Most of the reported shellings today were along the active frontline. A few were left out in the Kerson region, probably around 10.
Kharkiv
The AFU defended against an attack against Zelene along the RU-UA border.
Svatove-Kreminna
GSUA reported shellings in Ploshchanka and Chervonopopivka which means the AFU are operating close to those towns. I extended the UA area of operations to the east.
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Novoselivske, indicating the AFU have positions in or close to the settement.
Siversk
RuAF attacked around Bilogorivka and Mykolaivka, this is strange since Mykolaivka have not been mentioned in a long time. Wagner are supposed to hold positions along the road.
I believe this is the right Mykolaivka, but I'm far from sure, it was in the Luhansk region.
Bakhmut
A few less attacks in this area today.
The reason could be resources have been allocated to the attacks south of Donetsk.
Repulsed attacks were reported around Bakhmutske and Mayorsk.
Donetsk.
Mostly LDNR forces attacked in this area, their attempts to advance were repulsed in the area of Avdiivka, Vesele, Vodyane, Maryinka and Novobakhmutivka.
Pavlivka
As far as I can tell, the large scale attack around Pavlivka is still ongoing, I believe they are attacking from he south and from the east. It is being reported, mainly on Russian channels, that UA reinforcements have arrived.
According to the chatter, RU forces are attacking both Pavlivka and Vuhledar. They have not managed to push the AFU across the river but can fire on the crossing, which makes me believe the situation is looking like this.
I narrowed down the contested area a bit and moved RU line of control a bit north along the Dnipro river. I previously had it further south because of uncertainty, I don't believe anythign has changed in the area.
I would like to bring attention to this post by @NLwartracker.
Ukraine the capabilities to hit targets beyond 85km, they need ATACMS and similar weapons now.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.