Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 21
DW: Yana joined Ukrainian army last year. Nastia signed up in 2023.

“I’m already used to shelling. If something is flying, I know what to do. I’m not in such a panic. I can calm some guys sitting next to me, calm down, everything is fine, it will fly by.” 1/
DW: Women face many challenges in the army, even criticism about their appearance.

“Although we serve, we’re also women. We want to be well-groomed, beautiful. Why do they care? It’s upsetting that men who would never come here write this.” 2/
DW: Everybody makes a difference and women play an important role in Ukrainian military. There are around 70,000 women, about 8% of the armed forces, and around 5,000 on the front line. Support roles free up others to take on frontline roles. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 21
FT: Russia’s total losses estimated at 325,000 killed, with 30,000-35,000 soldiers killed or seriously wounded every month.

Russia’s army is advancing slower than during the Battle of the Somme, while suffering its heaviest losses in 4 years of full-scale war. 1/ Image
Russian offensives now move 15-70 meters per day on key axes. That pace is slower than most wars of the last 100 years and reflects sustained attrition. 2/
Ukraine’s Commander-in-chief Syrskyi: Russia recruits 35,000 men per month, but 90% of new recruits replace dead or wounded soldiers, not expand combat units.

Force size stagnates while losses mount. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 21
Kremlin is promising $12T worth of deals to Trump administration in return for sanctions relief.

Zelenskyy: “Russia has already promised these deals. One Washington insider says a package has already been agreed on” — The Economist. 1/ Image
Before Putin met Trump in August, a note was drafted for Russia's National Security Council explaining how to sell "the Greatest Deal" to Trump.

Since April, Dmitriev, who runs a Russian state fund, has met Witkoff at least 9 times. 2/
Russia is offering Arctic oil, rare-earth mines, nuclear data center, Bering tunnel.

Individuals close to Trump family have been in talks to acquire stakes in Russian energy assets. Putin offered to return $5B seized from ExxonMobil. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 21
Soldiers may lead a revolution in Russia after the war ends.

James Rogers for Times: When hundreds of thousands of russian soldiers go home, they may find no clear jobs and become a disruptive force.

We’ve seen the same: defeat to Japan in 1905, and revolution after WWI.
1/
Rogers: Putin still believes he’s winning.

The war was supposed to end in days. Russian soldiers carried dress uniforms, expecting a victory parade.

Now it’s hard for him to change course. The economy is on a war footing. If that engine stops, serious problems could hit.

2/
Rogers: There is will on both sides to end the war, but the deal breaks on territory.

Ukraine is asked to give up land defended at high cost. That won’t fly.

Putin annexed territories he doesn’t fully control — and still claims them as russia.”

3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 21
First deserter from Russian army applied for asylum in Britain.

Alisher Hassanov, Tajik-born, moved to Russia in 2020. Arrested February 2024 because work permit expired. Police gave him a choice sign contract to fight in Ukraine or go to prison — The Times. 1/ Image
Hassanov: "They worked on me psychologically. They said: "Sign a contract for one year. Everything will be fine.

If you don't sign, we'll make it so you're sent to prison, and from there they won't even ask you. They'll just send you straight to the front." 2/
Hassanov trained for 3 weeks in ruins of bombed-out village in Russian-occupied Ukraine.

First assault near Soledar: ordered to run 800m across clearing to storm Ukrainian lines. Pinned down by Ukrainian drone and mortar fire. 2 days later ordered to attack again. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 21
Simon Tisdall: "The US failure to defend Ukraine against Russia is the greatest and most consequential of recent American betrayals.

What really shocks is the sheer bad faith shown by a country that Europeans always counted a friend. Europe will remember" — The Guardian. 1/ Image
Tisdall: "Most Europeans now regard their foremost partner as unreliable, even a foe.

US global influence and leadership is fading fast, to China's huge advantage. Everywhere, autocrats rejoice, as do Europe's advancing far-right parties." 2/
Wolfgang Ischinger, Chair of MSC: "The question of how this war is going to end is actually an existential question for Europe.

It will determine — in more ways than one — the future of this continent." 3/
Read 8 tweets

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