of water, but not so scary..." 13/
"Kiriyenko sees himself as Putin's successor" - we have seen the annexation ceremony of Putin's 4 of our regions. We looked v closely at the faces of the people who were in the hall ... - (smiles) Nobody was glad. I tell you this, despite fact that I do not like Russia..." 14/
"[Annexations] a disaster for them [Ruschist elite], they know it perfectly. They realized even more that this was the end. This is the end and we need to look for exits. Do you understand what they did? That is, they joined new territories for themselves..." 15/
"and the next day they began to lose them. Many in Russia have said that you cannot do this, give them conditional independence there, make there "XNR", "ZNR" of some kind, or join them with "LDNR" - whatever, just do not join Russia..." 16/
"Because if you have to either negotiate, leave or just knock them out, it'll be a disaster for Muscovy. How to explain to the ordinary Russian that 🇺🇦 has taken a city in Russia? It all worked even with the release of Izium. This fact has caused shock to them in society..." 17/
"When Kherson is turned back, the capital of the area they just joined as pathetic as they said, "Everything, Kherson is forever with Russia," - what's next? Well, how to explain it to the ordinary Russian who lives there, sorry, in his own, he believes that he has..." 18/
"the best rockets in the world, "we will destroy all." And here once, and vice versa! It breaks consciousness. - What can such a breakdown of consciousness lead to? - to lose confidence in the authorities and weaken the vertical control itself..." 19/
"Recently Turkish President Erdogan said that Putin had become "much softer" before the negotiations. What did Erdogan mean? What kindness did he talk about? - It has become softer when you have 13% of rockets left since the beginning of a full-scale war..." 20/
"When you have killed more than 60k people & three times more wounded, when they are struck, when there is nothing to fight. When you started the victorious "special operation" for yourself & went into mobilization. When everyone in the world ridicules 2nd army in the world." 21/
"Journalists often ask you if Putin is alive. And you quite cunningly answer that "we still have to wait for the answer to this question." But have you been informed that the President of Ruschist Federation is no longer among the living? Did you receive this information?..." 22/
"Relax If you know everything in advance [about whether or not Putin is still alive], it will not be interesting to live on (smiles)...Another person exchanged was Medvedchuk. Was Putin glad to meet him? - I know that there were so many questions from the FSB..." 23/23

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More from @DecodingTrolls

Oct 17
Why is this Silicon Valley Peace Plan so flawed?

1 2014-2022: Muscovy was bound by a ceasefire agreement it signed twice. US was a guarantor of it.

2 Muscovy violated this ceasefire almost every day for 7 1/2 years. For 3 years I observed & reported these violations.

1/5
3 US acting as a guarantor for Muscovy's ceasefire obligations is akin to US giving Kyiv Security Treaty guarantees to Ukraine (see below). This means if Muscovy violates the ceasefire, US sends in the troops to 🇺🇦. Is this what @DavidSacks is advocating? If so, I agree.

2/5
4 @DavidSacks "Peace" proposals are identical to the "Peace Proposals" Muscovy has been injecting into narcissists', useful idiots & naïf's minds for 7 months. They're very hard for non-professionals to spot. They're taking people for fools. This is why:

3/5
Read 7 tweets
Oct 16
England's Ukraine policy is a huge saving grace. Like a vagrant fallen on hard times nevertheless remembering in the midst of their chaos to perform a duty properly like saying "thank you." 1/6
There's a fair bit of schadenfreude in a not unpleasant way. That said, many of us who are trained to understand the minutiae of England's constitution been highlighting inevitable output of continuously trashing it. 2/6 medium.com/geopolitical-i…
Running the English State on magical thinking & emotion-moving disinfo has, sure, secured one party's rule for 12 years. But the Brexit troll has cost England's its future control over its domestic colonies of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. 3/6 medium.com/political-risk…
Read 6 tweets
Oct 4
"❗A resident of Melitopol received curses from Russian relatives because of the death of a mohilized. Unprepared conscripts have already begun to die on our land. So many Melitopol residents are connected with the Russians by family ties, they began to receive a reaction..." 1/
"My second cousin lives in Irkutsk. The last time she was with us, in Melitopol, in March 2010 - she came with her husband and son to the anniversary of our common relatives. We were friends. And they even kept in touch in 2014, when the war broke out in Donbass..." 2/
"'Just the day before yesterday, my sister's son died,' she said 'Andrei was taken to the front. He didn't even have proper training. They simply explained how to hold the gun, how to pull the trigger...She even shouted into the phone: "I hate all of you Ukrainians..." 3/
Read 6 tweets
Oct 4
"Russian troops set up base in the school (👋🏽 @amnestyusa) & used it as a supply hub, warning locals to stay away...shortly after 10am on Mar 28 when 2 Ruschist soldiers, clad in tattered uniforms, began visiting homes and ordering people to leave..." 1/13 Image
"Ruschist soldiers walked from house to house, knocking on doors, the villagers said.
People crowded into the street, holding whatever possessions they had grabbed. One carried an infant and a spare set of diapers. Another was tending to cows when Ruschist soldiers came..."2/13 Image
"and stood in his wellies and wool jacket, dirty with manure. We didn't know what awaited us on the road, or where we were going," said Marina Sabada, who left that day with her husband, Viktor, and 14yo son, Danil. Watched over by Ruschist soldiers smoking atop tanks..." 3/13 Image
Read 15 tweets
Oct 2
"The first time the Russian soldiers caught him, they tossed him bound and blindfolded into a trench covered with wooden boards for days on end.
Then they beat him, over and over: Legs, arms, a hammer to the knees, all accompanied by furious diatribes against Ukraine..." 1/6 Image
"“No one needs you,” Ruschist commander taunted. “We can shoot you any time, bury you a half-meter underground and that’s it.”
Brutal encounter at the end of March was just the start. Andriy Kotsar would be captured & tortured twice more by Ruschist forces in Izium..." 2/6 Image
"Ruschist torture in Izium was arbitrary, widespread & absolutely routine for both civilians & soldiers throughout the city, an @AP investigation has found. While torture was also evident in Bucha...only occupied for a month. Izium a hub for Ruschist soldiers for 7 months..." 3/6 ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Sep 17
"Russian forces terrorized residents throughout their six-month occupation of Izyum, a strategic hub in northeast Ukraine, with witnesses and victims this week recounting the torture, killings and forced disappearances that soldiers carried out..." Wash Post 🧵- 1/
"Officials said they had quickly identified signs of torture on some of the corpses. At least one had a rope around his neck.
"Bucha, Mariupol, now, unfortunately, Izyum. Russia leaves death everywhere," said President Z on Friday..." 2/
"100 investigators stoically dug up the graves — each marked with a simple wooden cross & number — & took notes on condition of the decomposing bodies, measuring them & searching for identifying details. Stench of death filled the air, & booms echoed as 🇺🇦 forces demined..." 3/
Read 21 tweets

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