Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 17
French baker Loïc Nervi bakes bread in Troyeshchyna, Kherson, and Kramatorsk. Locals call him Vitalik.

Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, he has been baking bread for elderly people in frontline and hard-hit areas, writes Hromadske. 1/ Image
He is 43. In France’s Var region, he owns four bakeries and leads a team of 25 people. At home, his wife and two daughters, aged 7 and 9, wait for him. 2/
In March 2022, he went to the Polish-Ukrainian border. Then to Kherson, Sumy, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, Fastiv, and Kramatorsk. This is now his tenth mission to Ukraine. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 17
Ukraine recaptured 201 sq km in just five days last week — the fastest battlefield gains since June 2023.

Starlink shutdown crippled Russia's communications and drone operations across the front — The Guardian. 1/ Image
The ISW confirms Ukrainian counterattacks are "likely leveraging the recent block on Russian forces' access to Starlink, which milbloggers claim is causing communications and command and control issues on the battlefield." 2/
201 sq km recaptured in 5 days is almost equivalent to all Russian gains for the entire month of December. The Starlink shutdown is already reshaping the battlefield in Ukraine's favor. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
Innovation → test → analytics → scale.

This is how the battlefield evolves in Ukraine’s fifth year. This is how a war of endurance works now.

Michael Kofman writes in Foreign Affairs that the war has shifted from maneuver to positional, drone-saturated attrition in 2026. 1/ Image
In February 2022, Russia aimed to seize Kyiv in days. That failed. What began as a rapid assault has become Europe’s largest conventional war since WWII. Advances are now measured in meters. 2/
Since 2023, the war has turned positional. By 2024–2025 it became a contest of adaptation. Every 3–4 months, tactics change.

Drones, electronic warfare, and precision strike now define who holds initiative on the ground. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Feb 17
Former Ukraine PM Arseniy Yatsenyuk: The position of the American administration is to avoid involving the EU in negotiations with Russia on Ukraine.

Zelenskyy performed here to the maximum — everything that could be said and everyone that could be met, he did it. 1/
Yatsenyuk: We have to prepare for the next winter. Russia caused $65B in damage to Ukraine's energy sector.

Without long-range missiles, without Tomahawks, without Ukraine having the ability to retaliate, we will not be able to ensure energy security for the next year. 2/
Yatsenyuk: Starmer's statement is very clear. Even if a peace agreement is signed — Great Britain, the EU, and everyone else must continue funding Ukraine's defense.

He is saying that even if a peace agreement is signed, Russia will continue preparing for the next offensive. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
Ben Shapiro: Russia has never quite entered Europe; it’s existed on the fringes. As Dugin says, “Atlanticist” ideas aren’t Russian ideas.

Integrating Russia into Europe has been a failed experiment. Europe and the U.S. must uphold shared values to sustain their alliance. 1/
Ben Shapiro: The Germans and the French fought for centuries. The French and the English fought for centuries.

The Roman Empire was its own civilization; outlying areas were “barbarians.” After Rome fell rose Christendom, ended by the Reformation and the Peace of Westphalia.

2/
Ben Shapiro: Civilizations define themselves internally and against others. Rome was not only what was under its sway, but in opposition to German, Assyrian, Persian armies.

Christendom was forged in opposition to Islam, which spread deep into Europe, even into France.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
Sanna Marin: We, as Europe, would be fooling ourselves to think there will be peace if Russia wins.

If a bully in a classroom is allowed to take whatever it wants, would we think it would stop? Absolutely not. The war would continue in the future. 1/
Marin: Long-lasting just peace cannot be made on Putin’s terms. I don’t see that Putin has any initiative to even come to the peace negotiation table with a serious mind.

He doesn’t want peace. The only way to stop this war is to support Ukraine. 2/
Marin: Ukraine shown incredible resilience, but they are constantly in a situation where they are begging for things they already need — or needed yesterday.

If we give too little, too late, the war will only continue. We need to support more, regardless of what the US does. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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