Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
When Witkoff arrives in Moscow this week, he'll face a confident Putin who feels he's winning.
The Kremlin could play diplomat, accountant, or mischief-maker — but which version shows up may determine if peace talks succeed or fail, The Times. 1/
Putin claims every one of the original 28 peace plan points matters to Moscow, despite reports the US agreed to remove several.
This maximalist approach would humiliate Trump, who's been talking up deal prospects — but the Kremlin feels emboldened. 2/
Russia touts battlefield wins in Pokrovsk, ongoing strikes crippling Ukraine's power grid, and Zelenskyy's right-hand man Yermak resigning amid corruption scandal.
Plus, Trump's pro-Ukraine envoy Keith Kellogg steps down in January. Moscow sees momentum shifting its way. 3/
A Russian victory in Ukraine would cost Europe €1.6 trillion over four years — twice as much as supporting a Ukrainian victory, according to a new study.
The math is clear: helping Ukraine win is economically smarter — Kyiv Independent. 1/
Under a Russian partial victory scenario, Moscow would push to the Dnipro River and force Ukraine into a settlement on Kremlin terms.
Ukraine could lose half its territory, face democratic backsliding, and potentially collapse as a state. 2/
A Russian victory would trigger a mass refugee crisis: 6-11 million Ukrainians fleeing to Europe, generating €524-952B in refugee costs alone.
Europe would also need massive defense spending to reinforce NATO's eastern flank as Russia threatens the Baltics and Nordics. 3/
Handing the Donbas to Moscow means: eyes gouged out, electrocution, mock executions, dog attacks, months of forced standing, beatings for any movement.
The Moscow Times reports this, citing Memorial’s investigation into Russian crimes in occupied Ukraine. 1/
Russian troops gouged out a man’s eye because they found a blue-and-yellow Ukraina supermarket discount card in his wallet. They called it “Nazi evidence.”
Elsewhere, they executed three brothers because the eldest once served in ATO. 2/
Russian soldiers steal cars, beat civilians, demand imaginary weapons caches and force people to “confess” to ties with Right Sector. Victims often have no idea what the soldiers are talking about. 3/
Ukraine's former foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba warns — Trump's 28-point peace plan may be dead, but the real danger remains.
Putin is convinced time is on his side, and Washington does nothing to prove him wrong. Europe must act now — The Guardian. 1/
Putin answered Marco Rubio's claims of "substantial progress" in Geneva talks with a massive missile and drone barrage on Kyiv.
Seven killed, widespread destruction. This is the pattern: diplomatic optimism by day, brutal Russian strikes by night. 2/
Ukraine's defense against Russia's attacks depends almost entirely on US and European weapons: American F-16s intercept cruise missiles, Patriot systems shoot down ballistics, Browning machine guns target drones.
The Telegraph: The U.S. is poised to recognise Russia’s control over Crimea and parts of Donbas as part of Trump’s peace plan - a break with decades of U.S. policy that refused to legitimise land taken by force. 1/
Trump has sent envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner to Moscow with an offer to give de facto recognition of Crimea and the “people’s republics” in Donetsk and Luhansk, plus Russian-held areas of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia after a ceasefire. 2/
The original 28-point U.S. plan already offered recognition of Crimea and both Donbas “republics.” A revised 19-point version, negotiated in Geneva with Ukraine, is “less favourable” to Moscow, but multiple sources say the recognition offer is still on the table. 3/