GeoConfirmed Investigation.
What happened in Sevastopol, Crimea?
A @GeoConfirmed thread.
We gathered a lot of footage en we will number our tweets xx/
Thx @TilmanPlan4Risk for this picture.
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What happened in Sevastopol, Crimea?
A @GeoConfirmed thread.
We gathered a lot of footage en we will number our tweets xx/
Thx @TilmanPlan4Risk for this picture.
01/
The first videos emerged this morning.
Video 01: Explosion in distance, filmed by a fixed camera.
44.64545, 33.53681
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Video 01: Explosion in distance, filmed by a fixed camera.
44.64545, 33.53681
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GeoLocation:
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A lot of people were tracking Sevastopol by their camera system and later today they've shut down the feed.
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Video 02: Explosion in distance.
It looks like there is anti-air (AA) shooting from two different positions.
POV around 44.66221, 33.54637
Very rough estimated area of explosion: near Strilets'ka bay
GeoLocated by @auditor_ya and @TexAgg04
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It looks like there is anti-air (AA) shooting from two different positions.
POV around 44.66221, 33.54637
Very rough estimated area of explosion: near Strilets'ka bay
GeoLocated by @auditor_ya and @TexAgg04
05/
During the day video's emerged of a Russian helicopter attacking something on the water.
Video 03:
POV = 44.60304, 33.46026
Estimated location = 44.61672, 33.43184
Thx to @auditor_ya
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Video 03:
POV = 44.60304, 33.46026
Estimated location = 44.61672, 33.43184
Thx to @auditor_ya
07/
GeoLocation:
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Another video about the same helicopter attacking a target.
Video 04:
POV = 44.59839, 33.45868
Estimated location = 44.61672, 33.43184
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Video 04:
POV = 44.59839, 33.45868
Estimated location = 44.61672, 33.43184
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GeoLocation:
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Based on the angle, the explosion and flight path of the helicopter we conclude that this is the same helicopter and the same incident.
This allowed us to do a triangulation.
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This allowed us to do a triangulation.
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In the afternoon other interesting footage emerged.
Footage from USVs (Unmanned Surface Vehicle) that were roaming the harbor and the sea near Sevastopol.
Here one was targeted by a helicopter.
Video 04
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Footage from USVs (Unmanned Surface Vehicle) that were roaming the harbor and the sea near Sevastopol.
Here one was targeted by a helicopter.
Video 04
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In this frame we see the USV hunting for a ship (red) and fired upon (light blue) by the helicopter (Blue), probably an Mi-8 HIP.
The ship is moving from left to right.
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The ship is moving from left to right.
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In this frame we see the ship moving from right to left and it is closer then the previous frame.
It looks like the helicopter dropped a kind of explosive and the footage stops.
The footage is not mirrored (see the screws)
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It looks like the helicopter dropped a kind of explosive and the footage stops.
The footage is not mirrored (see the screws)
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Video 05
This is likely the same incident filmed from the shoreline.
A ship tried to escape and a helicopter is trying to shoot something in the water.
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This is likely the same incident filmed from the shoreline.
A ship tried to escape and a helicopter is trying to shoot something in the water.
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Video 06
In this footage we see a USV filming the attack on probably another USV.
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In this footage we see a USV filming the attack on probably another USV.
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Video 07
In this footage we see a USV filming the attack on probably another USV. The same or another one is unclear. At 06 seconds you see in the left corner the explosion.
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In this footage we see a USV filming the attack on probably another USV. The same or another one is unclear. At 06 seconds you see in the left corner the explosion.
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Here you see the explosion.
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In this video you see the attack on an Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate. According to @CovertShores (9 May 22) only the Admiral Makarov matches this class for the Black Sea fleet.
The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on the vessel, it likely exploded.
Video 08
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The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on the vessel, it likely exploded.
Video 08
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In this video you can see the attack on a Natya class minesweeper, Soviet designation Project 266M Akvamarin.
According to Russian MOD the Ivan Golubets received "minor" damage.
The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on the vessel, the USV likely exploded.
Video 09
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According to Russian MOD the Ivan Golubets received "minor" damage.
The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on the vessel, the USV likely exploded.
Video 09
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In this video you can see another USV roaming between the docked ships inside the harbor, probably looking for a target of opportunity.
The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on a vessel, the USV likely exploded.
Video 10
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The footage stops when the USV seems to impact on a vessel, the USV likely exploded.
Video 10
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The USV was really inside the harbor between the ships looking for his target.
Based on the footage we can conclude that it was near at least 4 ships and for attacking the target it did almost a U turn.
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Based on the footage we can conclude that it was near at least 4 ships and for attacking the target it did almost a U turn.
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What kind of USV was used by Ukraine?
