In today's #vatnik soup, I'll discuss propaganda. Why is ๐บ๐ฆ winning the propaganda war? What happened to ๐ท๐บ as a propaganda/disinformation powerhouse?
Here's my take:
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๐ท๐บ established their disinformation machinery a long time ago, and a big part of their modus operandi comes already from the KGB era. Their propaganda focuses on putting a negative spotlight on other actors, for example the political opposition, ๐บ๐ฆ or the West.
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This "bashing of foreign actors" is a very effective propaganda method,and many countries have taken a similar approach after they've seen how well it has worked for ๐ท๐บ. Previously most countries were focusing on praising their own policies, but this method changed the game. 3/12
At the beginning of 2022, ๐ท๐บ still had a big lead on the disinformation effectiveness. Their troll farms produced propaganda around the clock, and some of it - especially the antivaxx and racial tensions kind - seemed to be working well on fringe groups around the globe.
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Then, after ๐ท๐บ's full-scale invasion in ๐บ๐ฆ, everything changed. What happened? My theory is that ๐ท๐บ had been pushing their luck for too long with Crimea and Donbass, and the collective West simply said "Enough".
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Western democracies and prominent politicians decided that it's time to aid ๐บ๐ฆ in their defense and started providing aid packages worth billions of dollars. Media caught up and started defending ๐บ๐ฆ, too. After this, all ๐ท๐บ statements fell on deaf ears.
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Biolabs, deadly pathogens, neo-nazis, NATO's proxy war... All of these narratives were ridiculed in the Western media and in social media. Individual claims were quickly neutralized by OSINT experts such as the @bellingcat.
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In May, #NAFO swooped in and started battling the online disinformation with their Shiba Inu memes. We also shouldn't forget ๐บ๐ฆ's propaganda, which was constructed brilliantly. First of all, it was all REAL (except for that Ghost of Kyiv guy and a few others): ...
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... We saw children in bomb shelters, soldiers dancing on fields,๐ท๐บ tanks used as a flower bed, demolished civilian buildings, and most of all: we saw their courageous leader. Already on 25th of Feb, 2022,Zelenskyy and his posse recorded a short clip from the streets of Kyiv.9/12
Early March, 2022, ๐ท๐บ disinfo suggested that president Zelenskyy had fled to ๐ต๐ฑ. After this, Zelenskyy recorded even more material, directly from the war zone. At the same time, frail Putin was seen sitting at long tables, far away from his military advisors.
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This is just one example how ๐บ๐ฆ emphasizes individual tragedies and especially HEROISM.Their propaganda tells a David vs. Goliath story, and everybody loves an underdog. ๐ท๐บ propaganda focuses on their military POWER and attempts to DENIGRATE ๐บ๐ฆ as a nation and as a culture. 11/12
To conclude, it is worth mentioning that ๐ท๐บ propaganda probably works really well in ๐ท๐บ. Two-thirds of Russia relies on state TV for their news. Their top propagandist Vladimir Solovyov spews out propaganda and outright lies daily, like this:
How did Putin get so rich? In today's #vatnik soup I'll be introducing one of his money men, oligarch Gennady Timchenko. Timchenko has a special place in Finnish people's hearts, as he also has Finnish citizenship and has been doing a lot of business in ๐ซ๐ฎ.
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Putin and Timchenko go way back. The Pandora papers revealed that already in 1991 Putin gave Timchenko a oil export license. At the time this was a big deal, as exports from Russia were just starting & anyone who could get their hands on them could become incredibly rich.
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For his oil business, Timchenko found Gunvor group which would export Russian oil worth of billions of dollars. He sold his share of the company to other co-founder, Swedish billionaire Torbjรถrn Tรถrnqvist a day before he was sanctioned by the US Treasury in 2014.
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In today's #vatnik soup, I'll introduce a man who has worked mostly behind the scenes - Vladislav Surkov. Some of you might not even recognize the name, but he's the main architect of both the polarizing disinformation program and the annexation system of ๐ท๐บ. 1/9
Many perceive Surkov as a key figure behind Putin's power and P. Pomerantsev gave him the nickname "Putin's Rasputin". Vladislav was the key figure in putting Kadyrov to his current position (Kadyrov calls him his "sworn brother" and even has a picture of
him on the wall). 2/9
Surkov's approach to geopolitics comes through theatre - he studied theatre direction for 3 years and he's an excellent dramaturg. He is also closely related to a movement called "political technology", which is often referred as "a industry of political manipulation".
In today's #vatnik soup, I'll introduce a first female vatnik, ๐ซ๐ฎ Leena Hietanen. She used to be a quite prominent journalist who wrote to some of the most popular newspapers in ๐ซ๐ฎ. This report is also my first attempt at adding subtitles, so please be gentle with feedback.
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At some point Leena's brain circuits went haywire, and she became a berserk ๐ท๐บ apologists. Hietanen HATES ๐ซ๐ฎ and ๐ช๐ช culture and politics. Already back in 2008 she wrote a book called "Estonia's cold war", which criticized Estonian politics regarding ๐ท๐บ minorities.
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She has refused to call the USSR's occupation of ๐ช๐ช an occupation. She has also called the Estonian people "criminally stupid" on ๐ซ๐ฎ national TV and written a pamflet on ๐ช๐ช media where she called ๐ช๐ช a "fasist apartheid country".
In today's #vatnik soup,I'll go through the many motives in creation of pro-๐ท๐บ "useful idiots".By useful idiot I refer to a person who spreads propaganda and disinfo for a cause, either consciously or unconsciously. It's by no means a comprehensive list,but it's a good intro.1/13
I have divided these methods into four distinct categories, but individuals can of course be affected by multiple methods. These methods are: 1) wealth, 2) power, 3) anxiety/disenfranchisement, and 4) kompromat. 2/13
1) Wealth: You can include many politicians and businessmen on this list. After the collapse of USSR, Russia opened up its businesses to the West, and many answered to this call. In case you were willing to ignore the human rights violations and ongoing invasions by ๐ท๐บ, 3/13
In today's #vatnik soup I'll be introducing a man behind both ๐ท๐บ's private war organization and its disinformation and propaganda machine: an oligarch and a businessman Yevgeni Prigozhin. This thread will be divided into 2 (or 3) parts since his "achievements" are plentiful. 1/10
Like many oligarchs, Yevgeni used to be a petty criminal and spent 9 years in prison in the 80's for robbery and fraud. After his release, he started various lucrative food businesses, eventually opening a restaurant in St. Petersburg called New Island.
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It quickly became the most fashionable restaurant in St. Petersburg and Putin himself started dining there with people like Jacques Chirac and George W. Bush. By 2003, Prigozhin had become a confidante of Putin and people started calling him "Putin's chef".