This thread is sponsored by Russias new secrete weapon:
"The battle pig 300". There is one known issue, if it falls over, it will require a special operation to get it on it's hooves again.
The Ukrainian General staff reported shellings all along the front line except for in the Kherson region.
Kherson-Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Ternova.
I have been told RuAF are trying to attack with tanks north of Svatove, this might explain the high number of reported destroyed tanks by GSUA the last two days. I think they reported almost 40 tanks destroyed.
Bakhmut
RuAF tried to attack Ivangrad, Bakhmut, Bakhmutske, Soledar, Kurdyumivka, Krasnohorivka. They did not utilize any battle pig 300, so they were not successful.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novomykhailivka, Nevelske, Andriyivka, Maryinka, and Kamianka. They are not really making any progress in this area.
According to Ukrainian general staff, the offensive in Kherson has slowed down due to bad weather. We will see a lot more bad weather in the coming months and might not see any major movements in a while.
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Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.