Val Katayev Profile picture
Nov 6, 2022 36 tweets 6 min read Read on X
I've generated over $1 billion in sales using ONE strategy.

Used it in every recession - 2000, 2009, and 2020.

I've never shared it publicly before.

This thread might make you a millionaire.
During every recession, everyone cuts down marketing.

I jack up advertising spending and win the market.
During boom periods CMOs take over and businesses play on offense. They focus on growth.

During recessions, CFOs take over and businesses play on defense. They start to cut costs.
When finance people smell a recession, the first thing they cut is marketing.

Why? Marketing is generally the easiest thing to cut. It makes CFOs feel like they're making instant impact on profitability.
This chart illustrates how businesses manage ad spend in the face of recessions.

In 2009, the global economic pullback was just -0.7%.
But Advertising Spend dropped a whopping 10.1%. Image
Conversely, this Gartner study debunks how some leading businesses accelerated during the recession.

The most "Efficient Growth" companies maintained or increased their marketing spending during the recession. And broke away as winners. Image
I saw this play out firsthand, in three different recessions.

In 2000, the Internet Bubble popped. Everyone stopped advertising online.

It was almost like everyone decided that the internet was a fad that was over.
At the time I had a little video game content website, and I would sell ads on my site to advertisers. Those advertisers would pay me per sale.

Performance marketing.

I noticed that ads on my site were actually bringing them sales.
So I started renting ad space on other websites to bring them more sales.

These other websites had a ton of traffic.

During 2000, it seemed like all advertisers pulled back.

Ad spots that would normally go for $5,000, were selling for $1,000.
I doubled down on advertising.

And turned it into a very profitable business that led me to be Google's 2nd biggest client at one point.
This would play out all over again in 2008, after the Great Recession.

Lyrics websites at the time had the most internet traffic after porn. Like 500 million eyeballs.

I bought up exclusive advertising rights on these lyric sites.
Thanks to the recession, locking in exclusive deals was easier.

There was a lot of uncertainty at the time and everyone was ready to take my money.

I blitz-scaled the business by 500%, from $2M to $12M in profit in just 1 year.
After the recession was over, my clients were much bigger than their competitors.

I know this because they sustainably increased their marketing spending by 300%-400%.

In some cases, they were the only companies left in their respective category.
Fast forward to 2020. COVID hits.

My new company Jocalio, is building a backbone infrastructure for independent jewelry retailers.

We integrate, drive customers to these stores, and supply jewelry to them.

Most of those stores were forced to stay closed during COVID.
However, we convinced most of them to continue marketing.

And it paid off BIG TIME.
We helped them stay in front of their customers throughout 2020.

And then we saw the data showing customers buying different types of jewelry. Pieces that can be seen on Zoom calls, such as earrings.

So we doubled down on this.
In 2020 we launched a program that would grow jewelry stores to new heights.

The competitors in each of their markets were sleeping. Scared to market.

They cut all their costs, especially marketing.
These local jewelry stores that we helped, moved up from being #2, #3 or #4 in their market, to #1.

And those who were already the #1 players in the market, just put a ton of distance between them and the smaller players.

Many of those smaller players didn't do so well.
On the other hand, our clients in some cases doubled in revenue.

I've shared 3 stories of how I've doubled down on marketing in 3 recessions and it worked every damn time.
Let me explain WHY it works.

2 major reasons
Reason 1. Ads become cheaper during this time.
Facebook and Google Ads are free marketplaces. There are billions of dollars competing for the same finite eyeballs ready to pay $1, $2, $5, or $10 per click. In boom periods people with the most money outcompete other bidders.
During recessions, marketing spends dry up and you get access to millions of eyeballs at a discount.
Dollar for dollar, recessions are the most efficient periods to invest in ads.

The key is to use those dollars effectively and adjust the messaging with the times.

For example:
2020 - Everyone sees your face on the Zoom call. So market earrings!

2022 - People have less disposable income, but a big minority is still flush with cash. So our advertising makes our entry price points lower, and top price points higher to capture both sides of the market.
Reason 2. Ads become more effective.
When competitors cut marketing, they stop reminding their customers about their existence.

This is exactly when you want to figure out how to do more marketing, not less.

Because your share of the voice goes way up.
Say a customer was seeing 30 minutes of cookie ads in total- 10 minutes each from You and 2 other competitors.

When your competitors drop their spend by 50%, the customer sees 10 minutes of ads from You and 5 minutes each from 2 businesses.
Not only is that ad spot cheaper, but in the absence of competition, it's also more memorable.
Before: 10 out of 30 minutes = 33% of the share of voice.
After: 10 out of 20 minutes = 50% of the share of voice.

