1/5 Kemp signed new election laws into place following the 2020 elections (meaning, it was predicated on 2020 having issues) and his opponent was @staceyabrams; hardly a bad candidate.
Yet, Kemp won by a margin of 7.6!
This blows up two major talking points about the midterms:
Yet, Kemp won by a margin of 7.6!
This blows up two major talking points about the midterms:
2/5 One being that talking/acting on claims regarding 2020 is a loser. The other: Candidate quality. (Fetterman won. High quality 🤓).
But hey Narratives live on even if there aren't facts to back it such as Clinton's 1992 win being due to the line "It's the economy, stupid."
But hey Narratives live on even if there aren't facts to back it such as Clinton's 1992 win being due to the line "It's the economy, stupid."
3/5 Clinton won only 43% of the popular vote in 1992; that's less than the 45% Dem Dukakis won in 1988 when the Reagan/Bush economy was booming. Only diff is that 45% in 1988 was not enough to win but it was in 1992 due to the split on the center/center-right among Bush/Perot.
4/5 Another narrative is that the GOP lost 4 House seats in the 1998 Clinton Midterms because @newtgingrich hounded Clinton.
Um, the GOP had picked up 54 seats in the 1994 midterms; hitting 230 seats -- Their most seats since 1946!
They were not going to keep all those gains.
Um, the GOP had picked up 54 seats in the 1994 midterms; hitting 230 seats -- Their most seats since 1946!
They were not going to keep all those gains.
5/5 On and on these narratives go. POTUS party ending with 51 Senate seats is same as "bad" Obama 2010 midterm; less than Trump's 53 seats in his "bad" midterm.
Whatever. Talking to zombies unable to see beyond the propaganda and to partisan shills who don't care about facts.
Whatever. Talking to zombies unable to see beyond the propaganda and to partisan shills who don't care about facts.
2016: Trump is on the ballot in PA. He wins the state; #PASen is also won by the GOP.
2020: Trump is on the ballot. Loses it by 1.2 (Romney lost it by 5.4; McCain by 10 and Bush by 2.5).
2022: Trump isn't on the ballot. GOP loses #PASen by 4.4; #PAGov by 14.
#DumpTrump 🤓🤓🤓
2020: Trump is on the ballot. Loses it by 1.2 (Romney lost it by 5.4; McCain by 10 and Bush by 2.5).
2022: Trump isn't on the ballot. GOP loses #PASen by 4.4; #PAGov by 14.
#DumpTrump 🤓🤓🤓
In the 2014 Obama midterms, Republicans ended up with 54 Senate seats and 247 House seats; the latter being their best count since Hoover! Yet the GOP lost the #PAGov race by almost 10 points probably because Trump announced a POTUS run 8 months later.
cc @EWErickson @FrankLuntz
cc @EWErickson @FrankLuntz
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