German gas usage for week 43 continues to be well below the 2018-2021 average. Higher than average temperatures continue to help, but actual savings are still significant.

Households: -54.26% 2018-2021 Average
Industry: -24.76% 2018-2021 Average
Household usage was a whopping 41.75% below the previous lowest use week 43 in the 2018-2021 period.

2022: 473 GWh per day avg
Previous week 43 low: 812 GWh per day avg
Total gas usage in week 43 was -36.38% 2018-2021 average and -18% the minimum in the 4 year period.

Actual gas savings (adjusting for weather) continue to be excellent and bring Germany closer to a situation where the "Optimistic Scenario" looks more and more realistic. Image
My scenarios are updated every Monday on my Substack

oalexanderdk.substack.com/p/gas-storage-…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Oliver Alexander

Oliver Alexander Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @OAlexanderDK

Nov 1
The one thing I worry about the most, in regards to the German gas situation, is how much of the current saving is driven by the high prices instead of a deliberate choice to reduce usage.
This combined with being in a favorable position at this time my make it harder to convince people to continue to save gas.

This won't cause a disaster this winter, but will make it harder to build up an adequate reserve for next year.
On top of this, it may bring gas supply into question. The entire European gas situation looks good, IF gas keeps flowing.

This has price cap will make it a lot more likely for gas imports to fall below the threshold needed to keep up with demand.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 29
🧵I propose a change to the current Twitter verification system that keeps the accountability aspect of the system, while also aiding anonymous credible accounts. As an example, there are many OSINT accounts that remain anonymous for good reason, yet are highly credible.
Firstly, the current system for verification though ID for notable individuals remains, though expanded beyond the current categories for notability. This ensures that the "Blue Tick" remains associated with accounts that have real IDs and accountability.
Verified Twitter uses should then be able to use a new feature "Mark as Credible" on non-verified accounts that they deem a credible source of information. On these accounts there will then be an alternative to the tick that is "Marked as Credible by these verified accounts"
Read 6 tweets
Oct 28
If Elon wants to make Twitter a "town square"-esque platform, then personally I am fine with that.

All I want is consistency.

Either ban no one or ban all rule breakers. Not whatever Twitter is now where they ban some people, but also verify propagandists for war criminals.
Whatever happens with the future of Twitter, it will at least be an interesting ride these next few months.
There are many things about Twitter that can't get much worse. We still regularly see completely legitimate accounts get locked or suspended by false reports, while Twitter continues to insist that no locks or suspensions are automated.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 27
🧵German gas usage this for week 42 remains at the same level as it was in week 41.

30.52% below the average from 2018-2021 and 12.57% below minimum week 42 usage in that 4 year period.
German Industry savings remain relatively steady with with gas usage being 24.19% below the 2018-2021 average.
Household and small business gas usage has seen the largest saving this week, 41.28% below the 2018-2021 average.

The weather is still helping reduce gas usage with an average temperature this week 2.5°C above the 4 year average.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 25
1/ I do not personally believe that there are any real indications yet that the Russian dirty bomb accusations are a precursor to an escalation involving nuclear weapons. As many have mentioned they have made similar claims multiple times in Syria involving chemical weapons.
2/ Currently, I believe that this is still a propaganda move aimed at applying pressure on the west, which may have worked in some limited capacity.

The direct calls by Shoigu are very out of the norm and should not be completely overlooked though.
washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…
3/ At this time Russian threats of nuclear weapon use are still very ambiguous. This is in part due to the fact that there has not yet been a situation where the use of such weapons would fall squarely in line with the Russian nuclear doctrine.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 23
A Russian aircraft, at this time reported as an Su-30, has crashed into a two story building in Irkutsk, Russia. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
TASS and RIA Novosti news stories about the crash.
twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(