Alex de Waal has a piece at the top of today's Google search for "Ethiopia" in which he says essentially that the US & EU will use their leverage—their money—on behalf of the TPLF. And that with its own resources drained by the war, #Ethiopia will have no choice but to succumb.
In that essay published today, Alex de Waal also reduces the Ethiopian conflict to East/West competition. #Ethiopia #DisarmTPLF
De Waal also says that if #Ethiopia fails to agree to "a cessation of hostilities," by which he seems to mean stopping short of victory, then the 250,000 combat deaths "may just be the first installment."
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