The verdict in the #MH17 case is being pronounced, and the court is already making a clear case that the armed invasion in 2014 was controlled by the Kremlin, and thus responsible for the shoot-down. Very likely thus today's verdicts will not be the last, or most important ones.
"The court has ascertained that the Russian Federation coordinated military actions in the DPR, finanzed and provided weapons to the militants, but also undertook military actions on its own. Russia was in full control of the DPR"
The court is now leading up to the verdict, and is addressing the defense arguments. The court did criticize the prosecution over its overly public behavior but concludes this did not affect the court's ability to issue a fair verdict.
The court deems it incontrovertibly proven that MH17 was shot down by a BUK missile launched from the field near Pervomayskoe. This is amply proven by photographs of the inversion trail, corroborating evidence and intercepted phone calls, and bowtie shaped fragments in crew body.
The contrary evidence provided by Almaz Antey - the (current) BUK manufacturer - is thrown out because of "forgeries and manipulations" in their expertise and the fact that they are owned by the state that is being investigated.
For a good play-by-play coverage of the MH17 court verdict, you can follow this thematic list by @EliotHiggins
twitter.com/i/lists/123694…
The court says there cannot be found any reasonable doubt that the plane wwe destroyed by a Russia-launched BUK. It's inconceivable that such a vast multitude of mutually corroborating evidence could have been forged, so fast, and with zero evidence of manipulation.
The court is going through the personal role of each of the defendants. Pulatov had an explicit and cognizant coordinating role. Girkin was in military control and requested Moscow case. The file did not establish who gave the firing order, but this is irrelevant for culpability.
Defendants do not enjoy combatant immunity, so their planvans actions to shoot down an airplane, even if they mistakenly thought it was military, would be a crime in any event.
Girkin [was the only defendant who] didn't talk about the deployment of the BUK by phone. However as highest military leader in DPR and his role in the removal of the BUK prove he was aware of use of military means that had shot down many helicopters and planes and didn't stop it
So far Girkin, Dubinsky and Kharchenko have been named guilty as active perpetrators. Now the court is discussing Pulatov - the only represented defendant.
The court does not find enough evidence that Pulatov took active and crucial role in the chain of command for the launch. The court also doesn't find him a functional perpetrator. "He could not have changed anything"
(This means no appeal possible by anyone due to lack of legitimate interest)

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More from @christogrozev

Nov 5
Today it's GRU day in Russia. My personal wishes on this important day to Chepiga, Mishkin and their 100s of colleagues whose personal, and often intimate, details we now know better than their spouses do. С праздником!
.@Dobrokhotov, after 6 years of joint investigations into GRU operations, what are your 3 most memorable moments?
For me, one of the most memorable moments was when we got access to the leaked #Runtastic data of Gordienko - a trained GRU assassin. The data had his pulse history on a per minute basis - and we found his pulse spike on the day we outed him - and he had to flee from Switzerland.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 1
A micro-thread on a whole new level of Kremlin route of disinfo laundering & manipulation.
1. UK media publish story that Liz Truss's phone was hacked. The hack was apparently discovered "during the summer", and was hushed by PM Boris Johnson bbc.in/3zsFqzL .
2. All-round conspiracy boy @KimDotcom posts either a sarcastic or purposely misleading tweet saying Truss sent message to Blinken saying "it's done" a minute after Nord Stream pipeline blew up, and that's how Russia found out.
Obviously this is not possible, given that the hack was discovered during Johnson's rule (i.e. by early July), and the explosions took place in later September. (Plus, the whole idea of only @KimDotcom knowing is wacky). However, this is no obstacle for the Kremlin
Read 5 tweets
Oct 30
A short 🧵 on how Russian intelligence launders fake news by using helpful EU "media".
A leading headline in Russian state media today is that "Poland plans to capture Western Ukraine and hold a referendum". The cited source is "the Belgian portal Modern Democracy".
Indeed, three days ago the Greek-owned portal "Modern Democracy" published an article with verbatim the same allegations. moderndiplomacy.eu/2022/10/27/pol….
The site ModernDemocracy.eu indeed exists, it's not flagged as a fake news site, it's editor in chief has a thriving LinkedIn profile and we even share 6 contacts, one of whom has endorsed him.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 28
Watching Nothing New on the Western Front while arguing in telegram with Russian soldiers in Ukraine about the inevitability of their demise. "don't bury us yet, this may be the demise or Britain instead. We can be in London soon".. and then this scene comes up.
"At least we do not live boring lives" as the last line of defense for this war.
Ещё жду ответа.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 28
Breaking: Norwegian authorities named the real identity of the fake "Brazilian researcher": his name is Mikhail Mikhushin, born 1978. This announcement is in line with what we, together with our investigative partners, had already discovered, and I will add some more details:
As a reminder, his cover identity was José Assis Giammaria (born 1984). It was clear that that was a fake identity, as we found that he first appeared on the horizon with that ID in 2006, when he applied for Brazilian passport and social security number claiming a BR mother.
(Mind you, 2006 is the year that at least three other GRU illegals - one of whom Maria Adela Kuhlfeld, or Olga Kolobova - obtained or tried to obtain South-American citizenship. The Peruvians caught "Kuhfeld"'s application and stopped the process, Brazil apparently was more lax).
Read 21 tweets
Oct 25
Wow. Norway arrested a "Brazilian" university researcher at University of Tromso, who studied "hybrid threats". The catch? He's a Russian spy, not a Brazilian professor. More to come soon.
vg.no/nyheter/innenr…
The researcher apparently graduated from the Center for Military Studies in Calgary. Also, implausibly, he worked on a hybrid-threats university project called "The Grey Zone" facebook.com/CMSS.Calgary/p…
So the latest crazy twist to the fake-Brazilian spy story is that he attended a hybrid threats working symposium in Vilnius sponsored by the EU, where one of the simulation topics was "what to do if Nord Stream pipelines are sabotaged". Image
Read 4 tweets

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