oh you want to learn about trade law. Heres a 5000 page book about domestic content requirements? Tit-for-tat you lower your barrier and I'll lower mine? ustr.gov/about-us/trade…
And oh, its all about cars. Always has been. Now go bleed your eyes.
Europeans: Noooooo. you can't just give American automakers subsidies to go electric and kick us out of your battery value chain. We will challenge your protectionist congress bills at WTO.
German exports to china have grown 20-fold in last 20 years. Its firms have made joint ventures to sell in China's large market. But it is not "export-dependent" on China.
2/ “Rather than national economic interest, it is the special interests of select German multinationals and industries that drive a China-dependency narrative that limits strategic action from Berlin” ht @LukePatey
3/ "...Jürgen Matthes reveals how China only made up about one-tenth of Germany’s export growth between 1991 and 2018. This is a noteworthy contribution, but it hardly fits the picture of Chinese demand as the engine of Germany’s export-driven economy." iwkoeln.de/studien/juerge…
1/"the West should abandon globalization. Instead...the West should revert to trade blocs, in this case created between the nations sharing certain political values & geopolitical interests"
2/ "There are 2 reasons why the West should abandon globalization. The first is that it was not good, economically, for its middle classes...
period of high globalization between 1988 & 2008, was good for Asian middle classes and the global top 1% but not western middle classes"
3/ "Second, geopolitically, globalization helped the rise of China which is already now, but will be even more so in the future, the main military and political competitor of the United States."
"Garden in the jungle". European/US elites are operating w a causal story in their heads: Climate Change is a THREAT MULTIPLIER. Ignores two powerful threats - their powerful militaries that invade & their past stock of emissions that 'invade' territories
Re: EU's Borrell's Garden in the Jungle. Here is Obama with the prevalent view of climate change as a "threat multiplier" in global south. Entirely omitting the fact that US is (1) largest total emitter of GHG (2) destabilized countries by invading them.
"We want to imagine a magic substance that has no environmental harm, no geopolitical risk, is abundant and cheap. But that kind of technofix is not real" -@triofrancos
. @kmac and I are launching The Polycrisis: a series focused on the political economy of climate, and its attendant security dilemmas, with an emphasis on Global North/South dynamics.
Structure is uncovered from how shocks propagate thru a system
Crash revealed NY-London centrality to Finance
Corona revealed Fossil-fueled systems that undergird world economy
Ukraine war? Commodities & Multipolarity adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-10…
Our 1st Panel: phenomenalworld.org/interviews/geo…