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Nov 10, 2022 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Update 🧵November 10th

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Yesterdays thread:


Parts of this will be kept short because of the situation in Kherson taking a lot of my time.

Kyiv was a feint.
Kharkiv was a feint.
Kherson was a feint.

Friendly advice, stay away from areas starting with K in the future.
GSUA reported shellings all along the active frontline and the Russian border. There was an unusual amount of shellings in northern Ukraine today.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novoselivs'ke and Makiivka.
Bakhmut
Heavy fighting is going on in this area, I believe the Russians are desperate for a victory because of the epic failure in Kherson. A lot of ppl have asked me about Bakhmut today, but I have not seen anything raising any concern.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Soledar, Klishchiivka, Mayorsk, Yakovlivka, Bilogorivka and Vesele.

Wargonzo claims Wagner are fighting in Ivanhrad.
Donetsk-Pavlivka
According to Wargonzo reports, RuAF captured Pavlivka, but I wonder if they captured it, why is peg legged Pegov standing outside the town by their artillery positions doing a video about it? I'm extremely skeptical.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Nevelske, Pervomaiske and Novomykhailivka
Peg-Legged-Pegov outside Pavlivka. There was a video with a flag on a building, but for all I know, it could be the very first house in Pavlivka. It would not be the first time the Russians try to fake a victory
t.me/wargonzo/9173
I made a separate thread for Kherson, at this moment, I have 13 confirmed liberated settlements.

According to Wagner associated telegram channel Grey Zone, Ukrainian Special Forces have reached the outskirts of Kherson City. I consider this a unconfirmed rumor. t.me/grey_zone/15743
The Russians showed them raising a flag in Pavlivka. It is now clear they are trying to invent a victory by raising a flag at the outskirts of the town.
Trusting the Russians is like trusting a monkey with a shotgun. Or your wife with your money. Not a good idea.
This is what they do, they invent a victory somewhere else so the putler fan club don't have to think about Kherson. They can just enter their safe space and fap to a fake victory in Pavlivka.
This image here show why Kherson City would not be flooded if the dam was blown. There are a few settlements on the left bank which are much lower, but I'm not even sure they would be in great danger as the river is extremely wide at that point.
Allegedly, the Russians are doing some motorboating in Kherson. But it's not the kind you would want to do with Pamela Andersson, it's the kind where you flee over a river at night.
t.me/vert_i_call/69…

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More from @DefMon3

Jul 14
The Russians have captured Urozhaine. They have wasted huge resources in doing so.
1/x
A few weeks a go I made this post:
2/x
You can go to to look at Russian vehicle looses, there is about 50? here. ukr.warspotting.net/map/
Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 2
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV. Image
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
Read 6 tweets
Feb 15
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds. Image
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so. Image
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 28
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"

So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.

(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov) Image
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now. Image
Read 21 tweets
Sep 24, 2023
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove. Image
Kupyansk-Svatove
Russian recon forces attacked UA positions in Krokhmal'ne. Further south, AFU were seen advancing in to Novoselivs'ke. Image
Read 13 tweets
Sep 10, 2023
An overview of the Ukrainian frontline changes for the last week. Image
Legend
Old UA line, is the estimated UA forward line on 2023-09-02
Interactive map can be found here:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk - Svatove
No noticeable changes, but it's clear RuAF are trying to advance west of Svatove, but without any major success.
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets

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