(1/4) Here we go, weather fans! The moment you've all been waiting for has finally arrived: my 2022-2023 Winter Outlook! Two primary winter-season influences will be our third-year, "triple-dip" La Nina and "warm blob" to the north/east of Australia.. 
(2/4) The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) should be most active in phases 4-7 this winter. Although these phases typically mean milder conditions in the eastern U.S. during the 2nd half of winter, they support periods of high-latitude (NAO/AO) blocking from Dec. through mid-Jan..
(3/4) Overall, this winter will feature several "changeover" storms and a reduced risk of a major Nor'easter. Aggregate temps. should be slightly above normal (+0-2°F) but with snowfall a bit below normal (15-25"). The coldest periods will likely occur between Dec. 15-Jan. 15..
(4/4) The strength of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex will be a "wildcard" this #WINTER and, if strong and stable, could result in a milder first half of winter..
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
