Near Kupyansk, Ukraine is applying pressure east toward Svatove. In particular, over the past few days, Ukraine attacked Kuzemivka with ground forces and aviation (1). Russia is shelling the area around the town from Svatove, which is around 15km southeast.
In the Lyman area, Ukraine is attacking east toward the P66 highway between Svatove and Kreminna (2,3,4,5). Yesterday Ukraine secured Karmazynivka (2) and Nevske (4). Locals report heavy fighting near the town of Chervonopopivka (5). Civilians are leaving Kreminna (A).
There is heavy fighting in the Siversk area. Russia is attacking BIlohorivka (6,7). The Ukrainian MOD claimed they defended an attack on Verkhnokamyanske (9), but other sources say the fighting is actually very close to Verkhnokamyanka.
Ukraine is reportedly attacking Zolotarivka (8) and Verkhnokamyanka (10), and the fighting is described as intense. Verkhnokamyanka is a very small town a few kilometers west of the Lysychansk Oil Refinery.
Russia is attacking Spirne (11).
Russian milblogers posted a video today depicting an airstrike on a Ukrainian position southeast of Spirne, which shows Ukraine has moved several kilometers southeast from Spirne.
There is heavy fighting in the Bakhmut area without notable changes.
In Luhansk, Russians are moving mobilized infantry into Novoaidar and Stanytsia Luhanska.
Ukraine reportedly fired missiles into Starobilsk and Zolote-2.
To be honest, I have no idea where Zolote-2 is so I marked the area between Zolote, Zolote-3, and Zolote-4. It's probably there somewhere.
There is ongoing fighting in the Donetsk area without notable changes.
Ukraine is applying pressure south from Hulyaipole and Orikhiv. There is heavy shelling in Orikhiv, and artillery duels in the Vasylivka district, which includes Stepove, Stepnohirsk, Pyatykhatky, and Vasylivka.
Ukraine hit Svitlodolynske with a missile. A car bomb went off in Melitopol, and explosions reported near the rail bridge south of Melitopol.
Russians are moving into Vovkivka. Notice how many other towns in this area are already marked as either defensive positions or housing Russian soldiers.
In the Kherson area Ukraine reportedly attacked Pyatykhatky (21) and Ishchenka (22). Neither attack is reportedly large, probably recon by combat.
There are reports of extensive Ukrainian shelling along the Dnipro River. Russia is also mining the left bank of the river.
Reportedly, Ukraine destroyed an ammo depot on Kinburn Spit.
A Russian missile, reportedly after being shot down, landed on a gas station in Dnipro and created a large fire. Two died, including a pregnant woman. Two more were wounded.
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First, this part makes me physically uncomfortable because it goes against info I have from **all** of my sources, both Russian and Ukrainian, but it is hard to argue with the satellite images: This whole area east of Makiivka is a big question mark.
Ukraine posted a video destroying Russian equipment in this area, and the satellite images show it had to have happened after October 19th.
The Russians want people to believe the situation in Bakhmut is hopeless for Ukraine, or that everything is falling apart and the city is on the verge of falling. This is all propaganda.
The reality is that, yes, the situation is difficult. The fighting is tough. There are many casualties. There are artillery strikes, missile strikes, aviation, etc. But the defense is holding. Supplies are going in and out. The wounded get evacuated, etc.
Russia attacks Bakhmut, but Ukraine counter attacks. Take note that Russia now claims they *lost* ground in the southeast of Bakhmut. Look at Soledar, the counter attack was so successful it drove Russia almost entirely out of the town.
When you say something that is soul shatteringly true, the propagandists are forced to attack the statement in a transparently desperate attempt to make their "followers" (almost all bots btw) think that attacking the statement is somehow logical. When they do this, you won.
It really is funny how these clowns come out of the woodworks when you dunk on them so hard they cant run away and hide from it.
And the thing here, obviously, and I cannot stress how transparent this is, Russia is trying to hide THEIR ABJECT FAILURES ON THE BATTLEFIELD behind a story that they completely fabricated hoping that gullible people fall for an appeal to emotion so they stop using logic.
Here is an update for the military situation on October 20th. I will not write about any possible future attacks from the territory of Belarus and will focus on Kharkiv, Luhansk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts.
Russia is hitting the border towns of Kharkiv with artillery, rockets, mortars, tanks, and aviation. In addition, they have launched several small attacks on the border town of Ohirtseve (1).
At some point I learned the Russians had crossed the railroad tracks near Krasnohorivka (with video showing it was true). On the map I labeled it (1).
At some point Russia was attacking Oleksandropil (2), and I have seen many people claim they took control over the town or at least the area around the town. I never saw proof of that.
Then I heard Ukraine pushed Russia out of Novoselivka (3).
Although I don't know which direction they came from. Was it a counter attack from Oleksandropil? Did it come from Yurivka? No idea! But Russia was pushed back to the bridge, where they maintained a small bridgehead but no control over the town. I've heard no update since.