This morning, Ukraine attacked the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol with suicide drones. Perhaps both aerial and maritime drones, but certainly the naval variety.
These maritime drones are more or less robot spy canoes filled with high explosives.
The exact extent of the damage inflicted is unknown, but credible reports claim:
The Admiral Makarov sustained multiple drone hits that damaged both superstructures, the radar, the fire control, and communication systems. It could take weeks or months to repair the ship.
A transport ship was damaged and flooded.
A boat of unknown type sank.
The minesweeper “Ivan Golubets” was damaged and caught fire for many hours.
A large landing ship was damaged.
The attack destroyed fuel storage and shore buildings.
Russia took a moment between mercilessly firing missiles into children’s hospitals to claim this attack on the Sevastopol naval base was a “terrorist attack.”
But, of course, they also blame the British.
There is significant fighting along the front between Kreminna and Svatove. Especially near Kuzemivka (1) and Chervonopopivka (3).
Today Russia decided to attack Myasezharivka (2), but Ukrainian defenders repelled the attack.
I updated my map near Chervonopopivka to show the advance of the Ukrainian forces. They have dug in around 2km west of the town and 4km west of the highway. The Russian defensive line is about halfway between the Ukrainians and the p66.
The fighting between Kuzemivka and Chervonopopivka is heavy, the force concentrations are relatively dense, and the casualty rates are high for both sides.
In the Siversk area, Russia again attacked Bilohorivka. They are heavily shelling this town and repeatedly assaulting it. Russia is very upset that Ukraine is this close to Lysychansk, and they desperately want to retake this town.
Almost all civilians evacuated Bilohorivka at this point, and the villages to the west, particularly Serebryanka, are relatively safe for civilians (although civilians shouldn’t be here at all).
The fighting in the Bakhmut area is brutal, with many casualties.
As usual, North of Bakhmut, Russia attacked Yakovlivka, Soledar, and Bakhmutske without notable changes.
South of Bakhmut, Russia attacked the southeast of Bakhmut, Ivanhrad and Opytne, Kurdyumivka, and Mayorsk.
The Ukrainian general staff claims they “destroyed” 300 men and wounded 60 more near Mayorsk (A), who were preparing to assault Ukrainian positions. Whether this is true or not, I don’t know.
In the Donetsk area, Russia attacked Kamyanka, Opytne, Vodyane, Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.
I am unaware of progress since yesterday in Opytne and Vodyane. Russia made no progress in Pervomaiske and may have moved slightly in Nevelske. The attacks in Krasnohorivka and Marinka are to keep Ukraine in place, not genuine attempts to capture ground.
South of Donetsk, Russia launched a powerful attack on Pavlivka (4). They have reportedly entered Pavlivka, but I do not know the full extent of their success in the city. However, my sources say the situation is difficult, and Russia may control all of Pavlivka.
Russia is supporting this attack with aviation, but more interesting to me are the large salvos of S-300. Russia is firing these missiles from Mariupol, roughly in the areas marked B and C on the map.
Sticking to the Mariupol area, a large explosion was reported in Berdyansk today. I didn’t see an explanation for this. Perhaps they were detonating recovered sea mines. I marked it on the map due to the events in Sevastopol.
South of Hulyaipole, Ukraine attacked Konstanynivka and Marfopil. These are minor attacks, probing for weaknesses in the Russian defenses.
West of Orikhiv, Ukraine attacked Pyatykhatky. Again, likely a minor attack, probing for weaknesses.
Today, Ukraine attacked all major Russian river crossings in the Kherson area, striking the Khakovka dam, the Darivka pontoon area, and the Antonovskiy Bridge area.
Finally, Ukraine attacked Bruskynske today (5). Russia repelled this attack with aviation and artillery fire.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
While Trump’s team spreads defeatism and tries to blackmail Ukraine into surrender, Ukrainian soldiers on the battlefield remain unimpressed by the proclamations coming out of Washington Oblast.
Their actions speak louder than words.
In recent days, Ukraine has:
Recaptured Kotlyne
Liberated Pischane
Pushed into Shevchenko
These gains prove two critical points.
🔹 First: Ukraine still has the ability to seize the initiative.
Despite immense challenges, its military can concentrate forces, execute counterattacks, and maintain operational momentum—suggesting it retains significant reserves.
If the West falters, Ukraine can continue fighting until Russia collapses. Slowly trading land against Russian offensive potentials.
If the West finds its backbone, Ukraine can decisively defeat Russia and end the war on just terms.
Europe could have invested 1-2 hundred billion dollars over the past 3 years, but instead they will have to invest 3-5 trillion over the next 20. I’ve talked about this many times in the past. The politicians made very unwise decisions because they were afraid.
Should have gone 100% all in on making Ukraine win from day 1. Full on everything. It would have fixed every problem. Countries still aren’t even doing this. Every single day you delay will cost you 100 or 1000 times more over the next few years.
You thought it cost too much to squeeze 20-30 billion dollars into your budget for 5 years. Imagine having to fit in 500 billion.
There is absolutely no reason for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, at all, for any reason, in the year 2025. Any negotiations should start in mid 2026, when the Russian economy has imploded, their deficits are blasting off to the moon, and Russia can no longer fight.
Every country should be looking at the situation like this: we only have to get ukraine through the next 12-18 months. We need to throw in the money, weapons, and ammo available now to make this happen. This is not a forever war. There is 1 year left. We are 75% done.
Russia will have absolutely no ability to wage war in the year 2027. Zero ability. Bringing the war into 2027 should be the threat to Russia. If we supply Ukraine through to that time period, Russia risks absolute implosion.
This little bulldozer effectively negated the impact of the russian airforce on the Ukrainian supply lines south of Kostyantynopil. Russians were dropping tremendous numbers of bombs in an attempt to destroy the bridges, and this little guy is out here rebuilding them and getting rid of craters. It took a solid hit from a FPV Drone, but the driver wasn't there when it happened. Little guy denied the impact of the airforce for a few thousand dollars. This is why Engineering fundraisers are vital.
Here you can see some of the airstrikes.
Also, it takes a significant amount of bravery to go out there on a bulldozer and fix these damaged bridges. You are very exposed. And, hopefully, the bulldozer is reliable because you don't want to be messing around out there.
The American people said “we don’t like inflation!” and had a choice between two presidents.
Option A said their goal was to attack the source of inflation so the economic conditions that lead to rapid rise in costs wont happen again.
Option B said their plan was to increase inflation by at least 50%.
And America voted for option B.
You have to understand the consequences of your actions here. You had one political movement that wanted to shift focus away from corporations and onto the people. You may not have liked everything about the current state of that movement, but the movement existed.
And while it existed, you could have used your votes to influence it, and push it into the direction you liked. Maybe you like x and y but not z. You could influence that.