Lazarus Long Profile picture
Nov 5, 2022 19 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Another absolutely horrible take by #FireWalensky, @CDCgov

“If you go two years without getting that infection, without getting that protection from infection and then all of a sudden, boom, everybody from zero to three years gets RSV, you see the impact on health care.”
Except. That's NOT WHAT the data shows

As we can see, the biggest spike is in 0 to 6 months, and in comparison to 2018-2019, it is much greater. Roughly, per 100k, 130 versus 70, and it is still spiking.

Second biggest spike is in 6 to 12 months, at almost 80, versus 30 at
its highest.

In the 1 to 2 year olds, almost 40 this year vs. almost 20.
(The Y-axis is higher this year because of more cases).

If what Walensky is saying was true, we'd expect to see the 2 to 4 year olds screaming higher.

It's not.
But the big hitter was the zero to 6 months. What happened there?

Walensky's immunity silliness simply is irrelevant.

But this is relevant:
She really will do everything in her power to minimize CoVid, won't she?

Free version of that article here!
archive.ph/gRg9p

RSV dashboard is here - play with it, see what else you can find

cdc.gov/rsv/research/r…
This is Jose Romero, director of the NCIRD at the @CDCgov.

Jose is not thinking clearly. Has he been infected?

Why do I say he's not thinking clearly?
At the most recent CDC briefing, Jose was asked, why RSV is spreading so quickly and early.
"So we’re seeing more RSV because in the last past two years, we’ve not seen infections in children as we have previously. And so these children, if you will, need to become infected to move forward because it’s a disease very common in children. "

Literally, the XKCD comic.
But the same problem exists.

The biggest spike in hospitalizations is in the babies. 0-6 months and 6 months to 2 years. And the 0-6 months was the BIGGEST spike.

What could cause hospitalizations in that group?

Well, first what causes RSV hospitalizations?

"Pre-F antibody titers were significantly lower in mothers whose infants were hospitalized with RSV bronchiolitis compared with those mothers whose infants were not hospitalized..."

academic.oup.com/jid/article/22…
So, maternal antibodies are important. Could the maternal antibodies have not been passed on because the mother did not get infected?

Fortunately, 95% of people are exposed by the time they are two, so the mother would not have had to be exposed to pass on those antibodies.
Can you imagine?

"Now that you are pregnant, let's schedule your infections. First trimester, we'll do RSV and Ebola."

Silliness.

Let's take another look at that preprint that @fitterhappieraj found

Every infant inherits their microbiome from their mom, and mom's
microbiome diversity was reduced by Covid.

And we know those infants had a unique microbiota, per above, compared to Covidians (those infected).

Indeed, SARS-CoV-2 infections during pregnancy are associated with a compromised initial microbial seed of the infant.
No big deal, right?

Wrong.

"The inherited microbiome exerts marked effects on immune programming with long-term health consequences, including susceptibility to infections or chronic inflammatory diseases and reduced vaccine efficacy"
"Therefore, this “window of opportunity” at birth, either renders infants with a healthy immune system or alternatively establishes a divergent path leading to severe immune-mediated disease susceptibility (16-24). "

Well, that sounds like pediatricians are going to be busy.
To be crystal clear, this study is NOT saying that Covid is responsible for the increase in RSV.

But it is saying Covid causes negative changes at a very important moment in the baby's life, immunologically speaking.

And since we are talking about more severe RSV cases?
It seems to be directly related.

Or, at the very least, much more plausible than a concept invented last year. A concept that Fox & Friends has been pushing.

Was it bleach they last pushed? Or herd immunity?

In any event, both Walensky and the director of the CDC are also
pushing immunity debt like universities pushing student loan debt.

Someone needs #FireWalensky, and put Jose on notice.

@CDCgov? That microbiome spoiled once #FireWalemsky got hold of it.

Maybe probiotics could save the #xkcdCDC. Maybe.
The RSV surge in the 0-6 month old babies, which eliminates "immunity debt/gap" as a viable hypothesis?

