German gas usage for week 43 continues to be well below the 2018-2021 average. Higher than average temperatures continue to help, but actual savings are still significant.
Households: -54.26% 2018-2021 Average
Industry: -24.76% 2018-2021 Average
Household usage was a whopping 41.75% below the previous lowest use week 43 in the 2018-2021 period.
2022: 473 GWh per day avg
Previous week 43 low: 812 GWh per day avg
Total gas usage in week 43 was -36.38% 2018-2021 average and -18% the minimum in the 4 year period.
Actual gas savings (adjusting for weather) continue to be excellent and bring Germany closer to a situation where the "Optimistic Scenario" looks more and more realistic.
My scenarios are updated every Monday on my Substack
The one thing I worry about the most, in regards to the German gas situation, is how much of the current saving is driven by the high prices instead of a deliberate choice to reduce usage.
🧵I propose a change to the current Twitter verification system that keeps the accountability aspect of the system, while also aiding anonymous credible accounts. As an example, there are many OSINT accounts that remain anonymous for good reason, yet are highly credible.
Firstly, the current system for verification though ID for notable individuals remains, though expanded beyond the current categories for notability. This ensures that the "Blue Tick" remains associated with accounts that have real IDs and accountability.
Verified Twitter uses should then be able to use a new feature "Mark as Credible" on non-verified accounts that they deem a credible source of information. On these accounts there will then be an alternative to the tick that is "Marked as Credible by these verified accounts"
If Elon wants to make Twitter a "town square"-esque platform, then personally I am fine with that.
All I want is consistency.
Either ban no one or ban all rule breakers. Not whatever Twitter is now where they ban some people, but also verify propagandists for war criminals.
Whatever happens with the future of Twitter, it will at least be an interesting ride these next few months.
There are many things about Twitter that can't get much worse. We still regularly see completely legitimate accounts get locked or suspended by false reports, while Twitter continues to insist that no locks or suspensions are automated.
1/ I do not personally believe that there are any real indications yet that the Russian dirty bomb accusations are a precursor to an escalation involving nuclear weapons. As many have mentioned they have made similar claims multiple times in Syria involving chemical weapons.
2/ Currently, I believe that this is still a propaganda move aimed at applying pressure on the west, which may have worked in some limited capacity.
3/ At this time Russian threats of nuclear weapon use are still very ambiguous. This is in part due to the fact that there has not yet been a situation where the use of such weapons would fall squarely in line with the Russian nuclear doctrine.