Russia fired over 100 shells, primarily mortars, into the Sumy oblast today into six towns. Unfortunately, I only know three towns (plus two more in Chernihiv oblast).
Here is an overview of the Kupyansk/Svatove area.
Near Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces were geoconfirmed fighting in Orlyanske (highlighted arrow).
A bit south of Orlyanske, closer to Svatove, Ukraine is attacking Kuzemivka.
Here is an overview of the Kreminna area.
Near Kreminna, Ukraine is attacking Chervonopopivka, and Russia is doing active defense around Kreminna, clearing the area west of the town.
In the Siversk area, Russia has had partial success attacking Bilohorivka and now controls a chunk of the town (highlighted arrow).
They also attacked Spirne without notable changes.
North of Bakhmut, Russia is assaulting Yakovlivka, Soledar, and Bakhmutske as usual without notable changes.
South of Bakhmut, Russia is attacking Ivanhrad, Opytne, and near the asphalt plant without notable changes.
Near New York, Russia is assaulting Mayorsk and Oleksandropil without notable changes.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia is assaulting Vesele, Kamyanka, Avdiivka, Opytne, and Vodyane. I am still determining the status of Opytne at the moment, but the other areas are without notable changes.
West of Donetsk, Russia assaulted Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.
Russia’s focus is Nevelske, and they moved perhaps 100 meters over the past 48 hours.
Russia has had some success moving through the gray area in Marinka, but the situation is mercurial.
Southwest of Donetsk, Russia is performing a significant attack on the Vuhledar/Pavlivka area. This area has the heaviest fighting in Ukraine at the moment.
Russia is assaulting Novomykhailivka, and they claim to have success south of the town, but I haven’t seen solid proof.
Russia is assaulting Vuhledar and Pavlivka. In Pavlivka, Russia controls the eastern and southern portions of the city, but Ukraine controls the west, the central bridge crossings, and the northern part.
Russia has moved up to the T0509 highway between Zolota Nyva and Prechystivka.
Petro Adryushchenko, an adviser to the mayor of Mariupol, reported an explosion in the Akhtamar hotel. Supposedly the strike destroyed military equipment and Kadyrovites.
South of Hulyaipole, Ukraine is performing reconnaissance by combat in Marfopil, probing for weaknesses.
Between Kamyanske and Orikhiv, Ukraine is attacking south from Stepove toward Pyatykhatky. But, again, this is reconnaissance by combat, probing for weaknesses.
Russia heavily shelled the Nikopol and Marhanets areas today, targeting kindergartens, hairdressers, and other similar high-value military targets.
Russia fired four S-300 missiles into Mykolaiv, destroying a historic gymnasium, a college, and a college dorm.
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Frankly I think the fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is not by sending tanks or by idiotic peace proposals. The fastest way is to set up factories across europe to produce 1000-2000 long range strike drones per day, and launch hundreds if not thousands of drones into Russia every single day until the country collapses. If they think sending 500 drones into Ukraine is a threat, see how they respond when 3000 drones fly into Russia.
With this many drones you can hammer every single factory, powerplant, substation, oil refinery, and mine in russia relentlessly.
Europe had a million drone program, to supply 1 million fpv drones. Fuck fpv drones. Have a 1 million drone program to supply 1 million strike drones. That's your million drones.
The "stupid westerners, sanctions do not work, we smuggle goods in illegally. muahaha, Russia unstoppable" people tickle me. Sanctions are not for stopping goods entirely, they are for increasing friction because the resources you spend smuggling are resources not spent growing
People fundamentally don't understand the purpose of a sanction. Sanctions are not to stop the war now, although they do damage Russia, the real goal of a sanction is long term economic damage to permanently shrink their economic growth on the timescale of decades.
The sanction is basically saying "okay, you're a threat to me today, and maybe I can't do much about it now, but I will shrink you and outgrow you so in 50-100 years you are no longer a threat to me at all". It is a long term play.
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
I wrote 2 years ago about why I was worried about Molniya drones. They are long range and capable of very large warheads. For whatever reason they were oddly scarce for a while, but they have become very common items on the battlefield and exactly everything I feared.
They can destroy a house in a single hit. Even small concrete buildings. They can dive straight down into dugouts, fly along trenches and fly into bunkers. They are being used to target infantry now, too. Russia clearly has a lot of them and are using them to destroy things that used to require helicopters.
They cost around $1000 each, roughly 2x a base level drone or roughly the same price as a higher end fpv drone. But they can carry a 6-7kg bomb and can fly over 40km.