Milliardærklubben - På afgrundens rand? UDE NU!

Recessionen står for døren, markederne er blodrøde verden over, men hvordan recessionsbeskytter man sig som privatperson? Dette er ugens tema i Milliardærklubben

Find podcasten på alle platforme

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#DKPOL #DKMEDIER #DKBIZ
Hver uge vil vi levere ugens tip, som hjælper dig i din dialog med din bankrådgiver.

I denne uge spørger vi: Hvad har din bank gjort for at hjælpe med dig med at inflations -og recessionsbeskytte din privatøkonomi?

2/n
Herudover går vi bag om matematikken omkring det danske -og amerikanske valg. Bliver USA blodrødt rent politisk efter midtvejsvalget? Og hvilke konsekvenser kan det have for markedet?

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Alt sammen tilsættes god jovial underholdning - vi skal have kigget på ugens kuriosum, ugens skamstøtte og andre faste programpunkter.

Vi håber, at i vil lytte med.

For kommentarer +45 31129636 eller andreassteno@stenoresearch.dk

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More from @AndreasSteno

Nov 7
Is this a bear-market rally lasting towards the end of the year and what does it mean to equity styles? 🐻🐮

A thread 1/n
Offset by poor earnings reports by mega-caps such as $GOOGL, $AMZN and particularly $META, ‘growth’ indices such as Nasdaq and Russel have taken a beating. The textbook risk/off-rotation towards value has reincarnated. With whispers of a reopening, Hang Seng has bounced!

2/n Image
Energy stocks, the evergreen of 2022, still lead the pack. Thus far (H2), com. services remain the absolute laggard, closely followed by a spiralling real estate sector. Seems like the positive real yields and a correspondent liquidity dry-up is beginning to work as intended

3/n Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 4
NYHEDER
Milliardærklubben - En podcast om alt det banken ikke fortæller dig!

Verden står i flammer og tiden kalder derfor mere end nogensinde før på uafhængige vurderinger af verdens gang. I Milliardærklubben er ingen særinteresser velkomne.

#dkpol #dkbiz #dkmedier

1/n
Derfor kommer vi ikke til at invitere eksperter inden for, som har en interesse i at sælge et bestemt produkt.

For hvordan kan man som virksomhed eller privatperson vide sig sikker på, at man får de uvildige vurderinger, som er nødvendige for at komme igennem krisen?

2/n
Milliardærklubben vil hver mandag morgen kigge frem på ugen der kommer. Hvilke tendenser bør man holde øje med i finansmarkederne og hvilke politiske temaer får indflydelse på verdensøkonomien?

3/n
Read 5 tweets
Nov 3
The Fed has a golden opportunity to give the middle finger to the "Fed put" narrative

A thread 1/n😱🤡
Powell basically reiterated that the Fed will keep inflation > stock market in its considerations for the next meetings despite clear signals of a substantially weakening economy

This is a BIG change of scenery from the 2010-2021 Fed

2/n
Most investment professionals have gotten used to almost automatic pivots, if the business cycle weakens enough (below 50 in ISM is pivot territory)...

But the tide has turned politically, which is a noteworthy development

3/n
Read 10 tweets
Nov 1
Endnu engang har aftenens dækning på både TV2 og DR afsløret eklatant mangel på statistisk kundskab i prognosemageriet. Jammerlig justering af demografi/geografi i de første prognoser.

Så vidt jeg kan regne kommer Mette meget meget tæt på 90 mandater

#dkpol #dkmedier
Særligt justeringen af Danmarksdemokraterne var helt helt off. Exit-poll på lige omkring 7% er ikke helt skæv
Deres fejljustering af Danmarksdemokraterne er så pinagtig, at jeg mangler ord. Deres første prognoser kommer til at ramme 3.5-4%-point forkert. Det kan man kun gøre, hvis man ikke forstår sig på statistik.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 1
As October is now past us, lets break down some of the most interesting developments in equity-space over the past month.

A thread 1/n
What a rebound in Dow! Would be fun if Dow Jones ended 2022 UP on the year..

Also worth noting that small-cap is starting to move ..

Long small cap, short big tech?

2/n
Pulling back the curtain, we see energy stocks still leading the sub-indices. Consumer discretionary and tech suffer, while staples have held ground (Long bottom vs. short top of Mazlow)

This is a textbook inflation/uncertainty rotation... BUT do note the move in Utilities

3/n
Read 10 tweets
Nov 1
What's going on with the BIZARRE diesel prices in the North East of US? 🤯

A thread 1/n
The Nov/Dec spread has exploded to the upside hinting of substantial supply scarcity heading into winter, but what are the underlying reasons?

2/n

Chart H/T (@TgMacro) - a must follow in Energy space
The "days of supply" of Diesel is LOW compared to history as the inventory level has remained relatively stable nominally compared to a substantially rising demand

3/n
Read 10 tweets

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