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Oct 27 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
Good morning, #Alaska! The Alaska absentee/early vote tracker has been updated to include yesterday's data:

cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…

19,619 people have voted by absentee or early thus far - 11,750 absentee and 7,869 early. The top HDs for absentee + early are all Anchorage:

1/
1) HD-9 (S Anchorage/Girdwood/Whittier)
2) HD-17 (Downtown Anchorage)
3) HD-16 (Turnagain/Airport/Sand Lake ANC)
4) HD-23 (Eagle River)
5) HD-11 (S Anchorage)

Bottom 5 are all roadless rural/Kodiak (HDs 37-40 & 5)
I don't recall Downtown ANC doing well in the these before. It's usually Juneau.

FYI - @JMilesColeman @WinWithJMC @DrewSav @Thorongil16 @tomhewittnews @WillMuldoon @alaskanrobby @leahwrenn @MunkeeRajah @alaskarobotics @cdfshcdfsh and my other political/Alaska followers
I just updated these maps with tonight's data.

-4,399 votes received/cast today (2,279ABS/2,120 Early).
-Suburban Juneau's HD-3 is now 6th in total returned and 4th in Early Vote.

cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…

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More from @cinyc9

cinyc Profile picture
Oct 29
November General Election 2022

October 29, 2022 - Day 1

New York - 16,314
Bronx - 5,282
Brooklyn - 12,688
Queens - 10,599
Staten Island - 4,826

Total Number of Early Voting Check-Ins 49,709
vs. 2020:

Manhattan - 19,877
Bronx - 14,928
Brooklyn - 29,411
Queens - 19,223
Staten Island - 10,391
Total Number of Early Voting Check-Ins 93,830
vs. 2021 GE:

Manhattan - 4,563
Bronx - 2,079
Brooklyn - 3,751
Queens - 3,441
Staten Island - 1,584
Total Number of Early Voting Check-Ins 15,418
Read 4 tweets
cinyc Profile picture
Sep 8
This doesn't exactly add up to the AK DoE tally yet (probably because of I how I tallied overvotes), but a preliminary analysis of the Alaska Cast Vote Record shows that @NBegich would have defeated @MaryPeltola had @SarahPalinUSA ended up in 3rd place by about 8.5K votes. Image
This is very rough (I didn't calculate those who under or overvoted in later rounds), but ~26% of AK-AL SE voters were bullet voters who ranked only 1 candidate. ~1.5% exhausted entirely. The other 72% ranked at least 2 candidates. ~7% ranked 4 - looking at you @WillMuldoon. Image
If you're wondering what would have happened had Peltola been eliminated after write-ins, Begich would have won by about 22 points. Image
Read 7 tweets
cinyc Profile picture
Aug 26
My AK results map has been updated with the new data for the special general election. Tundra primary maps will be updated within the hour.

cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…

(Twitter card is still from election night for comparison - more ED vote is in.)
Tundra primary data has just been added to the results interactive.
4,682 votes were included in this update, meaning about 8,100 should be remaining to count (plus anything received today), if my data is correct.
Read 4 tweets
cinyc Profile picture
Aug 25
AK released another Combined Ballots report. 12,784 votes remain to be counted in AK - 8,240 absentees, 6,309 Question votes, and ~469 early votes (some HDs are negative in the EV column for some reason, which is why it doesn't add up).

Tracker updated:
cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…
Correction - some of the Question votes have been counted. One column in my spreadsheet says ~4,484 have not. I need to double check my spreadsheet to make sure that's accurate. I didn't have a column for Q votes counted before today because 0 had been counted.
The correct number is 4,089 fully or partially accepted Question votes remain to be counted.

The interactive has been updated to reflect the new numbers. But you'll likely need to do a hard refresh to see them.
Read 4 tweets
cinyc Profile picture
Aug 23
32,983 totally or partially accepted votes remain to be counted in Alaska: 18,743 Absentees, 8,640 Early Votes and 5,600 Questioned Votes.

The Tracker has been updated with the new data. The most relevant tab now is under Menu-->Remaining-->8/22-->[Type]

cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…
AK DoE published actual accepted stats, so we now know the true universe of what has come in. We're still missing Questioned votes from a few HDs, but I'm going to try to run my model with them in a bit, since they're more rep of statewide now.
I've revised my model to take into account the ? votes, and got rid of the Max model. Instead, I have a second model assuming that the vote shifts in HDs with 0 ABS/EV vote info by the difference between SW total and ABS/EV vote.

Peltola is still on pace for 39ish%.
Read 4 tweets
cinyc Profile picture
Aug 23
Map of the first round winner in the 2021 Mayoral Primary by new CD. Yang barely won the portion of NY-3 in NYC + NY-5. Wiley won NY-7. Garcia took NY-10 & 12 on Manhattan. Adams won the rest.
In the 8th and final RCV round, Garcia also picked up NY-3, 6, 7 & 11.
FYI - @SageOfTime1. I think I computed this correctly. I'm sure about Round 8. Haven't checked the totals for Round 1, but the map seems right.
Read 4 tweets

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