Will have very real consequences down the road. This is not surprising given measles ability to wipe out immune memory

frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…

H/t @Gene_PHL @Comm_in_Care

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More from @LazarusLong13

Aug 23
People often underestimate the power of having someone with the reputation of Wolfgang Leitner, weighing in.

This is truly a significant development.

Personally, I prefer to let the studies do their own talking, but Voice Of Authority bears considerable weight in the real world
Just a few awards Image
An actual Conference Organizer. You underestimate the political savvy and pull this takes - and gives them. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 21
Calley is lying from the very first sentence. The media is not cheering for MAHA to fail. They are cheering for antivaxxers to fail.

We all want to see better food, less chemicals.

But we are not idiots.

The single largest gain in American life expectancy was
between 1900 and 1940, primarily because of improved water & sewer sanitation. Adding 16 years of life expectancy.

And vaccines are a close second - adding 5-10 years a bit later - in the last half of the century.

If we get rid of vaccines? We lose 5 to 26 years, depending
if we lose smallpox and diptheria.

There's another thing. Calley wants us working on the below things.

The Red Arrows point to things that will not mean a thing because of the next tweet. Image
Read 15 tweets
Aug 19
Microplastics.

In your testicles. Or your ovaries. Your brain and other organs.

But where do they come from? Are you eating, drinking, or breathing them in?

3 biggest fixes you can do? Get a water filter that handles PFAs - it will also do Image
also handle microplastics easily. Next, rinse off your vegetable and fruit with that filtered water.

When driving around in your car? Have a little HEPA running. @cleanairstars is a great resource. @ThisHouseFresh has a handy RV HEPA review article.
And of course, in your house, have a HEPA/ CR Box running. What is outside will soon be inside - takes about 4 hours if memory serves me correctly for typical infiltration.

Especially important if you live near a road.
Read 18 tweets
Aug 12
Someone in the 7 Oaks School of Ontario IPC, like @zchagla, @DocDominik, @HotaSusy, @BogochIsaac @skepticalIDdoc has gone anonymous.

Remember - that group personally signed affidavits saying surgical masks are good enough to de-N95 nurses, who went on to die ....
At greater numbers than the population.

Who were sentenced to lives of LongCovid.

It all started in March of 2020, when the 7 Oaks School of Ontario IPC signed a nasty, but quiet, little petition to deny airborne precautions. Image
Then they signed those nasty little affidavits,with two fingers crossed I am presuming, in April of 2021.

Deliberately to demask the nurses. Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Aug 5
Guess what?

In the next pandemic, these "RCT or STFU" worshippers plan on sacrificing you on the alter of RCTs.

This is Dr. Atle Fretheim 👇 talking about how they attempted to get masks randomized from his government.

And thankfully, shot down.
/+

Image
But they have figure out "this one weird trick!"

They are working on getting pre-approval from the WHO for what is called their "Master Protocols 👇," to then help smooth the way with their local government.

This is not an idle thing. Atle specifically used air filtration 👇@kprather88 @jljcolorado, as his example of a desired subject to give half of the class clean air in the beginning of a pandemic.

When we are MOST trying to stop the spread!

Read 14 tweets
Jul 27
AVERAGE CO2 in the dead space below an N95? 1-3% - or 10,000 to 30,000 ppm. Scary?

No. You see that's the average.

Humans have focused on average or peak exhalations/waveforms.

We haven't studied the LOW POINT with capnography.

We have done it with simulations. Image
There are no published experimental (human) capnography studies inside N95 dead space that show the CO₂ dropping down as low as ~0.4% within a single exhalation. Human trials typically measure peak or average values rather than full breath waveforms.
As you can see, the amount of CO2 in the N95 goes down.

Why? Because the air around us has so much less CO2. When we inhale, it mixes with that high CO2.

Dilution and diffusion both at play.
journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…Image
As all of us who has ever worn a mask/N95, which is most of the world, knows, we don't suffer the effects of inhaling 30,000 ppm all day.

Lets look at this a different way.

What if we were in a room with huge CO2? That's what antimaskers are implying is going on.
Read 11 tweets

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