1/ Russian investigators believe the high-speed crash of an Su-30SM fighter jet in Irkutsk on 23 October may have been due to the aircraft's oxygen system malfunctioning, causing the two crew members to suffer a fatal case of hypoxia. Thread ⬇️
2/ Media reports say that the Eastern Interregional Investigation Department for Transport of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has opened a criminal case for "violation of the rules of traffic safety and operation of air transport" based on early findings.
3/ According to the investigators, the aircraft's oxygen system most likely malfunctioned, causing a lack of oxygen, an excess of it, or accidental contamination of the oxygen with nitrogen. This could have caused the two-man crew to both lose consciousness at the same time.
4/ The crew had been carrying out final acceptance tests on the new Su-30SM at an altitude of 9,000 m. However, comunications with the pilots, Maxim Konyushin and Viktor Kryukov, were lost at 17:50 local time. Subsequent attempts to contact them by radio were unsuccessful.
5/ The aircraft was in automatic control mode, so the autopilot carried out the planned tests before returning the aircraft to the approach to the Irkutsk aircraft plant's airfield. At this point, the crew should have taken over, reduced speed and started the glide path.
6/ Instead, the autopilot sent the jet into a long circle over the outskirts of Irkutsk at about 800-900 km/h and an altitude of about 600m. Sergey Mikhailyuk, the chief Sukhoi test pilot, used another aircraft to try to see what was wrong.
7/ Mikhailyuk found that the Su-30SM itself was in good condition, but "both of its pilots were sitting limply in their chairs, their heads bowed." He could not intervene. The aircraft circled for 30 minutes before its final plunge at 18:19, crashing into a house.
8/ The reason for the aircraft's sudden fall is not yet known, but it's thought that one of the pilots may have slumped forward onto the controls, perhaps after having earlier loosened his harness while trying to resolve the oxygen fault. There were no casualties on the ground.
9/ The pilots may already have been dead of hypoxia at the moment of the crash. The impact was so severe that the Su-30SM buried itself 6m into the ground. The black box has been recovered, but most of the aircraft has been completely pulverised.
10/ The investigators are focusing on maintainance procedures at the Irkutsk aircraft plant, which is operated by Irkut Corporation PJSC, which employed the two airmen as test pilots.
11/ The investigative committee seized items including a UGZS-M-131 unified gas charging station, a mobile system based on the ZIL-131 truck with cylinders in the back. It's used at airfields for refueling aircraft oxygen systems.
12/ It's likely they are looking at whether the equipment was faulty, or whether a failure by the ground crew to follow safety procedures led to the aircraft's oxygen supply malfunctioning. It's an expensive loss; each Su-30SM costs nearly 1.2 billion rubles ($16.3m). /end
1/ With the dismissal of Colonel-General Aleksandr Lapin as the commander of Russia's Central Military District, ugly stories are emerging about his treatment of mobilised soldiers. He's said to have put his pistol to the head of a lieutenant and threatened to shoot him. ⬇️
2/ Mediazona reports that on 13 October, Lapin violently confronted Lieutenant Dmitry Vodnev, who withdrew his company from shelling at the village of Kolomyichykha, near Svatove in Luhansk oblast. The back story has emerged from the account of another soldier published by SOTA.
3/ Like many other mobiks, Vodnev's men were not given a medical examination or combat training after being mobilised into the 423rd Yampolsky motorized rifle regiment around 22 September. They were given only 1 day's shooting practice at a military camp in Belgorod.
1/ Was corruption implicated in Russia's failure to detect the truck that exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October? Reports in the Russian media – and the actions of the Russian government – suggest that all was not well in the bridge's management. Thread ⬇️
2/ Following the explosion, President Putin fired the deputy head of the Ministry of Transport, Alexander Sukhanov. He was responsible for transport security, including of the Crimean bridge. Putin has now reportedly transferred this responsibility to the FSB.
3/ The FSB has not escaped censure. Vlasti reports that Viktor Gavrilov, head of the FSB's T Directorate, was removed from his post. His directorate is responsible for security coverage of transport facilities. He was reportedly replaced by Sergey Demyanishnikov (pictured).
1/ While some Russian milbloggers are still claiming improbably that everything is fine with the training of newly mobilised men, others are increasingly acknowledging that the army is providing little or no official training. Bloggers are organising to fill the gap. Thread ⬇️
2/ Pavel Gubarev, a pro-Russian activist and former neo-Nazi from Donetsk, comments on his Telegram channel that he is getting "a lot of reports from the ranges where the mobilised are collected. In short, there is no training and combat levelling, life is below par, etc."
3/ In response to "the criminal mistakes of the Ministry of Defence over the last 10 years," he writes, "civic initiative from below helps us to be combat-ready and equipped". An initiative called 'NVP from Rokot' aims "to solve the state task of preparing people for war."
1/ The Russian Rybar Telegram channel has posted an analysis (from a Russian perspective) of the recent missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian electrical facilities. It highlights how the attacks have systematically targeted key 330 kV substations. Translation ⬇️
2/ "Rybar's team continues its systematic analysis of the consequences of the explosive attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure. The final (hopefully not the last) strike was carried out by the Russian Armed Forces on Saturday 22 October.
3/ 🔻 On that day, the following facilities were hit by explosions:
▪️ Target #1 - cutting off the Rovno NPP [Rivne nuclear power plant} from the 330kV power grid
➖PP Rovno 330, voltage 330/110/35/10 kV
PS Lutsk-North, voltage 330/220/110/10/6 kV
1/ Mobilised men of the Russian 55th Motorized Rifle Brigade deployed near Lyman in Ukraine have little water, no food, fake training, only small arms, a tank with no fuel and are taking heavy casualties. Their relatives complain that they are being treated like pigs. ⬇️
2/ The men's relatives, from Serov in Sverdlovsk region, have recorded a video appeal about their plight. They say that the men have no food and are being given only 1.5 litres of water to last two days, for two people.
3/ One of the soldiers tells his partner in a recorded phone conversation that they took a beating three times from the Ukrainians but he hadn't even fired a single shot. Some men were blown up by a mine. They were given only fake training for TV cameras.
1/ In a somewhat macabre ritual, the Russian army has brought in a priest to baptise (living) soldiers using body bags as baptismal fonts, according to Russian local TV channel Telekanal UTV. Translation follows. ⬇️
2/ Ufa archpriest Viktor Ivanov baptized soldiers in a plastic bag for cargo 200 [fatalities]. He said he was approached with such a request right on the territory of the airborne troop reserve, where he went. The priest spoke about this on his social media page.
3/ A basin was needed for the ritual, but it was not available at the unit. Instead, the archpriest decided to use a plastic bag for "cargo 200". He even saw a certain symbolism of death and life in this.