Neil Mitchell says he has been leaked internal ALP polling with the following:
Loss: Oakleigh, Hawthorn, Point Cook, Albert Park
In danger: Werribee
Close: Mulgrave
No numbers so nothing to analyse here. #VicVotes
Loss: Oakleigh, Hawthorn, Point Cook, Albert Park
In danger: Werribee
Close: Mulgrave
No numbers so nothing to analyse here. #VicVotes
Internal polling "leaks" often turn out to be nonsense as they can be (i) expectation management (ii) disgruntled elements (iii) tiny samples (iv) incorrectly analysed (v) in some cases simply fictitious. Nonetheless noted to see how it goes post-election.
Oakleigh is on 16% and without a high-profile non-classic contender so this is sounding like a #pollshapedobject
(The claimed losses are Hawthorn to Libs, Point Cook to IND, Albert Park to Green and Oakleigh to not stated.)
Thread by @KosSamaras (who has experience of ALP internal polling matters) declaring this "leak" to be bogus here:
https://twitter.com/KosSamaras/status/1592360994210451456
A further indicator that this 'internal polling leak' is likely to be bulldust is that it refers to swings against ALP in Mildura. Mildura is an IND vs Nat seat where Labor needs a huge swing to make the final two, why on earth would Labor poll it? #pollshapedobject
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
