Parts of this will be kept short because of the situation in Kherson taking a lot of my time.
Kyiv was a feint.
Kharkiv was a feint.
Kherson was a feint.
Friendly advice, stay away from areas starting with K in the future.
GSUA reported shellings all along the active frontline and the Russian border. There was an unusual amount of shellings in northern Ukraine today.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novoselivs'ke and Makiivka.
Bakhmut
Heavy fighting is going on in this area, I believe the Russians are desperate for a victory because of the epic failure in Kherson. A lot of ppl have asked me about Bakhmut today, but I have not seen anything raising any concern.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Soledar, Klishchiivka, Mayorsk, Yakovlivka, Bilogorivka and Vesele.
Wargonzo claims Wagner are fighting in Ivanhrad.
Donetsk-Pavlivka
According to Wargonzo reports, RuAF captured Pavlivka, but I wonder if they captured it, why is peg legged Pegov standing outside the town by their artillery positions doing a video about it? I'm extremely skeptical.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Nevelske, Pervomaiske and Novomykhailivka
Peg-Legged-Pegov outside Pavlivka. There was a video with a flag on a building, but for all I know, it could be the very first house in Pavlivka. It would not be the first time the Russians try to fake a victory t.me/wargonzo/9173
I made a separate thread for Kherson, at this moment, I have 13 confirmed liberated settlements.
According to Wagner associated telegram channel Grey Zone, Ukrainian Special Forces have reached the outskirts of Kherson City. I consider this a unconfirmed rumor. t.me/grey_zone/15743
The Russians showed them raising a flag in Pavlivka. It is now clear they are trying to invent a victory by raising a flag at the outskirts of the town.
Trusting the Russians is like trusting a monkey with a shotgun. Or your wife with your money. Not a good idea.
This is what they do, they invent a victory somewhere else so the putler fan club don't have to think about Kherson. They can just enter their safe space and fap to a fake victory in Pavlivka.
This image here show why Kherson City would not be flooded if the dam was blown. There are a few settlements on the left bank which are much lower, but I'm not even sure they would be in great danger as the river is extremely wide at that point.
Allegedly, the Russians are doing some motorboating in Kherson. But it's not the kind you would want to do with Pamela Andersson, it's the kind where you flee over a river at night. t.me/vert_i_call/69…
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The Ukrainian general staff reported shellings all along the active frontline. There are also some shellings on the right Bank of the Dnipro in northern Kherson region.
The liberation of Kherson is the result of 3 months of attrition warfare. Continued attacks on the Russian ground lines of communications was at the end too much for Russia. To succeed this this, you also need them to spend ammo and fuel. They spend ammo and fuel during combat.
I get a lot of questions about the Russian retreat.
Why would they announce the retreat before they leave?
Why would they announce it on TV?
Here is what I believe:
The retreat has been going on for weeks.
There is only a small number of troops left east of the river, mostly lower valued units like mobniks and goat lovers. Some will most likely be sacrificed to cover the retreat of the last units
Announcing it on TV gives the Russian leadership a chance to save face. Kadyrov and Prigozhin immediately came with statement saying Surovikin was very brave and that he saved a lot of Russian lives. This announcement was purely for domestic propaganda.
Kherson
I have 10 settlements I consider being confirmed as liberated today. This is moving pretty fast.
It appears we are about 12-24 hours behind actual events based on rumors yesterday.