Scot126 Profile picture
Nov 12 17 tweets 7 min read
@Josh_Young_1 @BisonInterests @contrarian8888 @EnergyHobbs @Gary02001438 @AlaskaPanr @MuttOil @AIMhonesty
A fellow $panr shareholder told me you made a fatuous readacross from the price bid per acre the #panr bid in the recent lease sales run by the State...1/
$pthrf
...of Alaska Dept of Natural Resources. Something about the implied valuation of $panr's total acreage being c.$6m v's a mkt cap of c.$700m? Apart from the *fact* #panr is the *only* party which possesses 3D seismic data over that area (Great Bear invested c.$80m on shooting...2/
...seismic in the 2010s), I calculate the new northern extension to Theta West will see $panr's OIP move towards a gigantic 30bbo. Yes, that's correct. OIP approaching 30bbo, making it a larger accumulation of oil than Kuparuk River. I presume you're aware..3/
#panr $pthrf
...of Kuparuk River, Josh, operated by CP? Actually, speaking of CP operating in the North Slope, I hope you (and those who have opted to short $panr from Josh's superficial research) are aware the two men credited with discovering the 1.2bbo reserves Alpine...4/
#panr $pthrf
...oilfield, the two founders of eSeis, are formally "on the record" stating $panr's discovery will be "the largest discovery of [our] careers", not Alpine. All talk? eSeis elected to receive a 1% ORRI ***on production only*** in lieu of a multi-million dollar...5/
#panr $pthrf
...professional services fee. Don't believe me again? No probs. Listen to Roger Young of eSeis on a publicly available webinar state clearly "He's never seen anything like it" in his whole career when referring to $panr's acreage. 6/
#panr $pthrf
Going back to your ludicrous readacross on valuation via the recent Alaskan lease sales. You patently haven't realised that, when applying your logic, Hilcorp's Prudhoe Bay is valued at only $5.7m! But Hilcorp paid BP $5.6bn for Prudhoe Bay. Eek! 7/
#panr $panr $pthrf
I tell you what, Josh, your professional reputation will be in tatters if, and I repeat if, $panr's geological model is proven. In such a scenario you will have publicly accused the company owning 100% of the second largest onshore conventional oilfield in US history...8/
#panr
...of committing a wide-ranging fraud. Be under no illusions, Josh (and anyone he's persuaded to short the stock), for any such fraudulent conspiracy to be successful in your imagination, literally tens of professionals in organisations as disparate as: eSeis, Schlumberger,...9/
...AHS Baker Hughes, Lee Keeling & Assoc and the SoA Dept of Natural Resources (all of whom have seen $panr's dataset from 6 wells + 3D seismic) will have *had* to be co-conspirators.
If you are wrong, Josh, and the tens/hundreds of O&G professionals who have built...10/
#panr
...the Pantheon/Great Bear geological model over the last 12 years are correct, then $panr's equity will be measured in the multiple billions of dollars. Your 'short' mates could see their funds dealt a nasty blow, all because you refused to do anything other than...11/
#panr
...superficial reading at best. Addressing now your 'short' contacts directly. In historic communications with Josh, it was 100% crystal clear that he had not read company RNSs; read the Annual Reports; listened to the many webinars hosted by directors and external...12/
$panr
...consultants/experts (all freely available); read the two Baker Hughes executive summaries of Volatiles Analysis at Talitha and Theta West (NB the *exact* same Volatile Analysis team which Conoco Phillips uses about 30 miles away, bet you didn't know that, Josh?);...13/
$panr
...read the company's slide decks; channel-checked the data by accessing the SoA DNR archives, etc.
Also to short funds: if, and I repeat if, the initial flow rates from Alkaid-2 come back at or beating guidance (150bopd per 1000ft of lateral, lateral is 5300ft fyi) then...14/
...be prepared to close your short at least 50% above the current price, likely higher. There are multiple UK equity funds who have $panr on their watch list who can only buy cash-generating O&G stocks.
A) Don't say I didn't warn you! B) Fact check Josh. I promise...15/
#panr
...you'll discern little more than superficial knowledge within 2 minutes.
I'm available to assist any genuine parties research the *facts* of the $panr investment case. If I don't know the answer, I'll refer you to someone who does. Happy to be fact-checked too. 16/
#panr
Maybe also ask yourselves why Josh has blocked @EnergyHobbs? Telemachus has co-authored multiple O&G papers with Daniel Yergin and knows more about $panr's project than anyone on Twitter. It's up to him if he wishes to explain why his knowledge is greater than anyone I know./end

