Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 26
Rutte for ARTE: Russia is the next threat and EU is already in danger

Russia spends around 40% of state budget on defense and about 10% of national income on military. It has developed missiles capable of reaching the EU within 5–10 minutes

There is no “safe” Europe anymore 1/
Rutte: Peace is hard to predict because Russia is unpredictable

Security guarantees must ensure that after any peace deal or long-term ceasefire, Ukraine stays strong and Russia cannot attack again

If Russia gains control over Ukraine even 5% defense spending won’t be enough 2/
Rutte on Ukraine’s defense: First, strong Ukrainian armed forces. Second, an EU-led coalition of the willing.

NATO is already deeply involved. We coordinate weapons deliveries, training and lessons learned from the war through NATO–Ukraine structures and coordination hubs. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 25
Trump should call Putin’s bluff now. Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Henriques write in TIME arguing that Trump is overestimating Putin - his ability to wage war, his economic stability, and the “cards he holds.” 1/ Image
Henry Kissinger once wrote: “A bluff taken seriously is more useful than a serious threat interpreted as a bluff.” This insight fits Russia today. Putin projects strength, but the fundamentals behind that image are eroding fast. 2/
Trump’s reaction to the Ukraine peace proposal revealed how deep the deadlock remains. Territorial concessions, control of Donbas, security guarantees, and limits on Ukraine’s army still block any realistic path to peace. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 25
“I helped. I set up the position, dug, handed ammunition. I wanted to live.

Russians wouldn’t sort out who’s theirs and who’s not. There’s an order not to take prisoners” — Danylo, Russian POW, who stayed in Ukrainian trench for almost two months. 1/
Danylo: I was captured while moving to a position. My partner was with me. He ran for cover. While he was running, two bursts of automatic fire went off. My partner was dead.

Then one of Ukrainian soldiers ran out. I raised my hands, threw away my rifle and surrendered. 2/
Danylo: I served as an anti-tank unit commander and received two awards for a deployment to Karabakh.

Then I struck an officer, and was sent to Novocherkassk — a criminal case was opened. The case was dropped, and I was sent to Donetsk. From there I was sent to the Rusyn Yar. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 24
A Russian defence factory boss set himself on fire on Red Square

After the invasion the state flooded him with orders. Deadlines impossible, output jumped in ten times — Reuters

Officials quoted Stalin: fail and you’re a criminal. That’s how Russia forces “production growth” 1/ Image
Vladimir Arsenyev ran a small Moscow firm making electronics for tank crew communications.

Before the war: about 5,000 units a year

After the invasion: contracts for over 50,000

This is how Russian war economy works: refusal banned, failure criminalised. Contract is a trap. 2/
By 2023 the factory was behind schedule.

A shareholder reported the firm to Rostec, not to sabotage it, but to protect himself.

Bailiffs arrived and found nothing to seize. The company was sliding toward bankruptcy but still had to complete the contract — or face prison. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 23
John Bolton: The West is losing Ukraine without losing a single battle.

EU paralysis and Trump’s diplomacy are shifting the war in Moscow’s favor — without Russia changing its goals. Ukrainian sovereignty and NATO unity are now at stake, he writes for WP. 1/ Image
EU summit failed to agree on using €210bn in frozen Russian state assets as collateral for a reparations loan to Ukraine.

Belgium, backed quietly by others, blocked the plan over legal and financial risks. 2/
Instead, the EU approved a €90bn loan—less than half the original proposal. Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic opted out.

The money covers short-term budget support, not Ukraine’s defense or reconstruction. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 23
“The best thing Russians can do against Russia’s dictatorship is to fight on Ukraine’s side,” says Pyotr Ruzavin, a Russian journalist who joined Ukraine’s military in 2024. — Suspilne 1/ Image
Ruzavin serves in Khartiia, a National Guard unit, working in UAV operations. He was wounded during service, recovered, and returned to his unit within a month. 2/
He has lived in Ukraine since 2017. Before the war, he worked for Russian independent outlets including Dozhd, Mediazona, and Important Stories. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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