"Lol we don't need Warnock" is what people say who haven't worked in Congress and don't know how it works. Here are the differences that 51st Senator can make, just off the top of my head: 1/x
2/x 1: a 51st Dem means no power-sharing in the organizing resolution. Dems have a majority on committees. no more deadlocks, no more discharge petitions for floor votes. That massively accelerates both the legislative process and the confirmation process.
3/x 2: the individual power of the two chaos muppets (Manchin and Sinema) is drastically reduced. both of them will now need to be opposed to whatever Dems are trying to do in order to block progress.
4/x 3: the Senate is a gerontocracy. These guys are not healthy a lot of the time, or not present a lot of the time. We could have a death in a state with a Republican governor. A lot of things could happen. 51-49 versus 50-50 means you can have up to 2 absences/noes.
5/x 4: A 51-49 majority means that VP Harris won't be required to be in DC to babysit the Senate all of the time, and can actually be a much more effective VP who can be deployed for both policy and campaigning.
6/6 so the upshot it, work for Warnock just as hard as you could if you thought that Schumer's gavel depended on it. Because as far as you know, at some point in the next two years, it very well could.
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As an example of how mindbogglingly stupid Elon is and how you shouldn't be having him run your GOTV, he posted this about New Jersey's vote. Commentary in thread.
Yes. Republicans are ahead by a few thousand in in-person early voting. Unfortunately for him, that's only 37 percent of votes cast. The rest are cast by mail, where Dems have a 40-point advantage. 1/x
Cumulatively, that means that Dems have an advantage of 51-27 in party percentage, with the rest being no party or minor parties, and a raw vote advantage of 250,000. Over half the state's million+ votes have been cast by Dems. 2/x
Republicans for Harris are saying that no matter their policy disagreements, they can't let Trump win.
A lot of leftists are saying that unless Harris aligns with them in specific ways, they will let Trump win even though they disagree with him on everything.
1/x
2/x Whom do you expect normie Dem voters are going to listen to, agree with, and sympathize with more going forward, win or lose? Who do you think is going to have an audience, and a seat at whatever tables exist come 2025?
3/x you can't complain (falsely) about the Democratic Party shifting right (which it isn't, but that's for a different thread) while at the very same time doing everything you can to cede whatever battle you think is occurring for the Party's soul to actual Republicans.
If MAGA really wants to claim that calling someone a threat to democracy engenders assassination attempts, I have some ideas for things they should stop doing: 1/x
2/x saying that Kamala Harris is a Soviet-style communist and calling her "comrade"
3/x saying that Harris and Democrats are turning America into a third-world country
Trump is a threat to democracy. The fact that crazy people with access to weapons of war have tried to kill him doesn't change the fact that he's a threat to democracy, and it's interesting that MAGA uses those crimes to demand you stop saying he's a threat to democracy. 1/x
2/x Trump hlmself thirsts for political violence. He got people killed on January 6 and ought to spend the rest of his life in jail for it. He encourages violence against media and protestors. He has spread vicious lies against Haitians, leading to bomb threats.
3/x he and his Uday and Qusay wannabe sons thought it was hilarious that the husband of the House Speaker was invaded in his own home and beaten with a hammer. It was the source of constant jokes for them. Because the Trumps thirst for violence. It's who they are, what they do.
Everything about Trump makes much more sense when you realize he sees the world as.ethnicity-centered organized crime bosses fighting over turf, with himself as the leader of the White crime family.
2/x this is the lens through which he views tariffs. Tariffs are what other crime families (like the Chinese) have to pay him for the privilege of doing business on his turf and selling goods there.
3/x it's the lens through which he sees NATO. He understands it as a protection racket where Europe pays the United States for "protection" and if they don't "pay" then he's fine with Russia considering them, even though that's not remotely how NATO works logistically at all.
I listen to a lot of focus groups with Latinos (both in Spanish and English, and yes, I speak Spanish) and this is an excellent ad. It is excellent precisely because it treats the border and immigration as SEPARATE, though related, issues. Here's a bit of explanation 1/x
2/x Spanish-speaking communities are often frontline communities when it comes to border policy. Whether it's drugs, migrants, smuggling, cartels, whatever it is, they tend to think they bear the brunt of it, and they want a well-regulated, well-policed border.
3/x that doesn't mean a CLOSED border like what Republicans talk about. They go to Latin America all the time! Their friends and family from Latin America visit them all the time! They don't want anything to get in the way of that! But they also want to feel safe.