Fatih Birol Profile picture
Oct 27, 2022 11 tweets 6 min read Read on X
World Energy Outlook 2022 is out!

It shows energy markets & policies are changing profoundly as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

Today’s crisis promises to be a historic turning point towards a cleaner & more secure energy system

Read more ⬇️ iea.li/3SOmGBW
The world is dealing with a crisis of unprecedented breadth & complexity

Oil & gas markets are facing major uncertainties amid today’s geopolitical upheaval

High energy prices have stoked inflation & created a looming risk of global recession

Read more: iea.li/3DwmvWj
Governments around the world are responding to the crisis by doubling down on clean energy – in the US, EU, Japan, China, India & elsewhere

Their new policies are set to help global clean energy investment rise above $2 trillion a year by 2030, an increase of over 50% from today
For the 1st time ever, today's policy settings are strong enough to deliver a distinct peak in fossil fuel use within this decade.

This isn't enough to avoid severe climate impacts, but it's progress from where we were a few years ago. Stronger policies can steepen the decline.
The rise in coal use this year has attracted a lot of attention, but it's small & our new analysis suggests it will be temporary.

Renewables are set to surge even higher, with their electricity generation rising 90% by 2030, eating into coal & gas's share of the power mix.
Progress in policies & technologies since 2015 has shaved 1°C off projected global warming, but much more is needed to reach the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement

Implementing announced climate pledges in full would lower warming to 1.7°C, moving us closer to safer ground
Limiting global warming to 1.5°C would mean a much faster scaling up of clean energy globally

What's encouraging is that the announced pipeline of clean energy manufacturing projects would, in several areas, approach the levels needed to put the world on track for #NetZeroby2050
One of the effects of the current crisis is that the era of rapid growth in global gas demand draws to a close.

In Europe, climate policies accelerate the shift away from gas. New supply brings prices down by the mid-2020s, and LNG becomes even more important to gas security.
This year's WEO makes clear the long-term impacts of Russia's actions on its energy exports.

Russian fossil fuel exports never return – in any of our scenarios – to their 2021 levels. Within 10 years, Russia’s share of internationally traded oil & gas is set to fall by half.
Amid these major changes, a new energy security paradigm is needed to ensure reliability & affordability while reducing emissions

That's why #WEO22 provides 10 principles to help guide policymakers through the period of declining fossil fuel & expanding clean energy systems
To learn more about the new analysis in @IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2022, explore the freely available report online ➡️ iea.li/3SOmGBW

And join lead authors @Laura_Cozzi_ & @tim_gould_ and me for our live launch event at 11am Paris time ➡️ iea.li/3U0cQ0F

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More from @fbirol

Oct 16
After the Age of Coal & Age of Oil, the world is moving rapidly into the Age of Electricity ⚡️

Electricity has recently grown 2x as fast as total energy demand. But from now to 2035, it's set to grow 6x as fast, driven by EVs, ACs, chips, AI & more

More: iea.li/3BEGtk7Image
Electricity's growing role in the energy mix makes it vital to ensure as much of it as possible is generated from clean sources

The rapid growth of solar & wind means they are both set to overtake power generation from coal by 2035

More in #WEO24 ➡️ iea.li/4f7pTHZImage
World Energy Outlook 2024 shows energy markets are set to shift in the 2nd half of the 2020s to relatively ample supplies of key fuels & technologies, albeit still marked by geopolitical risks

How governments & consumers react will have major consequences for energy & climate Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 9
The world is adding a huge 670 GW of new renewable capacity in 2024!

Between now & 2030, it is set to add 5,500 GW – even outperforming governments' own national targets

This is equal to the current total power capacity of China, EU, India & US combined: iea.li/3Yhz572Image
Renewables' unprecedented growth means they're on course to meet around half of global electricity demand by the end of this decade

By 2030, the share of solar PV & wind alone in the global power mix is set to double to 30%

Read @IEA’s new report ➡️ iea.li/4gYaMSZImage
@IEA Solar is powering renewables growth around the world ☀️

Solar PV alone is set to account for a massive 80% of new renewable capacity added globally between now & 2030

This means new large power plants – but also rooftop installations of solar panels by companies & households Image
Read 7 tweets
May 30
A major @IEA report out today shows that the transition to net zero emissions would mean lower energy costs globally than if we continue on our current path

Scaling up clean technologies is good for affordability as well as for cutting emissions

More: iea.li/4aM2zNn
Image
@IEA Today’s energy system is failing to deliver affordable energy for all: many millions of people lack access to clean cooking & electricity

In advanced economies, the poorest households spend up to 25% of their income on home energy bills & transport fuel: iea.li/4cgPMnF
Image
@IEA Today’s energy system is also not a stable one. The energy crisis caused by Russia slashing gas deliveries to Europe led to consumers around the world paying 20% more on average for energy than in past years.

Hardest hit were low-income households already struggling to pay bills Image
Read 9 tweets
Apr 25
Batteries are a vital part of the energy transition. Here's why:

- They're the fastest growing clean technology on the market

- They help meet climate goals & ensure energy security

- They bring down emissions in power & transport

@IEA's new report ➡️ iea.li/3QmAogL
Image
@IEA Batteries aren't just for powering your smartphone

In 2016, the energy sector accounted for around 50% of global demand for batteries, about the same share as electronic devices

By 2023, energy's share had risen above 90% - in a market 10 times the size: iea.li/3Jz7WEx
Image
@IEA Thanks to the rapid decline of battery costs – 90% since 2010 – they're speeding up opportunities to cut emissions in road transport & electricity

In 2023:

Electric car sales rose to a record of almost 14 million

Battery storage deployment in the power sector more than doubled Image
Read 8 tweets
Apr 23
Global electric car sales are on track to grow strongly again this year, reaching about 17 million

With more than 1 in 5 cars sold worldwide in 2024 set to be electric, the rise of EVs is transforming the auto industry & the energy sector

More from @IEA: iea.li/3Us3ZYF
Image
@IEA Electric cars' growth this year builds on a record-breaking 2023, when sales soared by 35% to almost 14 million

Demand was largely concentrated in China, Europe & the US, but momentum is picking up in key emerging markets such as Viet Nam & Thailand ➡️ iea.li/3xNUUk0
Image
@IEA Despite near-term challenges in some countries, new @IEA analysis sees the global electric car market gearing up for the next phase of growth

Under today's policy settings, nearly 1 in 3 cars on China's roads by 2030 is set to be electric & almost 1 in 5 in the US & EU Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 1
Global CO2 emissions from energy rose less in 2023 than the year before even as total energy demand growth accelerated

The major expansion of technologies like solar, wind & EVs is limiting the increase in emissions & bringing them closer to a peak

More: iea.li/48vumRn
Image
Much of the rise in CO2 emissions in 2023 came from an exceptional fall in hydropower due to extreme drought, with fossil fuels filling the gap

Without the unusual hydropower drop, global CO2 emissions from electricity generation would've declined

More: iea.li/3Ijohgc
Image
In the last 10 years, the CO2 intensity of global GDP has fallen 20%, thanks to both the improvement in energy efficiency and the decline in emissions intensity of global energy supply.

CO2 growth is therefore increasingly decoupling from GDP growth. Image
Read 10 tweets

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