Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 2
Russia declares ultimatum to Armenia.

Putin [to Armenian PM]: You can’t trade with both EU and EEU. You have to choose.

In the last few years, Armenia started exporting to EU 10 times more goods. We are fine with that. It’s your choice, who you will trade with.

1/
Pashinyan, Armenian PM: For now, our agendas in EU and EEU are compatible — and we will combine them for as long as possible.

When the process reaches a point where a decision is required, I am confident that the citizens of Armenia will make that decision.

2/
Pashinyan: In 2022, CSTO mechanisms had to work, but they didn't. That's why we no longer participate.

We still can't explain to our citizens why CSTO failed to respond despite its treaty obligations.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Apr 2
Trump: We’re controlling now 59% of the oil in the world. The problem with the Strait is one terrorist with a machine gun can make it not totally clean.

So let France do it. Let the European countries, South Korea, Japan and China do it. What the hell are we doing it for? 1/
Trump: We’re working with Venezuela and we have tremendous amounts of oil. We could do that with Iran very easily — just take their oil. I’d prefer that.

But people in the country say: just win, come home. And I’m okay with that too. 2/
Trump: We’re over in Iran. We’re pretty much winding that up.

We have to take a few more hits, but we want to make sure we don’t ever allow them to have a nuclear weapon, because they’ll use it. They had thousands of ballistic missiles. We’ve blown most of them up. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 1
Russia became the biggest beneficiary of the Iran war because of global markets and US focus shifted in its favor.

Oil jumped from $72 to more than $100/barrel. US eased sanctions pressure. Energy isolation was broken. And attention was flipped from Ukraine, Guardian. 1/ Image
Oil price hike alone delivers multi-billion inflows to Moscow, easing pressure on a war budget that was forcing cuts in education and healthcare.

War in Iran is financing war in Ukraine. 2/
Sanctions pressure quietly weakened.

US had pushed India and China to reduce Russian oil imports. Now, supply shock reversed that dynamic — Asian buyers are turning back to Russia at scale. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 1
After 2022, Europe expelled 400 Russian intelligence officers. Russia's sabotage in Europe fails to stop weapons supplies, but Russians don’t give up, and form new networks — Babel.

The danger arrives when several strikes go simultaneous. European logistics freeze for weeks.

1/ Image
NATO has four logistics vulnerabilities. European railways fail military standards. Trains carrying Ukraine aid still stuck at borders due to paperwork.

Russia recruits railway and warehouse workers across Europe. Any corrupt employee leaks train schedules and routes.

2/
Romania exercises in autumn 2025: 5,000 troops from several countries failed to deploy fast. Moving across NATO borders took weeks, not hours — mostly due to paperwork.

NATO has no single coordinator for troop movement.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 1
For the first time, a Japanese company has invested in Ukraine's defense sector.

Tokyo-listed Terra Drone is partnering with Kharkiv-based Amazing Drones to scale up production of interceptor drones and expand globally — Kyiv Independent. 1/ Image
Japan has long kept its investors away from Ukraine's defense industry.

Tokyo realized drones could reach Japan from Russia, China, or North Korea. Terra Drone CEO Toru Tokushige visited Ukraine, ignored his government's travel advice, and met over 100 defense tech companies 2/
He saw the biggest opportunity not in the crowded FPV market but in interceptors.

Amazing Drones produces them for $2,500-$3,000 each. The Iran war made the case: millions of dollars in air defense missiles were used to shoot down drones that cost a fraction of that. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 31
NATO is rewriting Arctic defense around one lesson from Ukraine. Under drone-saturated skies, lost ground is hard to retake — Times.

Norway says it is moving from a withdrawal model to a not-an-inch policy in Finnmark — defend from the first centimetre, not return later. 1/ Image
Russia’s war showed how hard it is for large forces to move under drone-heavy skies, and Trump cast doubt on automatic US reinforcement.

Cold Response 26 brought 32,000 troops from 14 allies into this new Arctic posture. 2/
Across 120 miles from Finnmark sits Russia’s Kola peninsula — one of Europe’s most militarised zones and home to the northern fleet.

Norway’s waters are an early-warning corridor for tracking Russian submarines into the Atlantic. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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