Nick Radical Profile picture
Nov 25 5 tweets 5 min read
@ArchiteuthisDx @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi The big question, which applies to $RDI as well. But the people involved aren't getting younger. I feel comfortable with the horizons today, whereas more like five years ago, I would not have been interested.
@ArchiteuthisDx @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi I was noting to another friend that I view $BX as an analog, especially to $VNO today; I remember studying the former when it was selling for $5 in 2009. I did not buy; possibly my biggest mistake of omission.
@ArchiteuthisDx @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi But the point I made to him was that $BX was never a great *trade*, especially before 2021. Yet, it was a sensational *investment* from 2009 until today, with monstrous dividends for most of the way.
@ArchiteuthisDx @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi That is how I view the real estate portfolio; it will never look like a great trade or YOLO. But how will it perform over ten to fifteen years?
@ArchiteuthisDx @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi Perhaps this never goes away, but the biggest mistake that I see in investing is everybody being deeply concerned about the next one year, with total silence regarding the next ten. With real estate, we #neversell.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Nick Radical

Nick Radical Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @NICKRADICAL4

Nov 28
@benbakhshi @HotRockCapital In reflecting on the past two decades or more of investing, a phenomenon—or bifurcation—that I see might be considered as (1) "backbone compounding" and (2) seeking optionality.
@benbakhshi @HotRockCapital Meaning that nearly everybody will not outperform—over very long periods—a classic Buffett-style "moat" business, especially with dividends reinvested.
@benbakhshi @HotRockCapital One close friend bought a bunch of stocks in the early '00s, but he didn't care about stocks, and literally forgot about his portfolio. Single best financial move he ever made! He woke up in the late 2010s and texted me, "dude, I've still got $MSFT, $BRK," etc.!
Read 16 tweets
Nov 27
@chartin9s We're running with that torch! Today, the $LUK empire would be in coal, offshore, and a copper royalty deal that is coming.

In drilling, Leucadia owned a company called "Goober"—no joke—that was renamed Keen Energy Services and sold for $140 million:

ewingjones.com/files/Press%20…
@chartin9s $FMG was a Leucadia blowout because the deal included a royalty. Further, Inmet Mining's (today $FM:TSE) Cobre Las Cruces deal was another low-profile homerun:
fasken.com/en/solution/cl…
@chartin9s Amazingly, there is a target today that combines all of that into one structure: an iron ore and copper royalty play. It iterates those past deals...
Read 4 tweets
Nov 26
@benbakhshi @AlanLevinson10 Recession may hit certain industries and locations far harder than others. For example, NYC suburbs got crushed in '08-'09, but less so Palo Alto. Today, raw materials industries may be much less impacted than tech, housing, etc.
@benbakhshi @AlanLevinson10 Also, I feel that—as abstract as this sounds—inflation distributes liquidity better through the economy than was the case during '11-'12 disinflation.
@benbakhshi @AlanLevinson10 For example, a decade ago it felt that there was no cash in Rust Belt locations, while QE was swelling financial centers with liquidity. This warped the economy...
Read 12 tweets
Nov 25
@alsynergy2020 @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi A highly successful developer from my area; once when asked if he would sell any of his real estate, his response was: "Sell our real estate? We don't sell real estate. We buy real estate."
legacy.com/us/obituaries/…
@alsynergy2020 @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi He provides a template for real-assets investing: from shoe manufacturing to cleaning clothes, into wealth denomination in land and horses! There was an era—namely the 1940s to 1970s—when that sort of thing is what defined wealth. It is forgotten...
@alsynergy2020 @ShaiDardashti @silverbull0 @benbakhshi Or the classic:

“They used to ask him: ‘Mr. Isaac, how do you measure in times of high inflation how you are doing this year?’ and he said: ‘If I have one more apartment, one more hectare of farm, one more cow.’ He measured real assets.”

— Eduardo Elsztain (on his grandfather)
Read 5 tweets
Nov 24
@benbakhshi Some of the lowest prices per square foot are available today in stocks on a look-through basis. I believe that our cost basis for $DAFL (DuArt) is around $8 per square foot in Midtown Manhattan. Today the building is being marketed by JLL at $50 per square foot.
@benbakhshi As you know, we pursue this exact core competency as well; below is excerpted from Steve Roth's 2004 $VNO annual report:
@benbakhshi Below is our winning team today, where we ride with Roth, and actually have done better than him with yield in both $SRG and $CPPTL, the former Sears and Penney:
Read 8 tweets
Nov 22
@bbollied What would the startup holdings—Agrofy and fyo—be valued at if they were in the United States?
@bbollied Here is an analysis from 2021, which itemizes assets, seeks to isolate high values, and still holds today:

grahamianvalue.substack.com/p/grahamian-va…
@bbollied $CRESY $CRESW is the "Western Insurance Securities" of real assets:

hurricanecapital.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/the-se…
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(