“Liz Truss's personal phone was hacked by agents suspected of working for Russian President Vladimir Putin, The Mail on Sunday can reveal.” dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
“They gained access to top-secret details of negotiations with key international allies – as well as private messages she exchanged with her close friend Kwasi Kwarteng.” dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
“The hack was discovered during the summer Tory leadership campaign, when Ms Truss was Foreign Secretary, but the details were suppressed by the then Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Cabinet Secretary Simon Case.” dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
“the [Truss] messages that fell into foreign hands included criticisms of Mr Johnson made by Ms Truss and Mr Kwarteng [and] highly sensitive discussions with senior international foreign ministers about the war in Ukraine, including detailed discussions about arms shipments.”
Something of a change to see German officials irked by others' refusal to allow arms exports. "German politicians have called for an end to arms deals w/ Switzerland as a political dispute deepens over Bern’s refusal to allow arms to be shipped to Ukraine" ft.com/content/56ce4b…
'German defence minister Christine Lambrecht wrote to the Swiss government 10 days ago, urging it to lift a re-export veto on anti-aircraft shells for German-made “Cheetah” flak guns that Berlin has donated to Kyiv. Bern first refused a request by Berlin to lift [it] in April'
'Swiss lawmakers responded on Monday with accusations — and thinly veiled references to the second world war — that Germany “no longer respects” Switzerland’s political neutrality.' ft.com/content/56ce4b…
New @WarOnTheRocks podcast with Ryan Evans & Michael Kofman reflecting on their recent trip to Ukraine, recorded as they drove from the Poland-Ukraine border to Krakow. I've picked out some of the things that stood out to me. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sou…
Kofman on the Kherson front: "They [Russia] have a fairly high density of forces in Kherson right now, it does not appear that they are planning to abandon it, although they are overall in a precarious position ... they are not of ammunition. They are not out of logistics."
Kofman: "I think...probably Ukrainian forces are optimistic that they can press the Russian military out of this part of Kherson—that is the the foothold west of the river—by the end of the year, although that in itself remains uncertain ... it looks very much like a hard fight"
‘Despite hundreds of deaths and over 12,000 arrests, Mr Khamenei’s forces have failed to quell the revolt. “We’re not a movement any more,” says a protester at a university in Tehran. “We’re a revolution that’s giving birth to a nation.”…’ economist.com/middle-east-an…
‘For the first time in the Middle East, women have been leading the protests. They have had enough of men in turbans controlling how they must dress, travel and even work. By law, they still need male guardians to go between provinces or stay in hotels.’ economist.com/middle-east-an…
‘Six weeks on, the Islamic Republic is in retreat. Women walk the streets and ride the Tehran underground without headscarves. Some raise a finger at security forces when they pass. Others offer hugs to male strangers.’ economist.com/middle-east-an…
New IMEMO analysis. “There are reasonable doubts about the military effectiveness of the small-scale use of nuclear weapons as a means of local battle space. The large-scale use of nuclear weapons does not meet the target framework of a local conflict” imemo.ru/en/news/events…
“…prominent Soviet and Russian military theorist and historian, Gen M.A. Gareev [noted] the results of in-depth studies of the use of TNWs as a battlefield tool in Europe conducted in the 1970s… concluded that such a conflict was unmanageable and had no mil. significant effect”
The key judgment from IMEMO. “it can be assumed with a high degree of certainty that nuclear weapons will not be used provided that the conflict remains within the current borders and without direct involvement of other participating states on the side of Ukraine.”
Two thoughts. One, as I reported three weeks ago (economist.com/europe/2022/10…), Russian illegals—scarce & expensive assets—are getting caught because they’re being forced to take greater risks, given heightened pressure on regular intelligence officers. This is latest example.
Second, Brazilian officials are getting fed up of Russian intelligence agencies using Brazilian cover identities. The precious example: intelnews.org/2022/07/25/01-…
“News of unidentified drones buzzing in the skies above the North Sea in recent days has made Oslo increasingly concerned that the Kremlin might target its offshore facilities in a bid to intimidate its competition.” euronews.com/2022/10/23/fea…
“Amund Revheim, who heads the North Sea and environment group for Norway's South West Police force, said his team interviewed more than 70 offshore workers who have spotted drones …"The working thesis is that they are controlled from vessels or submarines nearby," Revheim said.”
“The arrest of at least seven Russian nationals caught either carrying or illegally flying drones over Norwegian territory has raised tensions. On Wednesday, the same day a drone sighting grounded planes in Bergen, Norway's second-biggest city” euronews.com/2022/10/23/fea…