Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Nov 16 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
In today's #vatnik soup, I'll discuss propaganda. Why is ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ winning the propaganda war? What happened to ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ as a propaganda/disinformation powerhouse?

Here's my take:

1/12
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ established their disinformation machinery a long time ago, and a big part of their modus operandi comes already from the KGB era. Their propaganda focuses on putting a negative spotlight on other actors, for example the political opposition, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ or the West.

2/12
This "bashing of foreign actors" is a very effective propaganda method,and many countries have taken a similar approach after they've seen how well it has worked for ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ. Previously most countries were focusing on praising their own policies, but this method changed the game. 3/12
At the beginning of 2022, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ still had a big lead on the disinformation effectiveness. Their troll farms produced propaganda around the clock, and some of it - especially the antivaxx and racial tensions kind - seemed to be working well on fringe groups around the globe.

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Then, after ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ's full-scale invasion in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, everything changed. What happened? My theory is that ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ had been pushing their luck for too long with Crimea and Donbass, and the collective West simply said "Enough".

5/12
Western democracies and prominent politicians decided that it's time to aid ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ in their defense and started providing aid packages worth billions of dollars. Media caught up and started defending ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, too. After this, all ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ statements fell on deaf ears.

6/12
Biolabs, deadly pathogens, neo-nazis, NATO's proxy war... All of these narratives were ridiculed in the Western media and in social media. Individual claims were quickly neutralized by OSINT experts such as the @bellingcat.

7/12
In May, #NAFO swooped in and started battling the online disinformation with their Shiba Inu memes. We also shouldn't forget ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ's propaganda, which was constructed brilliantly. First of all, it was all REAL (except for that Ghost of Kyiv guy and a few others): ...

8/12
... We saw children in bomb shelters, soldiers dancing on fields,๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ tanks used as a flower bed, demolished civilian buildings, and most of all: we saw their courageous leader. Already on 25th of Feb, 2022,Zelenskyy and his posse recorded a short clip from the streets of Kyiv.9/12
Early March, 2022, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ disinfo suggested that president Zelenskyy had fled to ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ. After this, Zelenskyy recorded even more material, directly from the war zone. At the same time, frail Putin was seen sitting at long tables, far away from his military advisors.

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This is just one example how ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ emphasizes individual tragedies and especially HEROISM.Their propaganda tells a David vs. Goliath story, and everybody loves an underdog. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ propaganda focuses on their military POWER and attempts to DENIGRATE ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ as a nation and as a culture. 11/12
To conclude, it is worth mentioning that ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ propaganda probably works really well in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ. Two-thirds of Russia relies on state TV for their news. Their top propagandist Vladimir Solovyov spews out propaganda and outright lies daily, like this:


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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Nov 18
How did Putin get so rich? In today's #vatnik soup I'll be introducing one of his money men, oligarch Gennady Timchenko. Timchenko has a special place in Finnish people's hearts, as he also has Finnish citizenship and has been doing a lot of business in ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ.

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Putin and Timchenko go way back. The Pandora papers revealed that already in 1991 Putin gave Timchenko a oil export license. At the time this was a big deal, as exports from Russia were just starting & anyone who could get their hands on them could become incredibly rich.

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For his oil business, Timchenko found Gunvor group which would export Russian oil worth of billions of dollars. He sold his share of the company to other co-founder, Swedish billionaire Torbjรถrn Tรถrnqvist a day before he was sanctioned by the US Treasury in 2014.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
Nov 17
In today's #vatnik soup, I'll introduce a man who has worked mostly behind the scenes - Vladislav Surkov. Some of you might not even recognize the name, but he's the main architect of both the polarizing disinformation program and the annexation system of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ. 1/9 Image
Many perceive Surkov as a key figure behind Putin's power and P. Pomerantsev gave him the nickname "Putin's Rasputin". Vladislav was the key figure in putting Kadyrov to his current position (Kadyrov calls him his "sworn brother" and even has a picture of
him on the wall). 2/9 Image
Surkov's approach to geopolitics comes through theatre - he studied theatre direction for 3 years and he's an excellent dramaturg. He is also closely related to a movement called "political technology", which is often referred as "a industry of political manipulation".

3/9 Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 15
In today's #vatnik soup, I'll introduce a first female vatnik, ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Leena Hietanen. She used to be a quite prominent journalist who wrote to some of the most popular newspapers in ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ. This report is also my first attempt at adding subtitles, so please be gentle with feedback.

1/5
At some point Leena's brain circuits went haywire, and she became a berserk ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ apologists. Hietanen HATES ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ and ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช culture and politics. Already back in 2008 she wrote a book called "Estonia's cold war", which criticized Estonian politics regarding ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ minorities.

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She has refused to call the USSR's occupation of ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช an occupation. She has also called the Estonian people "criminally stupid" on ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ national TV and written a pamflet on ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช media where she called ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช a "fasist apartheid country".

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Read 6 tweets
Nov 10
In today's #vatnik soup,I'll go through the many motives in creation of pro-๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ "useful idiots".By useful idiot I refer to a person who spreads propaganda and disinfo for a cause, either consciously or unconsciously. It's by no means a comprehensive list,but it's a good intro.1/13
I have divided these methods into four distinct categories, but individuals can of course be affected by multiple methods. These methods are: 1) wealth, 2) power, 3) anxiety/disenfranchisement, and 4) kompromat. 2/13
1) Wealth: You can include many politicians and businessmen on this list. After the collapse of USSR, Russia opened up its businesses to the West, and many answered to this call. In case you were willing to ignore the human rights violations and ongoing invasions by ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ, 3/13
Read 13 tweets
Nov 9
In today's #vatnik soup I'll be introducing a man behind both ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ's private war organization and its disinformation and propaganda machine: an oligarch and a businessman Yevgeni Prigozhin. This thread will be divided into 2 (or 3) parts since his "achievements" are plentiful. 1/10
Like many oligarchs, Yevgeni used to be a petty criminal and spent 9 years in prison in the 80's for robbery and fraud. After his release, he started various lucrative food businesses, eventually opening a restaurant in St. Petersburg called New Island.

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It quickly became the most fashionable restaurant in St. Petersburg and Putin himself started dining there with people like Jacques Chirac and George W. Bush. By 2003, Prigozhin had become a confidante of Putin and people started calling him "Putin's chef".

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Read 10 tweets

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