It's in periods of rapid national decline that people's already limited attention moves away from the most vulnerable towards our own personal survival concerns. Such moments are extremely dangerous: bad things happen in hidden corners, esp. when you have ugly extremists in power
For example, this from the other week. This is an absolute horror show. We must demand accountability & responsibility from the @ukhomeoffice, @SuellaBraverman & @RishiSunak.
When the economy collapses, what's left of our moral fabric risks collapse too. We mustn't let these difficult inflationary times also lead to an expansion of our neglect & cruelty wrt to refugees.
C:
At what point does this cease to be a place that is safe & can be run safely?
DN:
I think we have passed that point... Nearly 2500 people not guarded by appropriately trained people is an extraordinary number. No prison in the country is that big.
Funny. The unfunny side of this chaos is that we currently have 2500 asylum seekers sleeping on the floor, living in tents at a MOD site in Marston, Kent, designed for 1000, where he guards are untrained, & diptheria, scabies & norovirus have broken out.
With Badenoch as Women & Equalities Minister, & Suella 'Sir John Hayes is my Guru' Braverman @ Home Office, I hope British women are ready for the coming assault on their abortion rights. These 'social conservative' extremists see such rights as the enemy of the 'Trad Family'.
What many people urgently need to grasp is that for many on Conservative Party right-wing (& these days that's most of them), their anti-abortion, anti-trans, anti-refugee 'war on woke' stuff is all part of the same 'extremist social conservative' project.
1. An influx of Americans buying up big, fancy houses. Whole country is at a 20%+ discount due to forex rates bw $/£.
2. Sunak delaying budget from Oct28 to Nov17 is likely to push BoE to be >hawkish: probs 1% rise on Nov 3rd, not 0.75%.
3. Same Estate Agent thought there'd also be another 1% rise in December (!) bc BoE needs to get inflation down asap. Hopefully, shorter cycle that way.
4. Same guy expected these rapid rate rises will force some people to sell up as early as Q1 & Q2 2023. Gave an eg:
[Cont.]
"If you're a 1st time buyer w a £300k interest only mortgage, you were paying £300 a month in spring '22. By Spring '23, BoE rates may be 4 or 5%. That's £1200 or £1500pcm. With rising living costs, that's impossible for some people, who will have to sell to avoid repossesion..."
You can see how inexperienced Sunak is. He totally didn’t know how to respond to Starmer bringing up that viral video of RS telling a group of Tories this summer that he had been levelling down. Sunak looks very hesitant & out of his depth. He’s a money-man, not a leader. #PMQs
Sunak completely ducks Ian Blackford’s call for the “sleazy deal” RS has done with Suella Braverman to reappoint & Home Sec to be reversed and Braverman to be sacked. Very notably, Sunak doesn’t say ANYTHING to support Braverman, just waffles about working with Scotland. #PMQs
What a country: vicious public attacks on the most marginalised groups in our society are deliberately being orchestrated by a group of (at least) 50 sitting Tory MPs. Even better: many of the ordinary people acting as their foot-soldiers probably don't even realise they're pawns
I note the way this orchestrated 'War on Progressive Values' works as a many-headed hydra, such that one group of soldiers (say, anti-immigration lobby) don't need to necessarily know they are working alongside another (say, transphobes). Reminds me of terrorist cells structure.
Braverman didn’t make a ‘mistake’, she deliberately tried to circumvent security rules by emailing a market sensitive document to her private email before then trying to send it on to Sir John Hayes for advice. We only know bc she sent it to the wrong person who reported her.
Qs:
Who is Sir John Hayes MP, & why does Braverman - by her own admission - pass everything she does by him first?
Ans:
Hayes is one of the most extremely ‘socially conservative’ Tory politicians in Britain. He is, for eg, ‘RESOLUTELY OPPOSED TO ABORTION, IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES.’
Sir John Hayes MP, who Suella Braverman says is one of her closest allies & who she passes everything she does by, in advance, even when it means breaking the ministerial code, seems obsessed with trying to remove abortion rights from women.
'We’ve got inflation just over 10%. At the same time, wage growth is running at about 5.5 /6%. So people are seeing their real incomes fall.
'It’s the deepest 2-year fall since modern records began in the early 1950s. So for households, it’s fairly grim.' theringer.com/2022/9/8/23343…
This is a really interesting conversation with @DuncanWeldon. It's particularly of note that having looked at the raw numbers, he describes Brexit as "less like a revolt of the economically left behind, & more like a revolt of older, relatively prosperous voters."
"Your stereotypical Brexit voter if you were to watch the vox pop on British TV in 2017 / 18 was a man with a northern English accent in a working mens' club, but actually you were more likely to find a Brexit voter in a Southern English golf club."