All this matures this friday.
Tin foil hat time - swiss banks own a LOT of us equities.
so they took a loan and bought tons of bonds.
This causes dxy to weaken yields go down, stonks go up, giving swiss a chance to dump equities.
then they repay that loan on friday.
further evidence - notice how the usdcnh lines riiiite up with the 30y....

buying bonds will weaken usd, moon stonks.
now swiss own bonds.

next they unload the dogshit (tech stonks) all day to anyone who will buy them.

How did swiss know earnings would be bad??
🤔
Still buying bonds in the after hour?
@SantiagoAuFund this is how the dxy member states have mitigated the dollar from hitting the stratosphere?

Each takes turns buying US treasuries - yesterday was a nice touch since the bond market is somewhat illiquid to handle such a huge demand right at the open?
You wanna see this visually?

Ok -
1) dxy relative to oil kinda tracks & falls below relative price of oil

2) oil tracks close

3) swiss buy 11B in bonds weakening dxy (that the swiss line) - stonks moon. Now relative to oil DXY a LOT weaker than oil.

So now rates++=big oil--
This prob why DXY has stayed relatively calm & in a trading range vs going to 120 (or higher) - these swap games and CB $ games - Swiss one is the one I caught - im sure there have been others more sneaky

Dxy going up or down like tue / swaps are the tell.
#CurrencyManipulation
The goal is to get dxy (purple) WEAKER relative to oil w/o mooning oil.
They achieved their goal

I imagine they might make it a little more weaker before they begin to hammer the oil market again.

So then, DXY++ (110/109 level) will mean oil-- RELATIVE to new low dxy
And what has all this swapping and crazy stuff done to other currencies lately?

Quite a bit
Red (usdchf - the swiss) tend to trade places with dxy

Rn dxy (purple) very weak, and usdchf very strong

strong dxy = weak stonks
So preparing for a swap or a slow fade today?
q's are ignoring dxy and trying to follow 30y yields
What the swiss did during opening market (1- buy bonds) today they did during the overnight (2)
its why dxy is down this morning.
CHF is continuing to buy bonds this morning
(1,2)
Its causing disruption in currency (4)
which is causing qqq's to rally (3)

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More from @frankoz95967943

Dec 21, 2024
This is the dxy.

it is not "THE DOLLAR"

DXY is a basket of currencies heavily weighted and skewed towards the EURO.

This is a vix and currency thread.
👇🧵 Image
Here is the vix - notice on the left that as the DXY went up the vix began to follow and was suddenly kneecapped in march 2022?

Thats when UVIX and SVIX were launched.

But everytime the DXY spiked you got a spike in the vix

Verticle dotted lines show a few of them. Image
Enter my calculated vix.

I modeled the vix to see where the vix should be based on yields.

Notice again the detach as of march 2022

1/(BATS:HYG/(BATS:UUP-(1/(TVC:US30Y*5+TVC:US20Y*4+TVC:US10Y*3+TVC:US05Y*2+TVC:US01Y)*100-FX:USDCAD*100)*100/2)*10000) Image
Read 46 tweets
Nov 29, 2024
This is a currency thread.

And for many of you, this will answer a LOT of questions....

I am going to start very slow and basic - by the time im done you will be a currency expert.

👇🧵

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_an…Image
Lets explain this simply.

CocaCola.

CocaCola company produce lots of cocacola expecting holiday demand. They double production.

And lets say the demand didnt materialize - economy bad, people lose jobs or whatever.

What happens to price of cocacola?

It goes down.
Now take the inverse.
Cocacola - UNDERPRODUCES - expecting holiday demand to be very low so the market is UNDERSUPPLIED with cocacola.

But government decide to give everyone free digital money that can only be spent on cocacola.

What happen to demand? Explode higher.
Price moon.
Read 55 tweets
Nov 24, 2024
This is my cat.

This is a financial thread.

"Oz - then why are you leading with a picture of your cat?"

Cause her belief system is exactly like that of the USD and the US government - she thinks she is the center of the universe and everything revolves around her...

👇🧵 Image
Oil going up in price is deflationary - if people are spending all their money on fuel, they arent buying anything else.

But US is an oil producer - the biggest oil producer on the planet right now actually....and everyone - especially europe - needs it.
After poot invaded ukraine, US set in motion price controls + money printing to fight that deflationary force.

It was a plan that biden and G7 hoped would end the war quickly, starve russia of revenue, and G7 would come out on top.
Read 30 tweets
Nov 24, 2024
As ya'll shop in the American capitalist system that's better than every other system, yet, can't seem to produce a reliable supply of eggs...and when they are available, they are hyper expensive...

It is 1USD = 25000 vnd.

Here's Vietnam and a few prices of other things:
🧵👇 Image
Those eggs are $2 USD per dozen.

Tooth paste $2 Image
Cococola $0.95 Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 7, 2024
A lot of people dont remember this or its implications...

👇🧵sidley.com/en/insights/ne…
Because like any instrument, treasuries can be gamed....
reuters.com/business/finan…
Read 51 tweets
Nov 6, 2024
Last night was interesting - the planners used the cover of trumps election to rebalance global currencies.

Here is the vix.
🧵👇 Image
Heres foreign oil producing currencies - on this chart purple line going up?
It means foreign currencies got STRONGER.

But heres the deal - ya, they produce oil, but thats not the only trade that goes on.

And the g7 planners need to keep some level of parity to otther currenciesImage
Thats the Euro-pee; notice that move

They weakened the F out of their currency.

For the Euro-P to weaken like this one of 2 things need to happen:
1) Someone bought a f tone of euro-pee debt
or
2) They printed a F ton of money Image
Read 12 tweets

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