3/ When Jeff Bezos, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Amazon stepped down and handed the reins to Andrew Jassy, former head of Amazon Web Services we thought the timing phenomenal. For Mr. Bezos.
4/ Andrew Jassy’s transitioning to the executive of all-things-Amazon strikes us as incredibly similar to Bob Nardelli’s taking the helm of Home Depot in December of 2000. We do not say this to disparage either man. Quite the contrary.
5/ In Bob Nardelli’s case, he took over Home Depot at a point when expectations were running high.
6/ He grew sales by over 100% and grew earnings per share by 179%.
7/ You’d think that was pretty good right?? Yet Nardelli was named “Worst American CEOs of All Time” by Conde Nast and was effectively ousted by the Board. A withering article from Wharton delved into Mr. Nardelli’s many failures as CEO.
8/ Don’t cry for him. He walked away with a $210 million compensation package. Here’s what happened to Home Depot’s revenues, earnings and stock price over Nardelli’s tenure. 👇🏼
9/ So what happened? Nardelli served as the CEO during a period in which a stock priced for tremendous growth fell….despite Nardelli delivering tremendous growth. At some point, even for the best companies with the best management, the multiple you pay for the stock matters.
2/ Buying a new iPhone is nice. Keeping your home warm and eating food requires energy. That is non-negotiable. The world is structurally short of hydrocarbons due to the explosion of ESG investing and empirically failed government policies.
3/ While the intentions are good, the consequences are dire. The world needs more energy. It does not need more Teslas and other environmental solutions that are rapidly failing the tests of basic physics.
2/ Engineers have nearly doubled fuel economy despite exploding vehicle size, weight and horsepower due to consumer preference for bigger, safer faster cars
This is proof of superb R&D by automotive OEMs
3/ Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) have received massive subsidies based on highly politicized decisions by the CARB board.
Unfortunately, as the environmentalist group explains in this simple image, they require epic amounts of LITHIUM
2/...and then the company said they were going end guidance for paid membership, choosing instead to focus on sales, operating income, operating margin, net income and EPS
3/ That sounds a lot like a mature company where traditional valuation metrics start to become the yard-stick by which they are measured.
If the wheeler-dealer days of subscriber growth beats, agnostic of fundamentals are over, then one has to contemplate FREE CASH FLOW
1/ @DoombergT put out one of the best summaries of the tremendous success created by massive chemical facilities like BASF’s in Germany that most of us never have to see.
@DoombergT 2/ Barring some very good fortune we are all going to be learning about the business of chemical plants.
@DoombergT 3/ This has been on the back pages of the news off-and-on since Bayer’s glyphosate plant went down unexpectedly and sent crop prices soaring. One of the headaches with weed-control is that the efficacy of glyphosate has been declining due to a lack of innovation in weed control.
1/ Let's look at a 2021 Summary... Market Cap to GDP hits 234% by November – a full 59% higher than the dot com bubble peak.
2/ By December, 10 year stock market returns hit 200+ year peaks with the Shiller PE hitting 39x.
3/ Warren Buffett’s cash pile hits an all-time record of $149bn by November. Private Equity sets a record for “putting funds to work” in 2021, with deal volume approaching $1.25 trillion.