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Max Kennerly Profile picture
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Nov 16 • 2 tweets • 1 min read
This segment is a case study of the four-part Fox News method.

1) Pick a villain, preferably a woman and/or minority. Gisele immigrated from Brazil.

2) Find something innocuous. The Fettermans have a long-running gag about John not fitting in pictures.

1/2
3) Reframe the innocuous thing as contemptible: the picture shows Gisele is self-centered.

4) Inject a deranged conspiracy theory: John is incapacitated and there's a secret plot for him to resign and then Gov-elect Shapiro will appoint Gisele.

Rinse, repeat.

2/2

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More from @MaxKennerly

Max Kennerly Profile picture
Sep 16
That's not what FL & TX are doing. They could move more people if they coordinated with other states; they refuse. And they're not trying to save money, they're spending a ton of money to sporadically move a handful of people in ways that maximize chaos and media coverage.

1/5
TX AG Paxton is a huge liar, but let's take his numbers at face value. (The biggest number there is likely a total fabrication.)

If "cost" is the issue, why spend nearly $3 billion on border security to reduce an $850 million expense?
texastribune.org/2022/04/18/tex…

2/5
And Florida can hardly complain about "bear the brunt of the cost" to Massachusetts. MA is a net giver; FL is a net taker.

From 2015-2020, Florida took $383 billion more from the federal gov't than it paid in.

rockinst.org/issue-areas/fi…

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Max Kennerly Profile picture
Aug 9
I guess it was inevitable thanks to Trump's quest to be involved with every aspect of American law: let's talk about federal magistrate judges.

Many moons ago, I clerked for one. (I recommend law students consider it, it was a great and useful experience.)
/1
United States Magistrate Judges aren't appointed by the President nor confirmed by the Senate and they're not lifetime appointments. They come to the position through a long process including a merit selection panel and a vote of the active judges in the district.
/2 Image
If you've ever heard the phrase "lawyer's lawyer," well, U.S. magistrate judges are judges' judges. It isn't flashy. It's not political. They don't get to write soaring rhetoric.

But day-in, day-out, they do a lot of judging stuff that needs to get done. Like search warrants.
/3 ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Max Kennerly Profile picture
Apr 5
aaaannnnd it turns out Musk's SEC disclosure (which claimed he was exempt from a 13D report because he's a "passive" investor) was both late and just plain false, as Twitter just disclosed he has an agreement to be appointed to their board: sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archiv…
Seems the "great value" Musk will provide is being restricted from owning more than 14.9% of Twitter, which I guess we can say is a win of sorts—damage mitigation—for the Board. The more he owns, the easier it is for him to exert control, such as by replacing board members.
So:
March 14 - Musk hits the 5% ownership line
March 24 - misses deadline for reporting purchases
March 25 - posts poll / tweets about Twitter operations
April 4 - first filing, wrong form, falsely claims passive investor exemption
April 5 - comes clean
Read 4 tweets
Max Kennerly Profile picture
Mar 5
It would be dysfunctional to "promote domestic oil/gas production." Production is at the level chosen by the industry based on market forces. If that's causing harm, we shouldn't subsidize it, we should admit private oil & gas markets are a failure and nationalize them.
/1
Bear in mind, domestic oil and gas prices bear no relation to domestic supply and demand. The U.S. does not have a shortage of oil or gas. We have a huge excess of natural gas that we export. We have a bit of an oil oversupply (compared to 2000-2014) which is winding down.
/2
Instead, we have a system in which private oil & gas companies can, for profit, drill on public lands, shift international price movements to U.S. consumers, and then transfer wealth upwards via dividends and stock buybacks instead of investing in production. Neat trick, huh?
/3
Read 7 tweets
Max Kennerly Profile picture
Mar 1
This thread is just strawmen. Progressive millennials don't "buy into American supremacy" at all. Their views aren't built on U.S. dominance, but on U.S. foreign policy's repeated failures in Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East. And they don't "tolerate imperialism."
1/4
Foreign policy views among progressives vary, but most believe some version of: U.S. "realpolitik" leaders like Kissinger and Rumsfeld weren't clear-eyed realists, they were clowns, ideologues, profiteers, and war criminals who made the world worse and the U.S. less safe.
2/4
The default posture of most progressives thus isn't to "buy into American supremacy," it's to be skeptical of it. It's to look at Yemen & Somalia and ask if we're helping or making things worse, recognizing that, historically, the answer was often the latter.
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Max Kennerly Profile picture
Feb 5
I've seen a lot of arguments over "what percent of COVID deaths are vaccinated?" Probably 15%-20%, depending on the population.

(This is not an antivax thread. The COVID vaccine has prevented >1 million deaths and >10 million hospitalizations in the US. Get vaccinated.)

1/5
A simple method: apply death rates to vaxed/unxaved population fraction

Weekly COVID death rates ≥12yo
unvaccinated ≈9.5/100k
vaccinated ≈0.5/100k

72.7% ≥12yo fully vaccinated

Standard rate comparison (unvaccinated = "exposed" here):

≈83% of deaths are unvaccinated.

2/5 ImageImageImageImage
Irritatingly, the age categories for vaccination coverage and death rates do not align except for 50-64yrs. But we can run the same calculation using their numbers.

≈84% of 50-64yr COVID deaths are unvaccinated

≈16% are in vaccinated.

3/5 ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets

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