Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Dec 4
Kelin, Russia Ambassador to UK, on peace: We stand for diplomatic solution, but we don’t want on our border a puppet state created by Western governments, adversarial to us, where the Russian language is discriminated and the Russian Orthodox Church has been ousted. 1/
Q: Most of the world would say you guys started this fight.

Kelin: That is not true. It is said by those who do not want to learn history. Things started in 2014 after the illegal turnover of the legal government in Kyiv by people based on Nazi ideology. 2/
Kelin: European countries do not work for peace. UK, France, Germany stand for continuation of fighting. The defense industry continues to work. It is beneficial for their economies, so they don't need to explain that their political mistake put their economy in a poor state. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 4
Brussels is attempting the biggest financial strike on Russia since 2022: a plan to leverage €210bn in frozen Russian state assets and turn them into a long-term Ukraine war loan - using emergency powers that bypass Hungary’s veto, the FT reports. 1/ Image
The European Commission wants a “reparations loan” backed by up to €210bn of immobilised Russian central bank assets.

The first tranche(€90bn) would fund Ukraine’s budget for 2026–27. Kyiv would repay only after Russia pays reparations. 2/
To make this possible, Brussels invokes Article 122, an emergency clause allowing action without unanimity.

The goal is to prevent Russia-friendly states like Hungary or Slovakia from killing sanctions that currently must be renewed every 6 months. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 3
Europe is rearming at a speed not seen in decades.

SAFE, the new €150bn EU defence fund, already filled: 19 states applied, Poland alone asks for €43.7bn, writes The Economist.

1/ Image
SAFE + the National Escape Clause open a massive spending channel.

NEC lets states add 1.5% of GDP to defence over four years, unlocking roughly €650bn.

This is the spine of “Readiness 2030”.

2/
NATO’s European members now commit to 3.5% of GDP for core defence by 2035, plus another 1.5% for infrastructure.

Why this jump?

Because America moves out.

The Pentagon’s Global Posture Review shifts forces to Asia and asks Europe to pay for all weapons sent to Ukraine.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 3
Alexander Stubb writes in FA the post-1945 order is collapsing. The world is shifting from rules to hard multipolar power.

Three blocs — West, East, South — now drive geopolitics. Middle powers like Brazil, India, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey decide outcomes.

1/ Image
He warns the West has 5–10 years to prove it can act without double standards, share real power and treat the global South as an equal partner. If it fails, the next order will run on deals, not rules and small states will get crushed.

2/
Stubb’s UN reform plan is:

- Add 5 permanent seats (2 Africa, 2 Asia, 1 Latin America)
- Abolish the veto
- Suspend any state that violates the UN Charter which would have suspended Russia after 24 Feb 2022.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 3
Germany spent decades preaching pacifism

Now it is buying tanks, building suicide drones, deploying troops abroad and committing €460 billion to rearmament

Isaac Stanley-Becker in The Atlantic shows how a nation built on “never again” is preparing for war again. 1/ Image
Lt. Gen. Freuding says the old U.S.-led order is “really cut off.”

During Trump’s freeze on Ukraine weapons, Germany received no warning. German officers now hunt for information through their embassy because their Pentagon contacts have gone silent. 2/
Berlin’s answer is the Zeitenwende — Germany’s declared “turning point.”

The government vows to build “the strongest army in Europe” and, for the first time since WWII, is permanently stationing 5,000 troops abroad — Panzerbrigade 45 in Lithuania by 2027. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Dec 3
Rutte: If it takes too long for Russia to compromise in the peace talks, we’ll keep the weapon flow to Ukraine going, thanks to the U.S., Europe, and Canada.

Sanctions are also biting Russia. Together, they will pressure Putin and change his calculus. 1/
Rutte: I'm glad the U.S. president broke the deadlock with Putin and started the peace process.

Last night's talks were important, but I won’t comment on every step. We’re closely coordinating with the U.S. More steps are to come. 2/
Q: Yesterday, Putin threatened Europe with war again. What is your message for him?

Rutte: I'm not going to react to every thing Putin is saying. We've seen him in military clothes, dressed like a soldier at the front, but not [actually] at the front. It was quite far from the front. 3/
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(