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More from @Scot126126

Nov 14
$panr $pthrf #panr @CG_Driven
Pantheon Resources (PANR LN) – Stock down 16% - Muddy Waters short attack: Weekend press staying that Muddy Waters is in the process of a short attack on Pantheon. They have not published anything (that we can find) for the company to make any...1/
...specific push-backs on, so in the meantime, all we can do is reiterate our thesis.
=> Well-testing remains key: I revert back to our research note from Oct 26th.
=> Alkaid#2 update - encouragement and challenges: No details beyond that the well produced..2/
$panr #panr $pthrf
...at initial fluid rates "in the thousands of barrels per day" with around 10% average oil cut.
=> The operational issue: Frack sand production has been higher than expected with limited handling capacity in the temporary test facilities. More positively,..3/
$panr #panr $pthrf
Read 10 tweets
Nov 14
@RieckKay @BurgghabenH @TwitterSupport
Dear Mr Rieck - I am sorry to inform you that @BurgghabenH has hired a private investigator in an attempt to doxx me. The private investigator and @BurgghabenH now appear to believe you are the account holder known as Scot126. 1/
@BurgghabenH has tweeted out a copy of your passport and photo and your address in the UAE. I am so sorry you have been caught up in this dreadful conduct. I don't know what's going on, what his motivation is, I just don't understand what's happening? There is a public...2/
...debate within investment circles in the UK and US about a London listed company called Pantheon Resources. Some hedge funds are alleging fraud. I disagree and have challenged them to present supporting evidence. But look at the lengths they're going to now. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Nov 13
$panr #panr #panr
There is no "gotcha" question remaining outstanding. After 12 years, $300m invested in Alaska, 6 wells and the award of two Production Units from the Dept of Natural Resources the core "known unknown" is lateral continuity.
Only Hempton thinks there's...1/
..."no oil". Everyone else from Peel Hunt to Baker Hughes to eSeis acknowledges the Oil in Place is >23 billion barrels. The key debate prior to obtaining the empirical data is whether commercial flow can be achieved from $panr's stacked reservoirs of light 35-40 API...2/
#panr
...crude oil. I assess that the *fact* "thousands of barrels" of fluid was returned to the surface during the initial clean up phase gives a strong indication the reservoir has, after a multi-stage frack to stimulate, the properties to allow commercial extraction. 3/
$panr #panr
Read 4 tweets
Oct 23
@David37655174 @chmok @contrarian8888 Yes, I have. I'd firstly refer you to the Canaccord and WH Ireland analysts' risked/unrisked models. Canaccord has a risked NPV of 300p and WH Ireland is c.180p (from memory?). Unrisked NPVs get you to 800p-1400p per share. 1/
$panr $pthrf #panr
@David37655174 @chmok @contrarian8888 The question you pose illustrates exactly the dilemma which $panr presents to the market. Using the traditional risked/unrisked E&P valuation methodology, the sheer scale of $panr's OIP and Technically Recoverable Resource means that even if a low risk of success..2/
#panr $pthrf
@David37655174 @chmok @contrarian8888 ...is attached to the project's potential value, a number is delivered which is at least double that of the current SP. Removing the risked calculation altogether leads to telephone numbers of NPV.
In the scenario where Alkaid-2 delivers a commercial flow, I contend...3/
$panr
Read 8 tweets
Oct 13
@contrarian8888 $pthrf
A thread on the *potential* implications of $panr proving commerciality at Alkaid-2 in the coming days. I wish to be more clear about the *upside risk* to this investment case, if proved.

- #panr has announced the discovery of an oil accumulation...1/
...in excess of 23 billion barrels of Oil in Place just 20 miles south of Deadhorse, Alaska. Independent validation of this data has come from the State of Alaska’s Dept of Natural Resources, eSeis, Lee Keeling & Assoc, AHS Baker Hughes and Schlumberger. 2/
#panr $panr $pthrf
I am not aware of one credible voice which refutes the Oil in Place figure.

- There is a legitimate debate that the characteristics of the stacked reservoirs discovered by $panr mean that recovering the oil commercially will be difficult, perhaps even impossible. 3/
#panr $pthrf
Read 12 tweets
Sep 28
@oilmutt @EnergyHobbs @Gary02001438 Hi Oil Muff - merger was completed 21/1/19.
Remember pre-merger, Vision LLC was owner/operator in East Texas. Agreed? Leases were in Vision's name, look at the records. The principal of Vision, Bobby Gray, sadly died (Google him) and Jay had to step in on behalf of $PANR to...1/
@oilmutt @EnergyHobbs @Gary02001438 ...ensure all regulatory functions could continue. The Gray Estate was involved but because they had no access to finance following Bobby's death, they were no longer a functioning part of the Vision/#panr jv. $panr even stepped in and paid the salaries of the half dozen...2/
@oilmutt @EnergyHobbs @Gary02001438 Vision employees for months after Bobby's death despite having no obligation to do so.
I repeat again, why would a current NED of Pioneer and a former President of ARCO Int'l engage in this ridiculous conspiracy you have dreamed up? Every single...3/
Read 23 tweets

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