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Oct 24, 2022 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Update 🧵October 24th

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Thoughts and prayers go out to Peg-legged Pegovs toe, the accident was unfortunate, but the toe is now in a better place.
The UA General staff reported shellings all along the front line except for the area close to Zaporizhzhia.
Kharkiv
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Zemlianka and Chuhunivka.
Svatove
GSUA stated the AFU threw out the occupies from Karmazynivka, Miasozharivka and Nevs'ke. I corrected my mistake yesterday around Makiivka. I was already on top of it thanks to @EerikMatero. He being younger and having better eyes than me figured out the video was old.
If we zoom in a bit we can see the AFU is getting really close to what I believe is the RuAF line of defense around Svatove. They have already control of some of the last settlements before they reach the RU defenses.
Getting past that line and then advancing down hill in to those towns just east of the P66 will not be easy.
I got some screenshots to show what we are dealing with. The AFU needs to attack in to those forest areas and then when they get out and want to attack down the hill they are completely exposed to the entire valley.
Some more images of the issue.
If you want to do like me and get a better view of the terrain details in Google earth, you can go in to the options and exaggerate it.
Bakhmut.
The AFU kicked Wagner's ass in Bakhmut the last few days and and pushed them back past the highway. I have adjusted the RU line of control accordingly.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Spirne, Soledar, Bakhmut, Bakhmutske, Andriivka and Klishchiivka.
Thread showing the locations in Bakhmut
Donetsk
The fertilizer fraternity in Donetsk keep attacking in the area of Avdiivka, Pervomais'ke, Nevel's'ke, Mar'inka and Novomykhailivka. These attacks were stopped by the AFU.
I don't have any news about Kherson other than 500 mobilized Russians are supposed to have arrived in Rubanivka 46.9898, 34.1711, I'm still looking for information.

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More from @DefMon3

Jul 8
Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
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Jul 5
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
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Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
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Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets
Jun 22
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992 Image
Read 9 tweets

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