Data from today's census release is now imported into #CensusMapper and available for mapping as well as for download via the API or the {cancensus} package. Threading some quick maps. First up, ethnic diversity index. censusmapper.ca/maps/3601
Next, religion. Or better "No religion". This concept is only asked every other census. The share of Canadians saying they have no religion increased from 24% in 2011 to 34.6% of respondents in 2021. censusmapper.ca/maps/3602?b=1
And here is a breakdown by (very) broad religion, separating out no-religion, christian, and other. censusmapper.ca/maps/3603
This map shows the share of the population that moved in the past 5 years. People move a lot, 45% of the population (5 years and over) in the City of Vancouver lived at a different address 5 years prior. censusmapper.ca/maps/3599
And here is a map showing where people move from, splitting into three groups. Same city, other city in Canada, and from outside of Canada. censusmapper.ca/maps/3605
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Demand at what price though? What's the purpose of zoning and when is it "overly restrictive"? Those are political questions. Let me count the ways, and give some examples for Vancouver.
First a comment about this being political. When do we know if we have enough housing? That depends on your perspective, as @LausterNa and I have outlined in an Appendix to the BC Expert Panel Report on Housing. engage.gov.bc.ca/app/uploads/si…
Above the question was about zoning being "overly restrictive". One way to think of this is if zoning only curbs the occasional outlier, it's probably not "overly restrictive". But if everyone builds to the maximum allowed it's an indication that zoning is binding.
With stats on inheritance (and downpayment assistance) making the rounds it's a good idea to check what the 2019 SFS has to say on this. It's looking at economic family units, so families and unattached individuals. Here is what share of family units have received an inheritance.
How much are they inheriting on average? It ranges from a little under $100k for younger age groups to around $150k for older ones. (In 2016 dollars.) Quite a bit of variation in the data, resulting in sizeable uncertainties.
Looking at provinces there is some variation in share of the family units who received an inheritance. Some of that is likely due to differences in age distribution, but data is really not thick enough to cross by both age and province.
Haven't posted the BC COVID graph for a while. Today's count was high at 530 plus 6 back-dated case. Adjusting for the weekly pattern drops it to 499, a bit above expectation with trend line at 488.
In case it needs to be said explicitly, we are in a sustained exponential growth scenario with faster growth than we have seen at any other point in this pandemic in BC as can easily be read off this log plot.
Interior is driving the case numbers, which is why we now had two rounds of restrictions that focus on (parts of) the Interior Health Authority. But by now we should have learned to base decisions not just on case levels but also on growth rates.
New variant of concern data for BC is out today. Let's take a look. Here is how the screened VOC match up against theory. We see a kink/change in growth rate advantage after the March 30 measures. And then a deviation from predicted trajectory for past three weeks.
What's going on there? Hard to say for sure, but this is what we would expect to see if B.1.617.2 (the "delta" variant) took hold in BC. It is indistinguishable from wild type in our N501Y screening, the function of screening in detecting new variants is flipped.
So what do we know about the delta variant. Not much. BC does not break out the delta variant, but only shows estimates for aggregate B.1.617.x. Additionally, the estimates are obviously problematic, with "sample prevalence" of B.1.617 being higher than "proportion of VOC".
BC's COVID trends look great, cases are continuing their strong decline. It's too early to say what effect the Step 1 reopening will have on this, so far things are looking good.
The strong decline is seen across all health regions, most clustering around 5 cases per 100k pop a day with Vancouver Island well below that.
Only two Health Regions in Northern Health are currently above 10 daily cases per 100k population.
Quick mid-week update, cases decline still looking good in BC. The effect seems too strong for the change in measures we had, and I get lots of questions if there are problems with testing. My answer: I don't think so, this trend is real.
I see this as a combination of change in measures, and voluntary change in behaviour when people got shell-shocked by high case counts, VOC and rising hospitalizations. Plus initial rise might have partially been boosted by Whistler event, explaining steep VCH bump/decline.
Still lots of volatility across Health Regions, but good to see all Fraser regions have stopped growing. Hard to interpret this without better understanding of regional VOC share, as well as updated overall VOC share and split. We still are still missing basic VOC data in BC.