A "GOP flooding the zone w/shit polls" update.
In GA last 5 "A" rated independent polls have Warnock up an average of 3.2 pts, and he leads in every poll.
In October Rs have dropped 15 different polls by *10* different pollsters. The last 5 of these have Walker up 4.4 pts. 1/
In GA last 5 "A" rated independent polls have Warnock up an average of 3.2 pts, and he leads in every poll.
In October Rs have dropped 15 different polls by *10* different pollsters. The last 5 of these have Walker up 4.4 pts. 1/
Perhaps my favorite of the firms to join the GOP flood the zone gravy train is Amber Integrated from Oklahoma.
They just dropped a new poll in GA (?), showing Walker leading by 3 of course.
This high-quality OK firm misspelled Herschel in their release 👇 2/
They just dropped a new poll in GA (?), showing Walker leading by 3 of course.
This high-quality OK firm misspelled Herschel in their release 👇 2/
There's no question about what's happening here. Rs have launched major campaign to game the polling averages.
If you review GA R polls in early Oct had Warnock up. Then the campaign began and everything went negative.
Only do this if you're losing. 3/
If you review GA R polls in early Oct had Warnock up. Then the campaign began and everything went negative.
Only do this if you're losing. 3/
https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1588298093488898056
A party which:
- asked, received Russia's help in 2016
- worked for months to de-legitimize 2020 election
- tried to illegally install Trump as President
- led a mob to attack the final vote count
Is capable of dropping some bucks to game the polling averages. 4/
- asked, received Russia's help in 2016
- worked for months to de-legitimize 2020 election
- tried to illegally install Trump as President
- led a mob to attack the final vote count
Is capable of dropping some bucks to game the polling averages. 4/
Responsible media organization should produce their own averages now just of respected, independent, non-partisan polls taken in recent weeks.
Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/
Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/
Responsible media organizations should produce their own averages now just of respected, independent, non-partisan polls taken in recent weeks.
Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/
Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/
More on the GOP's clear effort to game the poll averages.
A reminder - you only do something like this if you are losing. 6/
A reminder - you only do something like this if you are losing. 6/
https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/1588903177679675392
Both Nates are now acknowledging that we're seeing an unprecedented flooding of the averages by Rs.
Answer to all this is each major news org creating their own averages of high-quality, independent polling. It's not hard.
This year media got played. 7/
Answer to all this is each major news org creating their own averages of high-quality, independent polling. It's not hard.
This year media got played. 7/
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1588918507064143872
Um, Nate, Rs aren't releasing their polls. Almost no R candidate/party/IE polling has been released.
Campaigns don't usually release internals because they don't want other side to know what they're seeing.
Rs invented entire new class of polls - partisan bullshit polls. 8/
Campaigns don't usually release internals because they don't want other side to know what they're seeing.
Rs invented entire new class of polls - partisan bullshit polls. 8/
2 things media can do now about flood of GOP polls:
- create their own averages of non partisan polls nationally and in the states
- report on the campaign itself. Who paid for these polls? Who organized the campaign? Who called obscure firms in the Midwest to do polls in GA?
- create their own averages of non partisan polls nationally and in the states
- report on the campaign itself. Who paid for these polls? Who organized the campaign? Who called obscure firms in the Midwest to do polls in GA?
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