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Oct 28 19 tweets 5 min read
1/ Was corruption implicated in Russia's failure to detect the truck that exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October? Reports in the Russian media – and the actions of the Russian government – suggest that all was not well in the bridge's management. Thread ⬇️
2/ Following the explosion, President Putin fired the deputy head of the Ministry of Transport, Alexander Sukhanov. He was responsible for transport security, including of the Crimean bridge. Putin has now reportedly transferred this responsibility to the FSB.
3/ The FSB has not escaped censure. Vlasti reports that Viktor Gavrilov, head of the FSB's T Directorate, was removed from his post. His directorate is responsible for security coverage of transport facilities. He was reportedly replaced by Sergey Demyanishnikov (pictured).
4/ The Kerch bridge's security was managed by the Federal State Unitary Enterprise Department of Departmental Security (UVO) of the Ministry of Transport. The UVO had previously let contracts worth 12 billion rubles ($195.5 million) relating to security measures on the bridge.
5/ The bridge opened in stages between 2018 and 2020. Cars and buses began using it in May 2018, followed by trucks in October 2018. Passenger trains began running in December 2019 and, from 30 June 2020, freight trains. Security measures were meant to accompany each stage.
6/ However, the completion date for the bridge's security facilities was repeatedly pushed back. In April 2022, the Ministry of Transport signed an agreement worth 617 million rubles for retrofitting the bridge with security measures.
7/ Part of the problem is that the volume of vehicle traffic across the bridge is such that intensive security checks would paralyse it. While 'level 3' security has been introduced on the railway bridge, in which every vehicle is checked, only level 2 applies to the road bridge.
8/ According to a Russian official, establishing 100% checks would require "total control of all vehicles." Only five to seven trucks could be checked per hour, which would grind traffic to a halt. "The bridge would be very safe, but nothing would go over it."
9/ Corruption, which is an omnipresent factor in Russian construction, is almost certainly also implicated. Vlasti accuses Alexei Vilorikovich Borisov, the Deputy General Director of the UVO of the Ministry of Transport, of holding up security measures through scams.
10/ According to a source quoted by Vlasti, "contracts for the construction of security checkpoints were embezzled in the following way". The scope of the work was overestimated in advance, then given to a road-building company with no experience in delivering the requirements.
11/ This company outsourced the work to specialists, who "get paid for the actual scope of work, which is slightly different, and some of them simply get dumped, unpaid. All the bills are then corrected according to the initial values, which are much higher than the actual ones."
12/ Although there are efforts to prevent violations and detect irregularities, the employees who try to do so "are fired, with one fatal accident occurring. Everything is hushed up at the highest level ... [by] police, prosecutors and even the FSB."
13/ The amount of the fraud is said to exceed 1.3 billion rubles ($21 million), with the stolen money being "dumped" into shell companies in order to be cashed out. As a result of the fraud, security work that had been paid for ended up being done late or not at all.
14/ It's impossible to say whether the bridge attack could have been prevented if the security systems were working. There's a human factor too – the bridge security guards who only gave the truck involved a brief inspection before allowing it to pass.
15/ As Vlasti points out, the UVO of the Ministry of Transport has a poor reputation as an employer. This is likely to be reflected in the quality of its employees' work and their willingness to accept bribes.
16/ It reports that employment review websites "contain a large number of complaints about the organisation's failure to comply with the Russian Federation Labour Code, the low salaries of employees, which need to be raised to 'above average', the lack of shift work, and so on."
17/ "Interestingly, the geography of the reviews does not include any specific region, but the whole country. The management of the departmental security services in Russia's southern regions is particularly hard hit."
18/ So it seems likely that the failure to detect the bomb that damaged the bridge wasn't just about technical failures or a lack of facilities, but a more general systemic failure of the Russian Ministry of Transport's ability to ensure security.

