Russia fired over 100 shells, primarily mortars, into the Sumy oblast today into six towns. Unfortunately, I only know three towns (plus two more in Chernihiv oblast).
Here is an overview of the Kupyansk/Svatove area.
Near Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces were geoconfirmed fighting in Orlyanske (highlighted arrow).
A bit south of Orlyanske, closer to Svatove, Ukraine is attacking Kuzemivka.
Here is an overview of the Kreminna area.
Near Kreminna, Ukraine is attacking Chervonopopivka, and Russia is doing active defense around Kreminna, clearing the area west of the town.
In the Siversk area, Russia has had partial success attacking Bilohorivka and now controls a chunk of the town (highlighted arrow).
They also attacked Spirne without notable changes.
North of Bakhmut, Russia is assaulting Yakovlivka, Soledar, and Bakhmutske as usual without notable changes.
South of Bakhmut, Russia is attacking Ivanhrad, Opytne, and near the asphalt plant without notable changes.
Near New York, Russia is assaulting Mayorsk and Oleksandropil without notable changes.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia is assaulting Vesele, Kamyanka, Avdiivka, Opytne, and Vodyane. I am still determining the status of Opytne at the moment, but the other areas are without notable changes.
West of Donetsk, Russia assaulted Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.
Russia’s focus is Nevelske, and they moved perhaps 100 meters over the past 48 hours.
Russia has had some success moving through the gray area in Marinka, but the situation is mercurial.
Southwest of Donetsk, Russia is performing a significant attack on the Vuhledar/Pavlivka area. This area has the heaviest fighting in Ukraine at the moment.
Russia is assaulting Novomykhailivka, and they claim to have success south of the town, but I haven’t seen solid proof.
Russia is assaulting Vuhledar and Pavlivka. In Pavlivka, Russia controls the eastern and southern portions of the city, but Ukraine controls the west, the central bridge crossings, and the northern part.
Russia has moved up to the T0509 highway between Zolota Nyva and Prechystivka.
Petro Adryushchenko, an adviser to the mayor of Mariupol, reported an explosion in the Akhtamar hotel. Supposedly the strike destroyed military equipment and Kadyrovites.
South of Hulyaipole, Ukraine is performing reconnaissance by combat in Marfopil, probing for weaknesses.
Between Kamyanske and Orikhiv, Ukraine is attacking south from Stepove toward Pyatykhatky. But, again, this is reconnaissance by combat, probing for weaknesses.
Russia heavily shelled the Nikopol and Marhanets areas today, targeting kindergartens, hairdressers, and other similar high-value military targets.
Russia fired four S-300 missiles into Mykolaiv, destroying a historic gymnasium, a college, and a college dorm.
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While Trump’s team spreads defeatism and tries to blackmail Ukraine into surrender, Ukrainian soldiers on the battlefield remain unimpressed by the proclamations coming out of Washington Oblast.
Their actions speak louder than words.
In recent days, Ukraine has:
Recaptured Kotlyne
Liberated Pischane
Pushed into Shevchenko
These gains prove two critical points.
🔹 First: Ukraine still has the ability to seize the initiative.
Despite immense challenges, its military can concentrate forces, execute counterattacks, and maintain operational momentum—suggesting it retains significant reserves.
If the West falters, Ukraine can continue fighting until Russia collapses. Slowly trading land against Russian offensive potentials.
If the West finds its backbone, Ukraine can decisively defeat Russia and end the war on just terms.
Europe could have invested 1-2 hundred billion dollars over the past 3 years, but instead they will have to invest 3-5 trillion over the next 20. I’ve talked about this many times in the past. The politicians made very unwise decisions because they were afraid.
Should have gone 100% all in on making Ukraine win from day 1. Full on everything. It would have fixed every problem. Countries still aren’t even doing this. Every single day you delay will cost you 100 or 1000 times more over the next few years.
You thought it cost too much to squeeze 20-30 billion dollars into your budget for 5 years. Imagine having to fit in 500 billion.
There is absolutely no reason for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, at all, for any reason, in the year 2025. Any negotiations should start in mid 2026, when the Russian economy has imploded, their deficits are blasting off to the moon, and Russia can no longer fight.
Every country should be looking at the situation like this: we only have to get ukraine through the next 12-18 months. We need to throw in the money, weapons, and ammo available now to make this happen. This is not a forever war. There is 1 year left. We are 75% done.
Russia will have absolutely no ability to wage war in the year 2027. Zero ability. Bringing the war into 2027 should be the threat to Russia. If we supply Ukraine through to that time period, Russia risks absolute implosion.
This little bulldozer effectively negated the impact of the russian airforce on the Ukrainian supply lines south of Kostyantynopil. Russians were dropping tremendous numbers of bombs in an attempt to destroy the bridges, and this little guy is out here rebuilding them and getting rid of craters. It took a solid hit from a FPV Drone, but the driver wasn't there when it happened. Little guy denied the impact of the airforce for a few thousand dollars. This is why Engineering fundraisers are vital.
Here you can see some of the airstrikes.
Also, it takes a significant amount of bravery to go out there on a bulldozer and fix these damaged bridges. You are very exposed. And, hopefully, the bulldozer is reliable because you don't want to be messing around out there.
The American people said “we don’t like inflation!” and had a choice between two presidents.
Option A said their goal was to attack the source of inflation so the economic conditions that lead to rapid rise in costs wont happen again.
Option B said their plan was to increase inflation by at least 50%.
And America voted for option B.
You have to understand the consequences of your actions here. You had one political movement that wanted to shift focus away from corporations and onto the people. You may not have liked everything about the current state of that movement, but the movement existed.
And while it existed, you could have used your votes to influence it, and push it into the direction you liked. Maybe you like x and y but not z. You could influence that.