I’ll be joining @AlisynCamerota at 10 @CNNTonight to discuss my @TheAtlantic column. Mass shootings have changed since we adopted “run, hide, fight”: they are more frequent and time (with high capacity guns) is not a luxury. Thoughts on reactions to it: 1/ theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
I’m only saying what many people in my field have been thinking. As I wrote, I hate it. I do. I tend to take the world as it is and simply write of how things can be “less bad.” But in the universal praise of the actions of those heroes in #QClub lies an understanding 2/
there are circumstances when running and hiding are not options. The article has enough examples when the killer stopped because the fight was taken to him. We would all want those heroes in the next crowded bar, even if we aren’t built to be one of them. 3/
That I write that our training and protocols and mottos no longer might reflect the reality on the ground isn’t acceptance of that reality. It is only a reflection of it. I hate it. I haven’t been shy about the gun madness in our country. 4/
But I’ve become a rising star of the pro gun folks and there isn’t much I can do to stop that. I have found limited examples of a good guy with a gun (Indiana mall) being the hero. Indeed, if more guns made us safer, we’d be the safest country on earth. We are not. 5/
Maybe gun advocates might follow my lead and look around and be honest about their long held beliefs about the world and think about responsible gun ownership given mass shootings are so common. Perhaps they should. 6/
And perhaps they might also recognize that violence is a wholly predictable result of the hate that is nurtured and not shamed.
Anyway @cnn will likely have a panel after I’m off air about the hate, guns and heroes. It is worth staying. All subject to other news breaking before then. 7/7
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Less Bad is Good thread on election.
In a crisis, a standard of success is often that things are "less bad" than they might otherwise have been. Violent ideologies do not die, they just lose over and over. A "less bad" trajectory won last night. The temperature is cooler.
1/
Political violence was always more complicated than the extreme takes of denial or civil war. There was always good and bad in the metrics about Trump. Last night was a less bad result, and therefore good. Trump was denied a win. @TheAtlantic 2/
Terror grows -- it recruits and raises funds and plans -- with an aura of invulnerability and wins. An opposite result last night would have helped the violence. The violence is real but it is manageable. It doesn't go away in a moment or election, but it can stop growing. 3/
Some thoughts on political violence and this election. Some baseline truths: First, allegations, without evidence, of "election fraud" aren't politics. They are a form of incitement. Analysis that continues to wonder why Biden didn't fix this for GOP continue to confound me. 1/
Second, the record about violence is mixed. The attack on Paul Pelosi is a pivotal moment in that it shows extremists will continue to try to kill in the name of some fraud nurtured by Trump and his apologizers, but there are signs of other counter currents. 2/
One way to look at it is that it is clear the incitement is deeper, more fearless, but it is less clear that formalized groups are joining anti-democratic violent efforts. Those who would act are not "lone wolves," they are part of a pact, but this isn't a civil war. 3/
This is a tragedy, and reporting from @cnn and @washingtonpost shows: 1)there was considerable notice and social media postings of serious issues with crowd flow and 2)every disaster m'ment plan has family reunification/notification as key priority and thats still not in place.1/
Based on mega-event planning, I'm stunned by what is coming out. Early hours, but moving crowds to avoid crushing, especially with notice and outdoors, is known and practiced. Listen to this convo with crowd control expert Paul Wertheimer. 2/
Family unification is, without question, a key part of any event planning, obviously. "Where is my child" turns out to be a universal sentiment after a crisis and public officials have an obligation to get this right. There is nothing new about this. 3/
THREAD ON AMERICAN BEACH, EST. 1935: I went on a run to explore. I found "American Beach." As many may know, it was established in 1935 by African-Americans and became known as “The Negro Ocean Playground”…a place for “recreation and relaxation without humiliation”. 1/
Blacks were prohibited from ownership on Florida's mainland and so came to Amelia Island, FL. It was a lively enclave -- Duke Ellington came here -- and its memory persists. American Beach was about race, and it was about ownership and dignity and the ability to protect both. 2/
American Beach was the defiant brainchild of Abraham Lincoln Lewis, who in 1901 had founded Jacksonville Insurance, Florida’s Afro-American Life Insurance Company. Insurance was everything. It was about value. 3/
Most #HurricanIan deaths were completely avoidable. How do I know? A basic fact: Ian’s death toll REVERSED a trend in US that had minimized most hurricane drowning deaths. Most “hurricane” related deaths were no longer from drowning. Until Ian. 1/
We have gotten pretty sophisticated in hurricane prep and response that many hurricane related deaths tended to occur after the storm from things like carbon monoxide, car accidents, denied medical services, etc. Response planning has pivoted to address these new concerns. 2/
Some background here about dying “in” vs “because of” a hurricane. I do appreciate some peoples criticisms about the term “stupid deaths.” The Haitians coined it based on their lived experience, not yours. 3/
THREAD ON IAN’S DEAD: Of the 119 deaths so far due to #HurricaneIan, most died during the hurricane and most were elderly. Others died due to car accidents or putting up tarp, incidental deaths that would not have happened but for Ian. And then there was this jarring line: 1/
I write about understanding how people die. It isn’t good enough to simply give a number. How this person as compared to that person perished is relevant to understanding what we might do to prevent it in the future. From @TheAtlantic 2/
And here is a book interview for THE DEVIL NEVER SLEEPS with @williams_paige for @NewYorker about what is commonly called “stupid deaths,” a term coined by the Haitians to describe those deaths that could be avoided. How people die matters. 3/