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Oct 26 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
You guys really should watch the #cosen debate cpr.org/2022/10/25/202…
We're not as exciting as PA but we're prettier
Juggling domestic stuff so didn't live tweet it but O'Dea's close was: "Colorado, give me a shot."
Bennet's was a typically hard to quote discourse on the American polity and its importance as shown by the journey of his mother and grandparents, Holocaust survivors. On some things, like his refusal to give zippy sound bites, he certainly hasn't changed.

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More from @NickRiccardi

Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Oct 11
Colorado looking increasingly California
Anyway, squint and you can see a path to victory for O'Dea in this poll (Bennet's only at 48%) but with ballots about to drop it is a pretty tight one. Consistent w the theme of what public polling there's been so far.
This guy says it more succinctly than me, maybe turn to him for your analysis

Read 5 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Feb 8
Thread. Changing VRA standards could cut both ways
For a look at how the current VRA regime may hinder Democrats, for example, here's me and @DavidEggert00 from December abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireS…
Now the VRA is not (just) about partisan advantage, there's a lot more at stake here than do Ds or Rs get to wring a few more safe seats out of the map. But important to remember that things rarely cut cleanly in US politics.
Read 4 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Oct 7, 2021
This is a very significant finding from Ruy Texeira, 1st flagged in my TL by @mattyglesias -- looks like Latino voters split along educational lines in 2020 theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrat…
This is a pretty big deal because Latinos were already splitting in ways that mirrored Anglo voting trends (gender divide/evangelical/military service were prime determinants of voting R). The educational divide would further cement the parallels.
Glass half full for Ds is that Latinos start from a more Democratic baseline than Anglos; Biden still won non-college 55-41.

Glass half empty for Ds is there are a lot more non-college Latinos than college, so further to fall. there. (Of course ed attainment is ⬆️)
Read 6 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Oct 5, 2021
This has been noted several times and there is an explanation for it. Brief thread
Sinema was very media-friendly, accessible and quotable as a liberal activist and then liberal D in the conservative AZ state legislature. But she had something of a revelation in 2006 when she teamed w an R colleague to fight a gay marriage ban.
She became the centrist that we know today. She was still chatty with reporters but had moved away from the “bomb-throwing in the media gets it done” approach of her younger years.

Clearly when she went to DC she decided to stop spontaneous discussions w reporters entirely.
Read 4 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Oct 5, 2021
Coupla thoughts on the Sinema tapes. First, Sinema’s model is McCain but with both reporters and pressure groups ambushing her on video she’s waaaay more disciplined and willing to stay silent.

Second, no coincidence the most aggressive are immigration activists. (1/2)
These activists usually feel their own lives and those of their families are on the line. Also, their greatest success, DACA, came from an unrelenting pressure campaign on Obama that a lot of Ds at the time bristled at. (2/2)
Also I know everyone's been opining all day but because I know these guys, 👀 Image
Read 4 tweets
Nick Riccardi Profile picture
Sep 29, 2021
In the most Colorado redistricting process ever, the state's 12 commissioners are discussing their exercise routines on Zoom while waiting for commission staff to compile their votes for a new congressional map.
If the commission requires more than one round of voting to meet the 8 of 12 threshold to approve a congressional map, well, it's been 45 mins since they cast their 1st votes and we still don't have a count.
We're at the point in the hearing where Commissioner Bill Leone discloses he has been in a knife fight before.
Read 40 tweets

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