The amount of shelling locations reported by the UA general staff was higher than usual today. We can see the hot spots are Svatove, Bakhmut and Donetsk.
Weather by @davidhelms570
The night temperatures are crawling down towards 0 in the northern AO with little rain for the coming week. A bit warmer in the south, possibly 12 degrees daytime tomorrow.
Kupyansk
GSUA reported a shelling around Vil'shana, I expanded AFU forward line slightly. Fighting going on in the contested areas, no indications of significant change on this section.
Bakhmut
RU attacks are intensifying here, even if the AFU repulse the attacks, the Russians keep coming WW2 style. RU have had partial success both north and south of Bakhmut. By that I mean they managed to take a few observation posts.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Yakovlivka, Bakhmut, Optyne, Klishchiivka, Andriivka and Ozarianivka
I posted this yesterday regarding the attacks in Bakhmut:
"There are 12 incoming in Svatove, 10 ruptured, 2 seem to be missing. In the area of the meat processing plant, in the area of the oil depot. In the area of the depot where the benches near the fountain did not burst. Just called mine." -- Local telegram chat
Kremlin slaves at the gas stations on the Bakhmut approach.
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992