1/5 Kemp signed new election laws into place following the 2020 elections (meaning, it was predicated on 2020 having issues) and his opponent was @staceyabrams; hardly a bad candidate.

Yet, Kemp won by a margin of 7.6!

This blows up two major talking points about the midterms:
2/5 One being that talking/acting on claims regarding 2020 is a loser. The other: Candidate quality. (Fetterman won. High quality 🤓).

But hey Narratives live on even if there aren't facts to back it such as Clinton's 1992 win being due to the line "It's the economy, stupid."
3/5 Clinton won only 43% of the popular vote in 1992; that's less than the 45% Dem Dukakis won in 1988 when the Reagan/Bush economy was booming. Only diff is that 45% in 1988 was not enough to win but it was in 1992 due to the split on the center/center-right among Bush/Perot.
4/5 Another narrative is that the GOP lost 4 House seats in the 1998 Clinton Midterms because @newtgingrich hounded Clinton.

Um, the GOP had picked up 54 seats in the 1994 midterms; hitting 230 seats -- Their most seats since 1946!

They were not going to keep all those gains.
5/5 On and on these narratives go. POTUS party ending with 51 Senate seats is same as "bad" Obama 2010 midterm; less than Trump's 53 seats in his "bad" midterm.

Whatever. Talking to zombies unable to see beyond the propaganda and to partisan shills who don't care about facts.
2016: Trump is on the ballot in PA. He wins the state; #PASen is also won by the GOP.

2020: Trump is on the ballot. Loses it by 1.2 (Romney lost it by 5.4; McCain by 10 and Bush by 2.5).

2022: Trump isn't on the ballot. GOP loses #PASen by 4.4; #PAGov by 14.

#DumpTrump 🤓🤓🤓
In the 2014 Obama midterms, Republicans ended up with 54 Senate seats and 247 House seats; the latter being their best count since Hoover! Yet the GOP lost the #PAGov race by almost 10 points probably because Trump announced a POTUS run 8 months later.

cc @EWErickson @FrankLuntz

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More from @YossiGestetner

Nov 15
The most Trumpian/2020-election focused statewide candidate lost by 25K votes among 2.57 million given.

I am sure it proves right all your hot takes about Biden, Trump, 2020, inflation, democracy, abortion.

Oh, plenty GOPs voted Dems to own Trump so it proves 2 X 0, clowns.
This candidate, @KariLake, won 48% of the GOP Primary vote. By attacking her as a "Trump Candidate," U R saying that 48% of GOP AZ Primary voters are dumb idiots who if not for Trump would choose a candidate of quality.

Ya. Being condescending to your own base is a winner!
Lake's loss in AZ is narrow enough to be put at the feet of GOP voters who are willing to blow up winnable races just to own Trump. This shtick can be done to DeSantis too, so how does this prove a deficiency in "Trump Candidates"?

cc @bonchieredstate @RRHElections @mschlapp
Read 6 tweets
Nov 13
"Candidate Quality" is the buzzword that the Gulag Guards told the inmates about after breakfast was denied.

The prisoners turn on each other thinking they stand a chance if only they behaved better.

Dems can take out anyone with the same ease; regardless of "quality."
"They lost because they spoke about 2020," say the Gulag Guards who won the House, White House and Senate after spending years investigating the legitimacy of the 2016 elections.

cc @brithume @RonColeman @JackPosobiec @redsteeze
The Gulag Guards who spent 72 hours talking about Trump's fitness for office and the need to trigger the 25th after his slow walk down a ramp at West Point, R convincing the inmates that Fetterman's health was a plus for him.

I am sure that would be the talk if he were a GOPer.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 13
#NY17 was a GOP flip; #NY18 a Dem hold both due to voters who Orthodox Jewish. #NY19 was a GOP flip due in part to Orthodox Jews.

Trump won 90% of this vote in 2020

Anyone who thinks running from Trump helps @HouseGOP's is clueless. It's passive at best; a negative at worst.
IN FACT: Trump's work on prison reform and his overall friendly approach to Orthodox Jews were used in favor of Republicans; certainly in #NY17. A leading Grand Rabbi in one of these districts criticized his flock post election as to how Trumpism overtook the Orthodox community!
In fact, Thursday AM, @lawler4ny (who won by a few thousand votes due to HUGE support among Orthodox Jews) said on CNN that the GOP should move on from Trump in '24.

At night he was at a Kosher Deli. He took incoming for saying it.

I was there. I heard it. From many people.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 11
A decade ago, Republicans were divorced from their last GOP POTUS (Bush). He didn't appear at the convention and his name was almost not mentioned.

Now Republicans do it with Trump.

All they have is Reagan who never had the House; left GOP with less Senate seats than Trump did.
These idiots are such Republicans that they buy whatever garbage the gulag guards tell them and they turn on each other instead of on the guards with the hope that the guards will be nice and fair to them. It's going on for decades.

Sad.
Many of those who ran from Bush in 2012 and are calling for the GOP to run from Trump, supported Jeb BUSH for the 2016 nomination.

Read 4 tweets
Nov 9
People want to make every election win/loss about Trump/not Trump.

Trump campaigned endlessly with JDV in OH; he won by 6.6.

Odea in Colorado made anti-Trumpism his banner issue and he lost by double digits.

cc @mattklewis @EWErickson @benshapiro @SeanTrende @AnnCoulter
Zeldin didn't hug or run from Trump and lost by only 5+ in a deep-blue state!

Dems and kept hammering him on Trump. Maybe if he embraced Trump he could've made up the gap from pro-Trumpers since anti-Trumpers anyway got the anti-Trump message from Dems.

Who knows.
Then there is the part of Never/Non-Trumpers saying that X can't win yet those Never/Non-Trumpers either don't vote for X or even actively oppose X. When X loses, the Nevers are all "HAHA. We TOLD YOU they can't win!"

See what @KarlRove did in #PAGov against the GOPer.
Read 42 tweets
Oct 30
Let's not be callous about his wounds, but politics often involves luck. For example: 12 days before a midterm election that she was about to lose, a crazy somehow avoided security measures to attack Pelosi's husband and Dems are using it against GOPs.
Same thing goes for 1/6:

On the one hand lawmaker's lives were in real danger when security failed for a crowd that didn't even move rope lines once inside, but then - politically - Dems used it the next 19 months against the GOP and Trump.

Pelosi has luck.

With stocks too.
I agree with @KurtSchlichter that the @HouseGOP majority, if as it appears they will be one, should issue subpoenas for videos, phone calls and text of the Pelosi's house, staff and police to get to the bottom of this attack on our democracy that almost killed the Speaker.
Read 4 tweets

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