Roughly 1.5X the attention for NO EXTRA COST.
Harvard Business Review covered several cases, here's one. Image
The thing is, recessions generally don't last long (as shown by the thin gray lines below).

So if you cut in other areas, but focus on growing your presence through marketing, come expansionary times, your exposure and gravitas will be 2X bigger than each of your competitors. Image
And once you get that far ahead, it becomes hard for others to catch up.

You become the big dog.
Retweet the first tweet if you found this useful.

I try to reply to everyone.

Follow me @ValKatayev for stories on entrepreneurship.
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More from @ValKatayev

Apr 11
I got rich with ONE strategy.

It worked during every recession for me.

2000, 2008, and 2020.

We are probably in a recession now.

This strategy has worked for thousands of successful businesses and I have research to prove it. Thread 👇 Image
During boom periods CMOs take over and businesses play on offense. They focus on growth.

During recessions, CFOs take over and businesses play on defense. They start to cut costs.
When finance people smell a recession, the first thing they cut is marketing.

Why? Marketing is generally the easiest thing to cut. It makes CFOs feel like they're making a meaningful strategy shift.
Read 44 tweets
Oct 10, 2024
A legend passed away yesterday. This gentleman built a $300B empire and pledged 66% of it to charity.

He owns Jaguar and Range Rover and is a leader in India's airline, Steel, Fashion, Car, and Technology industries.

The greatest philanthropist you've never heard of - Ratan TataImage
How is the Tata Group worth $300B?

It has 29 publicly listed companies with a combined valuation of Rs. 23 trillion or $314 Billion.

From fashion to airways & steel to IT, automobiles, chemicals, and hospitality, the TATA group has a public company in every industry. Image
Tata Consultancy Services alone did $26B in revenue last year.

That's more than McKinsey, Bain, and BCG Combined.
Read 24 tweets
Aug 17, 2024
Look at this kids face.

He was making $500K per cold email sent. Reached half BILLION people per month.

Earned $10M+ profit in the 1st year of the business. Sold it and "retired".

Here's what his business was and how he built it: (this is my story) 👇 Image
It all started in 2006. I had already built a massive Google Ads business from my parent's basement.

I was paid to drive search traffic to advertisers.

It was a solid business that generated many millions in profits, but I didn't like being dependent on Google.
One of the clients that I used to drive traffic to was Rhapsody Music.

Rhapsody was ahead of its time allowing people to subscribe to unlimited music.

This was the future (Steve Jobs of course thought otherwise with a $0.99 per song pricing and set streaming back many years)
Read 51 tweets
Aug 4, 2024
At 19, this kid built a Google Ads business that quickly made over $30 million in profit. The kid is me.

I was the only employee (in a basement).

At one point, I was Google’s 2nd largest advertiser after eBay.

Here’s the story of how I made this happen and what the biz did: Image
A few years ago, a stack of envelopes w/checks arrived on my bday. They were class action settlement checks.

These were remnants of my first big hustle.

The business was performance marketing. I used paid search to execute it.

That combo just crushed it.
Image
Image
The way it worked was, I’d get paid to drive customers to an advertiser. I figured out that search advertising was extremely targeted for any kind of customer.

All I had to do is spend less per click than what I was effectively generating in bounties to acquire a customer.
Read 37 tweets
May 22, 2024
Don't give your kids an allowance.

Pay them interest instead.

I made a system that naturally instills the power of compounding and makes them understand money. I've used it for many years.

Here's a thread on how it works, my downloadable worksheet, and the results 👇
At a very young age, I explained to each of my kids the concept of saving money.

However, I told them saving is not the main goal.

Making sure money works for you while you sleep is the most important component.

They were fascinated by money working during sleep.
I showed them that they can let others use their money. In return, they get paid for lending it.

To make it simple, I said, give me the money, and I'll loan it out for you. You will receive 12% a year. Or 1% a month.
Read 16 tweets
May 10, 2024
A legend passed away today. This x-CIA math genius built a quantitative trading fund that earned more than $100 BILLION for investors.

At 66% return/yr, his track record destroys that of Warren Buffet, George Soros, Carl Icahn.

A thread on "Greatest Investor of Wall Street" 👇 Image
1/28
If you'd have put $100 into Jim Simons' Medallion Fund in 1988, it would be $400M+ today.

By contrast,

$100 in the S&P 500 in 1988, would be $2,000 in 2022. (roughly)

Let that sink in.
2/28
Jim Simons's Medallion fund has had unreasonably high annual returns of 66% across 30 years.

For comparison, Buffet clocked in at about 20%/yr.

Many funds don't make that in a lifetime.
Read 30 tweets

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