A journalist asked me, "how do we know your forecasts/predictions/projections are based on data analysis and not luck." It's a fair question, so here are a few receipts in no particular order.
In 2021, I correctly called both Senate races in Georgia...
In 2021, I correctly called both Senate races in Georgia...
In October, I correctly called the Senate race in PA including the margin.
Brazil as well...
There is more if you use the search feature. I am sincerely tired of being asked to show my work when my "peers" are just taken at their word while consistently getting it wrong. Winning the lotto is "luck;" analyzing tons of data has nothing to do with luck.
There is more if you use the search feature. I am sincerely tired of being asked to show my work when my "peers" are just taken at their word while consistently getting it wrong. Winning the lotto is "luck;" analyzing tons of data has nothing to do with luck.
Frank got everything wrong, and he gets to go on as if nothing happened. I correctly predicted every Senate race except Ohio, and I am being asked to show my work.
And for the record, my model had Ohio leaning Republican, but I gave it to Democrats because of Dobbs.
And for the record, my model had Ohio leaning Republican, but I gave it to Democrats because of Dobbs.
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