This morning, Ukraine attacked the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol with suicide drones. Perhaps both aerial and maritime drones, but certainly the naval variety.
These maritime drones are more or less robot spy canoes filled with high explosives.
The exact extent of the damage inflicted is unknown, but credible reports claim:
The Admiral Makarov sustained multiple drone hits that damaged both superstructures, the radar, the fire control, and communication systems. It could take weeks or months to repair the ship.
A transport ship was damaged and flooded.
A boat of unknown type sank.
The minesweeper “Ivan Golubets” was damaged and caught fire for many hours.
A large landing ship was damaged.
The attack destroyed fuel storage and shore buildings.
Russia took a moment between mercilessly firing missiles into children’s hospitals to claim this attack on the Sevastopol naval base was a “terrorist attack.”
But, of course, they also blame the British.
There is significant fighting along the front between Kreminna and Svatove. Especially near Kuzemivka (1) and Chervonopopivka (3).
Today Russia decided to attack Myasezharivka (2), but Ukrainian defenders repelled the attack.
I updated my map near Chervonopopivka to show the advance of the Ukrainian forces. They have dug in around 2km west of the town and 4km west of the highway. The Russian defensive line is about halfway between the Ukrainians and the p66.
The fighting between Kuzemivka and Chervonopopivka is heavy, the force concentrations are relatively dense, and the casualty rates are high for both sides.
In the Siversk area, Russia again attacked Bilohorivka. They are heavily shelling this town and repeatedly assaulting it. Russia is very upset that Ukraine is this close to Lysychansk, and they desperately want to retake this town.
Almost all civilians evacuated Bilohorivka at this point, and the villages to the west, particularly Serebryanka, are relatively safe for civilians (although civilians shouldn’t be here at all).
The fighting in the Bakhmut area is brutal, with many casualties.
As usual, North of Bakhmut, Russia attacked Yakovlivka, Soledar, and Bakhmutske without notable changes.
South of Bakhmut, Russia attacked the southeast of Bakhmut, Ivanhrad and Opytne, Kurdyumivka, and Mayorsk.
The Ukrainian general staff claims they “destroyed” 300 men and wounded 60 more near Mayorsk (A), who were preparing to assault Ukrainian positions. Whether this is true or not, I don’t know.
In the Donetsk area, Russia attacked Kamyanka, Opytne, Vodyane, Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.
I am unaware of progress since yesterday in Opytne and Vodyane. Russia made no progress in Pervomaiske and may have moved slightly in Nevelske. The attacks in Krasnohorivka and Marinka are to keep Ukraine in place, not genuine attempts to capture ground.
South of Donetsk, Russia launched a powerful attack on Pavlivka (4). They have reportedly entered Pavlivka, but I do not know the full extent of their success in the city. However, my sources say the situation is difficult, and Russia may control all of Pavlivka.
Russia is supporting this attack with aviation, but more interesting to me are the large salvos of S-300. Russia is firing these missiles from Mariupol, roughly in the areas marked B and C on the map.
Sticking to the Mariupol area, a large explosion was reported in Berdyansk today. I didn’t see an explanation for this. Perhaps they were detonating recovered sea mines. I marked it on the map due to the events in Sevastopol.
South of Hulyaipole, Ukraine attacked Konstanynivka and Marfopil. These are minor attacks, probing for weaknesses in the Russian defenses.
West of Orikhiv, Ukraine attacked Pyatykhatky. Again, likely a minor attack, probing for weaknesses.
Today, Ukraine attacked all major Russian river crossings in the Kherson area, striking the Khakovka dam, the Darivka pontoon area, and the Antonovskiy Bridge area.
Finally, Ukraine attacked Bruskynske today (5). Russia repelled this attack with aviation and artillery fire.
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After Trump put Fedex guys in charge of USPS, the democrats should issue an official warning that any aspect of USPS that might get “privatized” under trump will be immediately seized, without compensation, by the following administration and congress.
There should be an open air understanding that any aspect of the government privatized by Trump will be seized back without compensation. We will eminent domain your ass, and change any law (or court makeup) to make it legal.
The property of the people isn’t for sale. That’s the message.
The US saw Russia using nothing but golf carts and ladas in Ukraine and said fuck it, we're going on all in. We're cancelling all armor procurement. Battle golf carts are the future. Who needs firepower when you have bags of meat strapped to a go-cart?
Many Americans will die, and that is a sacrifice the Army is willing to make. Drive the golf cart full steam into a drone swarm. The guys in the back will have tons of ability to shoot back before they die, since there will be no walls or doors to get in the way.
All paths will be heavily mined, which is why we got rid of mraps. The mraps would just get disabled anyway, and then you'd be wishing you had a golf cart to ride. So, instead of wasting our time with armor, lets cut to the chase and deploy you on a golf cart from the start.
Interesting uptick in Russian dive bomber drones recently. I've wondered why they were developed then suddenly disappeared. They always seemed the most effective type of drone.
Russians are using dive bombers to destroy vehicles. Much more efficient than suiciding the drone and deals the same damage.
Magyar used to use dive bombers to destroy tanks, but stopped for some reason.
Sitting here listening to a news report from the 1970s where the police broke into the wrong house in a police raid, where every American was... normal. They were outraged, they wanted immediate accountability and changes to the law. And then congress... changed the law. Apparently the US had a functional society at some point.
Literally in 4 days there will be a major supreme court case in the US about this. That law from the 70s, the federal government has basically declared the law doesn't count. On Tuesday, four days from now, there is a Supreme Court case where the courts will decide whether that law written by congress is going to be followed or whether the judiciary gets to invent their own laws and ignore congress.
And nobody is talking about this, for some reason. Even after literally yesterday where Trump literally signed an executive order THAT ALLOWS FEDERAL AGENTS TO SEARCH YOUR HOUSE WITHOUT A WARRANT.
I see several things happening in Ukraine right now:
1: Ukraine has pivoted to a drone based defense. Most of the gains you see Russia making right now are coming as a result of one of two things. A: Inferior Ukrainian drone units or B: Overwhelming Numerical Superiority.
When I say an inferior drone unit, I do not mean the pilots are bad, or even necessarily that their construction is bad. It could be as simple as not having access to enough drones, or not having enough pilots. I simply mean the unit isn’t strong enough for the task.
Where we see the strongest drone units, we see Russia struggling to advance, Usually only advancing with extreme numerical superiority and enormous casualties.