(Bad) News. The assessment period for April price cap starts today. Unless chancellor intervenes thats the default.
It's early days but the new prediction from @CornwallInsight is UP 49.5% on current rate taking a typical bill for illustration to £3,739/yr (current £2,500)
Cont
It has also this time predicted new rates
So it says elec standing charge at 37p a day (currently 46p), unit rate a hideous 58p/kWh (34p now). So there's standing charge reduction but unit rate up.
Gas standing charge 31p (28p now), unit rate 15p/kWh (10p now)
Cont
If Chancellor does extend the price guarantee in the #AutumnStatement (which in plain speak means state subsidises the rate) but at 25% more than currently. This means state would typically be funding avg £700/yr per house at this rate (tho price cap would change again in July)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Wow I'm nearing 2m followers. So to say THANK YOU & promote small charities, I'll again donate
-£500 to charity picked by my 2000000th follower
-£500 to charity of randomly picked existing follower who replies
So pls reply with a charity, noting if ur new or already follow (1/2)
(2/2) Mini t&cs
-Charity must have a UK charity number
-Its hard to exactly spot follower 2m. I'll do m'best but my pick (even if inaccurate) is final.
-If 2millionth doesn't name charity, I'll pick nearest who does.
-'Randomly picked' means Ill scroll thru eyes closed & point
Amazing to see so many great charities mentioned. And also to see those charities responding to people - hope its a positive way to connect the two when the third sector is really struggling at the moment.
NEWS: The projected new energy price cap, that will start in April when the price guarantee ends, will be:
UP 73% taking a bill for typical use (use more pay more use less pay less) from £2,500/yr to £4,350
The cap will then be DOWN 15% in July to £3,700/yr typical use.
cont/d
Then it is predicted to stabilise around that level.
However these are very early day predictions (thanks to @CornwallInsight for getting them to us so quickly), we are not even in the April cap assessment period (17/11 to 17/2) yet, so could change a lot
cont/d
If these are in the right ballpark, the promised 'targeted help' will need to be targeted up into middle incomes for people to get through this. Especially if it stays at those levels for the next winter.
Its arguable the entire economic problems Liz Truss has, stems back to her energy bill policy. Let me explain, in 5 points
1. During the zombie govt, due to leadership contest, even though it was blindingly obvious energy intervention was needed, no plans were made or promised
2. Yet campaign pledges on tax cuts were made at that point, possibly without factoring in the cost of the coming unavoidable energy intervention.
3. Liz Truss at the time also strongly poo-pooed handouts to differentiate from Rishi Sunak scheme
4. When they hit govt and it became blindingly obvious that intervention was needed. They needed to do it at breakneck speed, with urgent meets with the energy firms.
The only route without it being called 'a handout' was a universal reduction - the most expensive intervention
Ps of course they'd never get the mortgage in the first place
Thanks @hmtreasury for agreeing to delete. It says “While the figures were statistically accurate, we recognise assumptions were made about the typical 1st time buyer profile which weren't reflected. We take responsible messaging v seriously, which is why we've deleted the tweet"
CONFIRMED: From @beisgovuk (attached) that as I said before those on fixed tariffs will see a reduction of 17p/Kwh for elec 4.2p for gas.
1) If their rate is higher than price guarantee 2) But it'll only drop at most to the level of the price guarantee
contd
So to be clear
- Cheap fix: (eg, 2yr fix from before crisis started). If you'll pay less than the new price guarantee, there's no reduction.
- Mid-level fix: (eg, fixed 3-9mths ago at a premium). If fix is higher than new price guarantee, it reduces to the same level as it.
cont
- High-rate fix: (eg, fixed very recently at high rate to forestall predicted future huge hikes).
Your fixed rate will reduce substantially but a few of these may still be costlier than the price guarantee. For help if that's you see my point 6 here... moneysavingexpert.com/latesttip/
(1/3) IMPORTANT NEWS FOR THOSE ON ENERGY FIXES
All fixes that are more expensive than the new price guarantee rate will see an automatic reduction in Oct (but they will at most only reduce to the level of the new guarantee)
So for now DO NOTHING...
(2/3) In the energy summit I had today BG, Shell, Eon, EDF, Ovo (SSE), Octopus CEOs agreed to my ask that the few (maybe 1%) whose fixes still cost over the price guarantee after that, CAN move onto the guarantee with no exit penalties, til at least 15 Nov (some beyond)
CONTD
(3/3). Yet firms DONT have full info from govt yet, so don't waste time calling them now (and 99% of fixers needn't do anything anyway).