All this matures this friday.
Tin foil hat time - swiss banks own a LOT of us equities.
so they took a loan and bought tons of bonds.
This causes dxy to weaken yields go down, stonks go up, giving swiss a chance to dump equities.
then they repay that loan on friday.
further evidence - notice how the usdcnh lines riiiite up with the 30y....

buying bonds will weaken usd, moon stonks.
now swiss own bonds.

next they unload the dogshit (tech stonks) all day to anyone who will buy them.

How did swiss know earnings would be bad??
🤔
Still buying bonds in the after hour?
@SantiagoAuFund this is how the dxy member states have mitigated the dollar from hitting the stratosphere?

Each takes turns buying US treasuries - yesterday was a nice touch since the bond market is somewhat illiquid to handle such a huge demand right at the open?
You wanna see this visually?

Ok -
1) dxy relative to oil kinda tracks & falls below relative price of oil

2) oil tracks close

3) swiss buy 11B in bonds weakening dxy (that the swiss line) - stonks moon. Now relative to oil DXY a LOT weaker than oil.

So now rates++=big oil--
This prob why DXY has stayed relatively calm & in a trading range vs going to 120 (or higher) - these swap games and CB $ games - Swiss one is the one I caught - im sure there have been others more sneaky

Dxy going up or down like tue / swaps are the tell.
#CurrencyManipulation
The goal is to get dxy (purple) WEAKER relative to oil w/o mooning oil.
They achieved their goal

I imagine they might make it a little more weaker before they begin to hammer the oil market again.

So then, DXY++ (110/109 level) will mean oil-- RELATIVE to new low dxy
And what has all this swapping and crazy stuff done to other currencies lately?

Quite a bit
Red (usdchf - the swiss) tend to trade places with dxy

Rn dxy (purple) very weak, and usdchf very strong

strong dxy = weak stonks
So preparing for a swap or a slow fade today?
q's are ignoring dxy and trying to follow 30y yields
What the swiss did during opening market (1- buy bonds) today they did during the overnight (2)
its why dxy is down this morning.
CHF is continuing to buy bonds this morning
(1,2)
Its causing disruption in currency (4)
which is causing qqq's to rally (3)

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More from @frankoz95967943

May 5
Currency fiddling.
Pegs.
Making your currency artificially weaker -

This is all great when you are attempting to game the system.

Until one day it blows up in your face.

👇🧵 Image
I have an open quiz, go ahead and take it before moving forward - cause its important to understand the game....
So what happened to TWD?

well, the game is "make our currency weaker so we can export more"

This has been going on a long time - they arent the only ones doing this.
Read 48 tweets
Apr 23
Its wednesday.

Lets break your brain again.

This is a currency thread.
🧵👇
This is complex, so clear your mind, get some coffee and relax.

You are in charge of a country call it "MyCountry" with a currency called "Denaro's"

In the past you invested heavily to build your factories and vities to make things as efficient (read low cost) as possible.
Now you want to increase trade.

What do you do?

You weaken your currency - now, your products compared to the world are cheaper than anywhere else.

Your orders explode.
Read 59 tweets
Apr 21
If i didnt leave america when i did I would have never understood the global trading system or currencies.

You benefit from my knowledge as I share what I have learned.

This is more of that.

This is a currency thread.
👇🧵


Globalization has been a disaster for the american worker.

Globalization has ONLY been enabled thru currency manipulation by US trading parterners to create an inequitable trading balance, which puts massive downward pressure on US wages and jobs.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/spee…
Yes, your shoes and clothes cost a little less - but the people in US who used to produce those products are now "public charges" and a burden on the American social system.

Not everyone can "learn to code" or be doctors or engineers.

Many honest folks just want to clock in, make money, and go home.
Read 86 tweets
Apr 19
So i was thinking - "man, the euro sure did change in value quite rapidly. EU cant afford to buy back that debt like that....this was an external state actor....

I wonder who that could be?"

To explain, if you earn USD and you live in EU?

Life right now sucks.
🧵👇 Image
if you are a europee and you wanna go vacation?

The world is your oyster....especially asia.

You can buy a LOT in asia.

Currencies are pairs, or ratios.

2nd chart EURVND is inverted - again proving my oint, currencies are pairs.

You get nearly 30000 vnd for 1 of your europees.Image
Image
But i wonder "who the fuck dumped EUR debt to do this". Either the ECB bought back debt (they cant) or someone international said "Fuck this im out"

Something happened March 4th that spooked the EU bond market.

Probably rate cuts. Image
Read 10 tweets
Apr 18
This is the vix.

👇🧵 Image
The vix is a MAJOR component of the EU$ system.

This is the formula for the EU$.

I have to invert the vix for you to see the correlation clearly.

(FX:USDJPY-1/CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE*2)/FX_IDC:USDGBP/(FX_IDC:USDEUR*0.576)/(TVC:VIX*0.000001)/24000000 Image
The EU$ is made up of oil, interest rates, currencies and volatility.

Every single component of the EU$ is actively managed by central banks.

Here is the vix, vs SPY, vs the formula (green)

2nd chart zoomed in.

My EU$ formula models the market with greater than an r2 of .96 Image
Image
Read 36 tweets
Apr 18
The US is going to ban Chinese ADR's.
Its coming.

Trump needs more leverage, and this will be part of that leverage.

In prior administration he already started the process...he's going to cut china off from US capital markets completely.
🧵👇 Image
What the hell is an adr?
sec.gov/investor/alert…
You can easily find them in finviz.com
just go to filter and select ADR

finviz.com/screener.ashx?… Image
Read 27 tweets

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