Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Russian parliament approved a bill that gives Putin the right to deploy troops abroad to free russians arrested under ICC warrants.
Russia can use that to start operations against NATO members to test Article 5 — The Times. 1/
Estonia is the most cited target. Moscow could launch a campaign there under the pretext of protecting the Baltic country's large russian-speaking population.
Estonia halted detention of russian shadow fleet tankers this month, because of "risk of military escalation."
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In May, russia sent a fighter jet into NATO airspace over the Baltic Sea to escort a sanctioned oil tanker into russian waters.
Last week, a russian warship escorted two tankers through the English Channel. The UK announced it would detain such vessels — but has not acted.
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CENTCOM com. Brad Cooper: We launched own one way drones into Iran, originally Iranian designed. We took the guts out, put a "made American" stamp on them and fired them back. Very effective.
We are employing AI to sift through information to help us make decisions faster. 1/
Cooper: We have collected dozens, if not hundreds, of lessons learned. The joint force is taking them and very tactically applying them right now.
Great teams are always adjusting, and that's what we're doing right now. 2X
Zelenskyy: Russia does not want only Ukraine. It has openly said it wants to control all its neighbors and decide what security in Europe should look like.
Russia has carried these war ideas as far as Syria and Africa. This is a truly global threat. 1/
Zelenskyy: At the core of Russia’s war is the false claim that Ukraine does not exist and is merely part of Russia.
Putin knows exactly what he is doing and who he resembles. He is rightly compared to the Nazis. He has the same expansionist ambitions. 2/
Zelenskyy: Air defense remains crucial. Pressure on Russia must continue through sanctions and restrictions, but Russian war criminals must also face justice.
The tribunal for Russia’s aggression must move forward. Do not let Russia go unpunished. 3/
Petraeus: Iran could come out of this much weaker militarily and economically, yet strategically stronger if it keeps control of Hormuz.
A battered Iran that still dictates the strait would leave the US and Gulf partners with an unacceptable result. 1/
Petraeus: Confrontation may well be coming. A US Navy ship apparently already shot down a recon drone, mines are reportedly in the channel, and even one attack every day or two can shut traffic down.
This is not about insurance. It is about the lives of ship crews. 2/
Petraeus: Clearing Hormuz and escorting ships through the normal channel is a very difficult mission.
Demining is laborious and hazardous. Maritime experts say it could require two carrier groups, 8 to 10 frigates and destroyers, and a sustained coalition effort. 3/
On April 13, 2022 a Neptune operator picked up a target on radar 120 km away. He had minutes to decide: fire or not. Nobody could confirm the target. Bayraktars refused to fly. He pressed launch. UP tells the story of how Ukraine sank the cruiser Moskva four years ago. 1/
That day heavy rain clouds hung just a few kilometers above the Black Sea. Aircraft, Bayraktars, and optical satellites were all useless. 2/
The Neptune's standard radar could see targets only up to 18 km. The Moskva knew this and closed to within 120 km of the Ukrainian coast, certain it was untouchable. 3/
Congress can protect Ukraine from Trump’s volatility — the same way it protected Taiwan in 1979 and forced Clinton’s hand on Bosnia in 1995.
A bipartisan Ukraine Relations Act could do the same today, write Brendan Simms and Edward Siddl in FA. 1/
The problem: Trump has taken contradictory positions.
In September 2025 he said Ukraine should “get their land back” and called Russia “a paper tiger.” Two months later he presented a 28-point peace plan widely seen as favorable to Russia. 2/
Trump said Ukraine would “lose in a short period of time” if it didn’t agree to the plan.
Since then he has pushed to end the war as quickly as possible — even if that means a bad deal for Ukraine. 3/