Paras Chopra Profile picture
Nov 27 10 tweets 2 min read
My hunches about what GPT-4 will be capable of 🧵
1/ It will likely combine language models and code models into one model.

OpenAI has both - codex and davinci - so it makes sense to combine them.
2/ What this means is nothing less than earth shattering.

It will mean that now GPT4 will be capable of getting answers it needs by generating code and executing it.

So, things like “find me the cheapest smartphone with 16 mega pixel camera” will get accurate results.
3/ Almost all of the last 30 years of economic growth has come from digital means.

Now imagine an AI model capable of writing apps that solve a specific person’s request.

That’s the future we’re headed to.
4/ The next thing it’ll have is memory.

Right now, GPT3 is stateless. It doesn’t remember anything.

GPT4 will be a capable of storing information about what you said and then reusing it later.
5/ This will enable all sorts of applications.

It will be able to ask for clarifications, remember your preferences and adapt its responses according to what you like and what you don’t.
6/ GPT4 will likely be multi modal - which means, it’ll input and output text, audio, images or even videos.

It’s interesting because now these models have multiple ways of learning the physics of our universe, so expect common sense to go up radically.
7/ Lastly, I suspect a network of these models to interconnect.

A high level planner is inevitable.

Which means GPT4 might be able to plan how to query and chain different versions of itself.

E.g take input from A, feed it into B, and then process it via C.
8/ That’s about all my guesses.

GPT4 might be as big a leap from GPT3 as GPT3 was from GPT2.

It’s likely to drop by the first quarter of the next year.
9/ What do you suspect / wish GPT4 to be capable of?

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More from @paraschopra

Nov 25
How has your self-identity shifted over the last 2 years?
My shifts:

Slob -> Someone whose core identity is a fit person.

Intellectual highs -> intellectual highs while reducing suffering in the world.

Nihilism -> Life is an adventure.
Taking a pause for reflection, the most beautiful thing about life is the capacity for transformation towards whatever you set your eyes on.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 22
Safety is more important for people than growth because with growth comes risk, and we're evolved to avoid risk.
Not seeking adventures was actually a rational strategy when the risks were life-threatening.

You could really be eaten by a tiger or killed by the heatwave if you ventured to find that oasis.
But today such risks don't exist, yet the risk-avoidance programming persists.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 21
Stop assuming that your customers want things that you want.

a 🧵 Image
1/ Mind projection fallacy happens when we assume that most other people are like us.

It’s an error to assume that they have similar desires and fears towards things as we do.
2/ Normally, this is not such a big issue.

The worst that can happen in most cases is perhaps an exchange of incredulous looks (for example, when a cricket fan encounters a non-cricket who doesn’t know who Sachin Tendulkar is).
Read 14 tweets
Nov 21
🎉🎉 Announcing the 7 winners for the September '22 edition of Escape Velocity grants!

All young kids (<25 years) for whom Rs 50,000 can change the life trajectory.
We're running a bit behind, but October winners to be also announced soon.

If you want to apply for the grants, or know anyone who would like to do so, here's the application form:

invertedpassion.com/escape-velocit…
Remember: these are no-strings-attached grants, as we believe people know how to best allocate money for their progress.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 20
Perhaps the most important meta-lesson for self-growth is that there’s a world of a difference between good and bad teachers.

So many people abandon growth because their teachers don’t know how to teach.
If you’re not making progress in an area you’re motivated in, it’s probably that you ended up with a mediocre teacher.

Try changing the teacher before your love for the domain dies.
TLDR: given the amount of time you’ll end up investing in learning, it is a no-brainer to invest upfront to find the best teacher/coach/trainer that you can.

Just starting with anyone who you can find available is almost guaranteed to be suboptimal.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 5
Made a bot to chat with and I think it might be just slightly racist.
DM me if you want to chat with it (on Telegram).

It’s unpredictable, so no guarantees. But it’s fun :)
It definitely has a sense of humour.

(My replies are blue)
Read 4 tweets

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