Russia fired over 100 shells, primarily mortars, into the Sumy oblast today into six towns. Unfortunately, I only know three towns (plus two more in Chernihiv oblast).
Here is an overview of the Kupyansk/Svatove area.
Near Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces were geoconfirmed fighting in Orlyanske (highlighted arrow).
A bit south of Orlyanske, closer to Svatove, Ukraine is attacking Kuzemivka.
Here is an overview of the Kreminna area.
Near Kreminna, Ukraine is attacking Chervonopopivka, and Russia is doing active defense around Kreminna, clearing the area west of the town.
In the Siversk area, Russia has had partial success attacking Bilohorivka and now controls a chunk of the town (highlighted arrow).
They also attacked Spirne without notable changes.
North of Bakhmut, Russia is assaulting Yakovlivka, Soledar, and Bakhmutske as usual without notable changes.
South of Bakhmut, Russia is attacking Ivanhrad, Opytne, and near the asphalt plant without notable changes.
Near New York, Russia is assaulting Mayorsk and Oleksandropil without notable changes.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia is assaulting Vesele, Kamyanka, Avdiivka, Opytne, and Vodyane. I am still determining the status of Opytne at the moment, but the other areas are without notable changes.
West of Donetsk, Russia assaulted Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Krasnohorivka, and Marinka.
Russia’s focus is Nevelske, and they moved perhaps 100 meters over the past 48 hours.
Russia has had some success moving through the gray area in Marinka, but the situation is mercurial.
Southwest of Donetsk, Russia is performing a significant attack on the Vuhledar/Pavlivka area. This area has the heaviest fighting in Ukraine at the moment.
Russia is assaulting Novomykhailivka, and they claim to have success south of the town, but I haven’t seen solid proof.
Russia is assaulting Vuhledar and Pavlivka. In Pavlivka, Russia controls the eastern and southern portions of the city, but Ukraine controls the west, the central bridge crossings, and the northern part.
Russia has moved up to the T0509 highway between Zolota Nyva and Prechystivka.
Petro Adryushchenko, an adviser to the mayor of Mariupol, reported an explosion in the Akhtamar hotel. Supposedly the strike destroyed military equipment and Kadyrovites.
South of Hulyaipole, Ukraine is performing reconnaissance by combat in Marfopil, probing for weaknesses.
Between Kamyanske and Orikhiv, Ukraine is attacking south from Stepove toward Pyatykhatky. But, again, this is reconnaissance by combat, probing for weaknesses.
Russia heavily shelled the Nikopol and Marhanets areas today, targeting kindergartens, hairdressers, and other similar high-value military targets.
Russia fired four S-300 missiles into Mykolaiv, destroying a historic gymnasium, a college, and a college dorm.
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These areas where Russia is “counter attacking” in Svatove are not areas that Ukraine controlled in the first place. It was gray areas. Don’t act like Russia is “taking ground” or whatever. It was ground nobody was in, on either side, outside of maybe some recon or something.
However, at the same time, Ukraine is actually taking Russian positions. Their advance has not stopped. It just isn’t talked about as much, and when it is talked about it is with delay or (as I do now) without detail of exact location for opsec. Pictures/videos will come.
The advance is slow for two reasons.
1: the defender has the advantage of elevation
2: clearing out forest strips is slow and dangerous. There are many places to hide, potential for traps, etc. Clearing out these areas takes time and there is no shortcut.
Russia is moving a lot of military equipment through Mariupol, shutting down roads and bridges to civilian use in the process. Moving tanks, helicopters, kamaz full of infantry and equipment.
They are moving west toward Magush and Babakh-Tarama.
This morning, Ukraine attacked the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol with suicide drones. Perhaps both aerial and maritime drones, but certainly the naval variety.
These maritime drones are more or less robot spy canoes filled with high explosives.
In case you missed it, or if you just woke up, there were a few explosions in Sevastopol (which Russia claim were “training”)
And now stuff is on fire. Word on the street is that the frigate Admiral Makarov, the largest ship remaining in the black sea fleet, is damaged and may have lost its air defense radar.
Many attacks are in progress, so the news is incomplete.
In the Kupyansk area, there were rumors today of a Ukrainian breakthrough. However, I do not see evidence to support this claim. Ukraine is attacking east toward Mykolaivka (1) and Kyslivka (2), but they have not broken the Russian defenses.
There is heavy fighting going on around Kuzemivka (3). It is unknown whether Ukraine’s attack is successful, but there are likely high casualties to both attackers and defenders.
Ukraine repelled a Russian attack near Andriivka (4).