Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

May 15
Even Satan cannot save Putin — Telegraph.

His latest nuclear threats is attempt to convince Russians that he still holds cards.

After 4 years of war, much of its Black Sea Fleet damaged, territorial gains limited, so Moscow relies on nuclear rhetoric to project strength. 1/ Image
Kremlin’s latest showpiece is the RS-28 Sarmat, branded “Satan II.”

Putin claims it can strike targets 21,750 miles away and bypass Western missile defenses — but the program suffered repeated delays and failed tests. 2/
Sarmat is liquid-fueled, requiring lengthy launch preparation from fixed silos — a vulnerability against modern precision-strike systems used by NATO countries. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 15
The US-China relationship is a zero-sum contest. Their meetings and negotiations do not change that — even after Xi and Trump’s summit in Beijing on May 14th, writes The Economist. 1/
Xi greeted Trump with a ceremony on Tiananmen Square, talks in the Great Hall of the People and an escorted tour of the Temple of Heaven — the first American president to visit it since 1975. 2/
Trump called Xi a “great leader” and said they would have “a fantastic future together.” The main goal: extend the year-long trade truce agreed in South Korea last October. At their peak, Trump’s tariffs on some Chinese goods reached 145%. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 15
Applebaum: Putin’s real fear is a Maidan-style street revolution — people against corruption, demanding democracy and Europe.

Liberal-democratic language is explosive inside Russia. That is why he needed to crush Ukraine’s democracy movement. 1/
Applebaum: Russia invaded Ukraine knowing it was breaking the post-1945 rule that borders in Europe must not be changed by force.

This war is not only about Ukraine, it is a fault line between the democratic world and the autocratic world. 2/
Applebaum: The order built after 1945 — rules, treaties, the UN, borders not changed by force — is breaking down.

The US was a pillar but is changing from within, while Russia, China, Iran and others challenge it in a real war of ideas. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Applebaum: Trump’s net worth reportedly went from $2.3B when he entered office to $6.5B two years later.

We’ve never had a president running businesses while in office, decisions are being made not for Americans, but for his company. 1/
Applebaum: Why did Saudi Arabia invest $2B in Jared Kushner’s fund? Not because they liked him — because he is Trump’s son-in-law.

Now Kushner negotiates in the Middle East with his own business partners. The conflict is overwhelming. 2/
Applebaum: Most people think democracies end with tanks in the street or someone shooting up the palace.

Today they mostly end when someone legitimately elected starts taking apart the system from within — removing what keeps elections free. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 15
Graham: China buys 90% of Iranian oil and tops Russian oil purchases. Xi could call and end both wars today.

If this summit ends with no action on that — we made a big mistake.

1/
Graham: China buys Russian and Iranian oil cheap — keeps both war machines running. Stop it — the wars end.

Xi isn't irrational. If he believes Trump will crush China's economy for propping up Iran, he'll change. Make it real.

2/
Graham: China puts on a show — but their economy struggles. 1.4 billion people, no social security, no Medicare.

Our worst day is China's best day. Trump must tell Xi: fuel Iran and Russia — get punished. Stop — get rewarded. That's the goal of this summit.

3X
Read 5 tweets
May 15
Bolton: Xi could trade Trump concessions on Iran or trade for one phrase: "The US opposes Taiwanese independence."

Taiwan is terrified. We don't know yet if Trump gave it. They still have hours of meetings left.

1/
Bolton: Trump wanted the biggest trade deal in history — he won't get it today either.

Some Boeing sales, some economic deals he'll tout. But the core issues aren't resolved. China played rare earths. They may agree a trade war ceasefire. That's it.

2/
Bolton: If the US pulls back on Taiwan, Taiwan is in real jeopardy.

China won't invade across 100 miles of open ocean — they'll blockade and wait to see if we break it. Deterrence works only if China stays uncertain what Trump would do.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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