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Oct 29
1/ With the dismissal of Colonel-General Aleksandr Lapin as the commander of Russia's Central Military District, ugly stories are emerging about his treatment of mobilised soldiers. He's said to have put his pistol to the head of a lieutenant and threatened to shoot him. ⬇️ Image
2/ Mediazona reports that on 13 October, Lapin violently confronted Lieutenant Dmitry Vodnev, who withdrew his company from shelling at the village of Kolomyichykha, near Svatove in Luhansk oblast. The back story has emerged from the account of another soldier published by SOTA. Image
3/ Like many other mobiks, Vodnev's men were not given a medical examination or combat training after being mobilised into the 423rd Yampolsky motorized rifle regiment around 22 September. They were given only 1 day's shooting practice at a military camp in Belgorod.
Read 34 tweets
Oct 29
1/ Russian investigators believe the high-speed crash of an Su-30SM fighter jet in Irkutsk on 23 October may have been due to the aircraft's oxygen system malfunctioning, causing the two crew members to suffer a fatal case of hypoxia. Thread ⬇️
2/ Media reports say that the Eastern Interregional Investigation Department for Transport of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has opened a criminal case for "violation of the rules of traffic safety and operation of air transport" based on early findings.
3/ According to the investigators, the aircraft's oxygen system most likely malfunctioned, causing a lack of oxygen, an excess of it, or accidental contamination of the oxygen with nitrogen. This could have caused the two-man crew to both lose consciousness at the same time.
Read 13 tweets
Oct 27
1/ While some Russian milbloggers are still claiming improbably that everything is fine with the training of newly mobilised men, others are increasingly acknowledging that the army is providing little or no official training. Bloggers are organising to fill the gap. Thread ⬇️
2/ Pavel Gubarev, a pro-Russian activist and former neo-Nazi from Donetsk, comments on his Telegram channel that he is getting "a lot of reports from the ranges where the mobilised are collected. In short, there is no training and combat levelling, life is below par, etc."
3/ In response to "the criminal mistakes of the Ministry of Defence over the last 10 years," he writes, "civic initiative from below helps us to be combat-ready and equipped". An initiative called 'NVP from Rokot' aims "to solve the state task of preparing people for war."
Read 8 tweets
Oct 27
1/ The Russian Rybar Telegram channel has posted an analysis (from a Russian perspective) of the recent missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian electrical facilities. It highlights how the attacks have systematically targeted key 330 kV substations. Translation ⬇️
2/ "Rybar's team continues its systematic analysis of the consequences of the explosive attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure. The final (hopefully not the last) strike was carried out by the Russian Armed Forces on Saturday 22 October.
3/ 🔻 On that day, the following facilities were hit by explosions:

▪️ Target #1 - cutting off the Rovno NPP [Rivne nuclear power plant} from the 330kV power grid
➖PP Rovno 330, voltage 330/110/35/10 kV
PS Lutsk-North, voltage 330/220/110/10/6 kV
Read 18 tweets
Oct 27
1/ Mobilised men of the Russian 55th Motorized Rifle Brigade deployed near Lyman in Ukraine have little water, no food, fake training, only small arms, a tank with no fuel and are taking heavy casualties. Their relatives complain that they are being treated like pigs. ⬇️
2/ The men's relatives, from Serov in Sverdlovsk region, have recorded a video appeal about their plight. They say that the men have no food and are being given only 1.5 litres of water to last two days, for two people.
3/ One of the soldiers tells his partner in a recorded phone conversation that they took a beating three times from the Ukrainians but he hadn't even fired a single shot. Some men were blown up by a mine. They were given only fake training for TV cameras.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 26
1/ In a somewhat macabre ritual, the Russian army has brought in a priest to baptise (living) soldiers using body bags as baptismal fonts, according to Russian local TV channel Telekanal UTV. Translation follows. ⬇️
2/ Ufa archpriest Viktor Ivanov baptized soldiers in a plastic bag for cargo 200 [fatalities]. He said he was approached with such a request right on the territory of the airborne troop reserve, where he went. The priest spoke about this on his social media page.
3/ A basin was needed for the ritual, but it was not available at the unit. Instead, the archpriest decided to use a plastic bag for "cargo 200". He even saw a certain symbolism of death and life in this.
Read 5 tweets

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