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Nov 25 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Update🧵November 25th

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Shelling locations reported by the UA general staff. RuAF continue to indiscriminately shell both civilian and military targets.
Weather
Continued war in the south with rain for the next few days.
The weather in the northern part seems to be dropping below freezing in the coming days. This might have an affect on both morale and the operational conditions.
Svatove
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Stel'makhivka and Dibrova. Wargonzo have previously reported AFU advances in the forest south of Kreminna, the statement today by GSUA seems to indicate continued AFU presence in the area of Dibrova-Kreminna.
I think the area south of Dibrova and Kremmina might be tricky to advance in, the AFU would get squezed between RU held high ground south of the SD river and the two towns.
Bakhmut
The Ukrainian general staff reports continued offensives in the Bakhmut area.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Bilohorivka, Yakovlivka, Bakhmuts'ke, Bakhmut and Optyne.
Donetsk
Same story as usual. The local inbreds attacked in the area of Pervomais'ke, Mar'inka, Krasnohorivka and Novomykhailivka. RuAF are accumulating units for an attack in this area.
According to this post by @RALee85 RU 155th Naval Infantry Brigade had a 1:1 KIA:WIA ratio, which is terrible. The ratio is usually 1:3 or 1:4. This indicates inadequate medical training and equipment in the RuAF.
Based on recent videos of RU soldiers being apathic while being bombed by drones and the bad state of their medical training/equipment I suspect this winter will kill about the same of Russian soldiers amount as the Ukrainians will.
I'm not going to report about Kherson region unless there is some significant change or something relevant is happening there.
My opinion about Kinburn is that it's mostly artillery battles and that there might possibly have been a SOF raid at some point. I think the OC south wording is intentionally vague.

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More from @DefMon3

Nov 27
🧵A dive in to the importance of Luhansk as a logistics hub for the Russians.

I will provide some though on why Luhansk city is a key location for the Russian logistics apparatus with the help of some very high resolution satellite images and a few maps. Image
Luhansk is located roughly at the mid point of the active frontline, just out of HIMARS range. Technically it's just in range, but it would require the AFU to shoot from an active combat zone, and that would be too risky. Image
This is Yuvileine, on the outskirts of Luhansk. About half of the town consists of an industrial area with a large coal mine. This area functions as a logistics hub for the Russian Armed Forces.

The red dots illustrate vehicles. The numbered orange areas are image locations. Image
Read 24 tweets
Nov 27
Nope, still 100% incorrect prediction rate. @georgian_legion do you want to tell him? Image
@georgian_legion I have found rocks on the ground smarter than this guy. Image
Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 26
Orc life part 1
Orc Casevac in Mayrosk, Donetsk
This might explain why they have a 1:1 WIA:KIA ratio
Location: 48.39767, 37.96694
Source: t.me/ukwarzone/9531
Orc life part 2
Checking on sleeping friends.
Proof for part 1
48.39767, 37.96694
@GeoConfirmed Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 26
Update🧵November 25th

This thread is presented by a Russian rank 7 Smoke wizard.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
Shelling locations reported by the UA general staff today. Check out @ragnarbjartur for more data a bit later. Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 26
Russian forces continue to build defensive lines around Svatove. I have been able to identify over 50km of defensive lines north and south of Svatove and they are still expanding it. ImageImageImageImage
I mapped these trenches using Sentinel 1 SAR to give an overview of where they are being built. Image
I used these SAR images from November 23rd and compared with older SAR images to see changes in the area.
Here is a link to EO Browser with the relevant area:
apps.sentinel-hub.com/eo-browser/?zo… ImageImage
Read 14 tweets
Nov 24
Update🧵November 24th

This thread is presented by Santarov.
(video message included further down)

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The amount of shelling locations reported by the UA general staff was higher than usual today. We can see the hot spots are Svatove, Bakhmut and Donetsk.
Read 13 tweets

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