Chart below summarizes the major differences between chapter 7 and 11:
2/ Chapter 7
This is when the company dissolves entirely: all assets immediately liquidated in fire sale & used to pay down debt acc. to a seniority waterfall.
If there's not enough to go around, subordinate creditors lose their principal. Any remaining debt is wiped/forgiven.
3/ Chapter 11
This is when a debtor remains in business while taking initiatives to stabilize its finances (cut costs, sell some assets, renegotiate its debts by extending maturities, etc).
No debt is wiped/forgiven, merely "restructured."
Company may come out & still be alive.
4/ Claims Hierarchy
Image below shows a typical seniority waterfall -- i.e. who gets paid first vs last (agnostic to ch7 vs ch11).
If FTX's corporate structure follows that of a normal bank's, depositors sit w/ general unsecured creditors & employee wages sit w/ admin expenses.
5/ What about FTX customers? What about VCs?
Do they get paid before or after all other FTX creditors?
Short story is it's yet unclear but most likely:
- first all the senior corporate creditors get paid
- then FTX employees
- then FTX customers
- then VCs
- then the founders
6/ Timeline to Get Money Back
Unfortunately, it takes a long time (6-24 months) to get one's money back following chapter 11.
Steps that need to happen:
- appointment of a trustee
- initial petition filing
- reorg plan filing
- voting on reorg plan
Timeline + Reorg Steps 👇
7/ Pros & Cons of Chapter 11
Most companies first try to emerge from 11 alive.
If they fail, they resort to 7.
Pros:
- business can continue to operate during process
- possible 2nd chance
- creditors must stop harassing execs during "automatic stay" period
Cons:
- time
- cost
8/ What happens to BlockFi, Voyager, LedgerX & all other FTX/Alameda investments?
FTX will try to sell them off, piecemeal, until customers are whole and interests are paid.
Theres a chance many portfolio companies will go for ~$0 since they were bailed out in the first place.
Enron's bankruptcy process as a historical example shown below:
(all asset sale events highlighted in yellow)
8/ FTX's Official Bankruptcy Filing
Finally, if u want to read the complete and unabridged FTX Chapter 11 Filing: bit.ly/3TsXLE5
Notable points:
- JJ Ray 3 (the Enron turnaround guy! 😲) is now FTX trustee and new CEO
- In total 134 entities filed for bankruptcy!
End/
FTX is not worth 0.
Most creditors can still get paid.
Sequoia wrote investments to 0 cuz it's an equity holder (i.e. bottom of totem pole, last to get paid)
Before reading every sensational headline at face value, try to understand:
- what chapter 11 means
- how it works
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100% of hedge funds, VCs, founders & strategy execs do market research.
95% do it wrong.
That's why they invest in, build & buy shitty companies.
Follow this blueprint from the top 5%:
A 9-Step Guide For Analyzing Any Industry
👇
🧵/
1/ Build a market map
i.e. top-down hierarchical view of major players
(see example below)
Why start here?
a) there should be plenty literature out already
b) just knowing the major names in a space & 1-2 lines about each arms u with the right lingo to talk to experts [step 2]
2/ Start expert outreach in parallel
Hire a Fiverr to source, contact & pair schedules with industry experts while u keep researching.
No it's not too early in the game.
And yes u should absolutely outsource.
Here's why:
- takes indefinite time
- volume game
- it's mindless
I get this question all the time.
It's NOT a stupid question.
The hedge fund industry is so damn secretive & every primer out on the internet sucks.
Here's a comprehensive breakdown.
👇
🧵/
1/ Style:
Systematic -
These funds hire quants & build algos where each strategy/trade "sweeps" across an entire market for hard-to-spot arbitrage.
example: "dispersion trade" i.e. buy options on all single stocks in SPX, sell an equivalent sum of options on SPX the index
Discretionary -
These funds take a view on specific companies & do "fundamental research" (read about the business, track metrics, talk to executives) before manually placing positions.
example: buy $CMG after an E.coli outbreak cuz diseases are temporary & the stock is oversold