For this we totally agree with @CovertShores' conclusion 👇
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For this we totally agree with @CovertShores' conclusion 👇
https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1586358192178601984
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We had it also @GeoConfirmed:
"21 1640 SEP - GEO - VID - Russian sources reported that this afternoon, an object resembling an unmanned surface vehicle of some kind washed up on the shore of Sevastopol."
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"21 1640 SEP - GEO - VID - Russian sources reported that this afternoon, an object resembling an unmanned surface vehicle of some kind washed up on the shore of Sevastopol."
https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1573424232163336200
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But how many USVs were used?
Based on all the footage we estimate at least between 6 and 8.
- 3 Were used on ships
- 3 were roaming 'in daylight' in 'open' water.
- 2 were destroyed (Can't exclude those are the same as the roaming ones.)
29/
Based on all the footage we estimate at least between 6 and 8.
- 3 Were used on ships
- 3 were roaming 'in daylight' in 'open' water.
- 2 were destroyed (Can't exclude those are the same as the roaming ones.)
29/
How can we asses this number?
An USV his camera is fixed, really hard, needed to counter the impact of the waves. Based on the width of the screen and the position of the angle to the screws you can see the difference.
3 were used in the early morning, 3 during daylight.
30/
An USV his camera is fixed, really hard, needed to counter the impact of the waves. Based on the width of the screen and the position of the angle to the screws you can see the difference.
3 were used in the early morning, 3 during daylight.
30/
In one of the video's (Video 02) you see anti-air shooting.
This could point to the fact that also UAV are used, until now we didn't found any proof of that.
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This could point to the fact that also UAV are used, until now we didn't found any proof of that.
31/
Anyone who watched today's newsfeed knows that certain video's/images are not in this thread yet.
Their is a reason for that.
Black smoke 01.
POV = 44.570300, 33.409081
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
GeoLcoated by @COUPSURE and @TurpotutkaI
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Their is a reason for that.
Black smoke 01.
POV = 44.570300, 33.409081
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
GeoLcoated by @COUPSURE and @TurpotutkaI
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Black Smoke 02.
POV = 44.5692, 33.42721
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
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POV = 44.5692, 33.42721
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
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GeoLocation:
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Black Smoke 03.
POV = 44.57745, 33.45865
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
GeoLocated by @auditor_ya
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POV = 44.57745, 33.45865
Location Smoke around = 44.58076, 33.41561
GeoLocated by @auditor_ya
https://twitter.com/zardi215/status/1586289092291330048
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Here are the 3 geolocations on 1 map.
So why is this not relevant...based on the footage that emerged around noon -as far as we know- this smoke was part of an exercise where they burned tires. (black smoke)
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So why is this not relevant...based on the footage that emerged around noon -as far as we know- this smoke was part of an exercise where they burned tires. (black smoke)
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But why would you do an exercise... with a naval vessel... after your fleet is attacked... with a lot of smoke 🤔
The only reason you would do that is to get information in the open and distract the attention from the attacks.
(Old?) footage from the same area:
39/
The only reason you would do that is to get information in the open and distract the attention from the attacks.
(Old?) footage from the same area:
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According to the Russian MOD all the ships that were attacked were involved in ensuring the 'grain corridor' and they have now suspended the 'grain deal'.
So what kind of fleet protects it's shipping routes from inside it's harbor? 🤔
Source:
theguardian.com/world/2022/oct…
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So what kind of fleet protects it's shipping routes from inside it's harbor? 🤔
Source:
theguardian.com/world/2022/oct…
40/
Conclusion:
Based on all available footage, it's highly likely that:
1. USV's penetrated THE Sevastopol harbor defense
2. > 6 USV's were used
3. At least 3 ships were struck with an USV
4. The presumed dolphins didn't do their job
5. Swimming > USV encounter.
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Based on all available footage, it's highly likely that:
1. USV's penetrated THE Sevastopol harbor defense
2. > 6 USV's were used
3. At least 3 ships were struck with an USV
4. The presumed dolphins didn't do their job
5. Swimming > USV encounter.
41/
For this thread i want to thank @CovertShores, @COUPSURE, @JohnB_Schneider, @auditor_ya, @TexAgg04 and all the others who are helping with fact based information.
Special thanks to all our volunteers.
Who are we? 👇
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Special thanks to all our volunteers.
Who are we? 👇
42/
https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1578476194697457664
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This helps
- Improving our map and user interface
- Improving data management
- Buying Sat Img for confirmations and investigations
buymeacoffee.com/geoconfirmed
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Our thread on the "dirty bomb" narative:
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https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1585627461668438016
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Our thread on the "Ukrainian barge with SOF was destroyed when they tried to attack the ZNPP"
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https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1570017197279305729
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Our thread on the Kramatorsk Strike:
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https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1513316193536458757
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Follow us for more GeoConfirmed investigations.
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