However, despite immense strides being taken by AMM's like @Uniswap, @SushiSwap, and @CurveFinance the majority of SPOT volume is still done on Centralised venues
(16.72% on DEX vs. CEX)
And despite all the success of @GMX_IO , @dYdX and @GainsNetwork_io , almost all the FUTURES volume is done on centralized venues.
that's <2% of the overall futures volume being done on decentralized exchanges.
also within CEX-land, Binance is hoovering up the volume in the fallout from FTX, that's not good from a competition perspective..
So, the question remains, how do we create a paradigm shift in transitioning CEX volume to being on-chain?
well, the guys at $DEUS (v3) are convinced that the key to this success will be to work directly with brokers and build scalable p2p architecture
See the current model of @GMX_IO is such that a liquidity provider puts ETH, BTC, or a stablecoin into a smart contract and then traders borrows from that pool to access leveraged trading with the benefit of of oracle pricing (zero slippage).
but this raises issues for liquidity providers, especially in highly volatile markets. It also opens @GMX_IO and other forks open for price manipulation which means that the short-term fix is to limit open interest and thus scalability..
$DEUS invites anyone to build upon their infrastructure to facilitate bilateral OTC trades between a user and a counterparty. This is EXACTLY how TradFi markets can scale - the risk is isolated per transaction and risk can be optimised or transferred.
The first guys building the front-end for this RFQ style model is @dsynths , which will be deployed on #Arbitrum. Hanging out in the discord it's clear that testnet is likely live v. soon
but see that long YouTube video above, that's where the real alpha drops are:
1hr:28min in : "That counterparty, that broker ... they want to do a whitelabel with their name on it"
"they will disclose themselves...wait until that happens"
in Q&A the following were addressed:
i.e. they already have a network of brokers who can provide real liquidity on over 4000 assets across equities, fx, precious metals, crypto etc. The market makers in question love the idea that spreads are MUCH THICKER than in TradFi
I've spoken to the team about $DEUS utility and it's something they have fully covered in anticipation of the Arbitrum launch. Also note the low max supply.
as a Founder myself, I have huge respect for teams that work through a crisis and come back stronger. Yes, these guys had issues with their $DEI stablecoin, and they have gone back to the drawing board to allow trading with USDC as collateral (on Arbitrum). Pivot or Persevere.
it'll be a long climb back to their previous high this year of above $1000, but at $110 or so, and a MC of $14mm I see room for upside when looking at the likes of $SNX. They deeply understand the ISDA based OTC markets and the team has TradFi experts and some great engineers.
here are some screenshots from our internal chat, we've been buying in $10k clips and will continue to do so. Yes it's on Fantom, but liquidity is also likely to migrate over time.
The narrative of on-chain trading volumes will only heat up in the coming years. Clearly the trend is up, with the token up $35 pre-FTX / now over $100 post FTX. I see them winning volume on other asset classes include commodities and FX as crypto dries up a bit.
Here's a statistical approach for thinking about pair trading ✍️
This framework might help you no matter what your strategy is.
Let's take a deeper look at $ARB / $LDO, and how you might profit from this...
There are 2 ways of pair trading:
1) Narrative based 2) Statistical Arbitrage
Most trades on Pear Protocol are narrative trades i.e. you build a story why Asset A will outperform Asset B (in any market condition) and enter a long/short pos.
Here we'll focus on 2) Stat-Arb
Q1 - "Is there a statistical relationship between these two assets?"
Usually we jump to correlation for this (see below image lol).
More important than correlation, is this relationship between $ARB and $LDO constant over time? AND does it mean revert when it deviates away?
1. If you, as a retail buyer want to buy $IBTC (the iShares spot bitcoin ETF), then you'd go to your broker/online platform and swap your $ for shares in the ETF. The broker would go and buy the shares on the exchange (Nasdaq) on your behalf. Easy.
2. This is what we call the 'secondary' market. The shares already exist, and you can buy them at the market price. But what if there are no ETF shares available in the secondary market?
People don't really understand what Blackrock is, or what they do.
So let's go inside...
But first a little about their founder and CEO Larry Fink, since it will be important later
Larry joined Wall St in 1976. He was smart and made money. He pioneered the idea of debt securitization (packaging up different loans as bonds). He then ran the trading desk for those Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Yes, those bonds that led to the 2008 GFC 🤯