Share this page!

Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Twitter logo
Nov 9 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Very early, but the first #cosen returns of the night look pretty good for Michael Bennet. With big chunks of the vote in from Jefferson, Arapahoe and Denver counties, he's running about even with Hickenlooper's margins in 2020. ImageImageImage
Strong early results across the board for Bennet; these are great margins for a Democrat in Mesa and DougCo, and the totals are over 80% of the 2018 vote. Late returns are gonna have to start breaking super hard, super fast in Rs' direction for O'Dea to have a shot. ImageImage
JoeOdeaStan has seen enough. Image
There you go.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Chase Woodruff

Chase Woodruff Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @dcwoodruff

Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 10
Major development in the first official SOS update of the day: an additional 1,672 ballots reported from Otero County broke 1,061 Boebert, 611 Frisch — putting Boebert ahead for the first time, by 386 votes. Image
Like I've been saying, don't put too much stock in any one estimate of outstanding votes. This caught me off guard because Otero was newly added to the 26-county CD3 in redistricting and I hadn't checked it closely. Positive sign for Boebert. A lot still depends on Pueblo.
On the hierarchy of things to trust right now, county clerks are first, local reporters are second and wherever NYT et al. are getting these numbers is dead last. Pitkin County is not at 80% in. Pitkin County is done counting. aspentimes.com/news/pitkin-co…
Read 6 tweets
Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 10
Latest and clearest picture of the Boebert-Frisch CD3 race, and there are more ballots left to count in Pueblo than I'd figured.

Frisch is going to need to push his lead back up to 800 votes or so to get out of automatic recount territory. There's a chance this could do it.
If there are 7,500 ballots left in Pueblo, Frisch would only need to win them by his current 55-45 margin there to do that (without losing ground from stragglers elsewhere). But we had several updates from Pueblo yesterday and each was almost exactly a 50-50 split.
Keep in mind that if you're seeing NYT, AP, etc. estimates of outstanding votes, they might be junk. At this point the best info we have about remaining ballots is coming from clerks' offices via local reporters.
Read 8 tweets
Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 9
Nearly 4,000 additional CD3 votes reported from Pueblo in the last update about 15 minutes ago, almost evenly split between Frisch (+1,872) and Boebert (+1,967). Image
A small update from deep-red Rio Blanco County netted +153 for Boebert, and Frisch's lead is down to 2,201 votes. This is going to be extremely close. Reports of ~9k ballots outstanding in Pueblo, ~5k in Mesa.
Her path is definitely getting very narrow. Frankly, the case for a big swing out of Mesa is that as of right now Frisch is wildly overperforming there, even compared to his strong margins elsewhere. 43-57 would be the best D split in Mesa in forever. But it may be happening.
Read 14 tweets
Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 9
About 12,000 more votes counted in CD3 since 1:00 a.m., and Frisch’s lead over Boebert is pretty much unchanged. Image
NYT analysis thinks some of the largest remaining vote is in Pueblo, which seems pretty good for Frisch. A lot could depend on late splits in Mesa/Garfield. Image
At its last update NYT still gave Boebert the edge, based on what appear to be some very broad guesstimations of outstanding votes. They expect Pueblo to be a wash and Boebert to net the ~5,000 votes she needs from late returns in the Grand Valley. I don’t know! ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 8
No sign so far of a late turnout surge in Colorado, per @COSecofState ballot return data. Returns still tracking consistently at about 10% less than the last midterm election in 2018. Image
@COSecofState One more official SoS update, maybe the last apples-to-apples comparison we get before polls close — and it does actually show some narrowing of the gap.

1,869,507 returns as of 12:30 p.m. today is only about 5.8% lower than the same point in 2018. Image
@COSecofState Score one for the "crazy long Denver ballot" theory. Denver returns are now tracking with the rest of the state at about 6% lower than four years ago, after being 24% lower a week ago. Image
Read 5 tweets
Chase Woodruff Profile picture
Nov 7
In 63 of Colorado's 64 counties, *both* Dem and GOP voters have returned fewer ballots as of today than at this point in 2018.

In the 64th, *one* of the two major parties has returned more ballots than in 2018.

Name the county and the party and I'll be very impressed.
(It's not, like, Hinsdale.)
Nope. 54,782 in 2018 —> 44,559 in 2022 (-10,223)
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(