Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Former Ukrainian FM Dmytro Kuleba: China is carrying out an ultra-slow absorption of Russia, starting from the side closest to it.
For Siberian peoples, China is understandable — and they see that where China is, there is welfare and order, while where Russia is, everything is the opposite. 1/
Kuleba: “Russian” is not really an ethnic belonging — it is imperial belonging.
That is why someone who is clearly not ethnically Russian can still shout: “I am Russian, I am for Russia.” The empire works through identity, not blood. 2/
Kuleba: Before 2014, the myth was that Russia’s claim to Ukraine was legitimate and Ukraine had to belong to Russia.
After 2014, the myth became that Ukraine could not defend itself in case of a larger Russian attack. 3/
Kasparov: Putin is not just at war against Ukraine. He is at war against Europe, European institutions and the free world.
Dictators lie about what they have done, but very often they tell you exactly what they are going to do. Putin has for decades. 1/
Kasparov: Putin’s goal was, is and will be to restore the Russian Empire and push NATO back to 1997 borders.
Ukraine is the main target now, but not the ultimate goal. Europe still treats this as hypothetical. It is not a threat — it is a menace. 2/
Kasparov: Putin needs a success story: proving NATO is dead because Article 5 does not work.
Narva, Daugavpils, maybe Vilnius are ideal targets. It is not about occupying Europe; it is about showing NATO will debate, hesitate and fail to respond. 3/
Kasparov: Nothing will happen in Russia unless Ukraine wins the war. Period. Ukraine must win, Russia must lose.
Any war that ends “okay” for Russia strengthens the regime; only Ukrainian victory can open the road to change by proving the empire is dead. 1/
Kasparov: This is not just Putin’s war or one inner circle’s war. The mistake after 1991 was thinking the problem was only the communist virus.
The real problem is the imperial virus, mutating in Russia for centuries, and it will not die without defeat. 2/
Kasparov: Ukraine saved Europe. If not for Ukraine, there would be no serious NATO discussion here — there would be another Russian nationalist congress.
Europe was ready to sell Ukraine down the river, and Ukrainian resistance changed everything for the continent. 3/
Putin put a nuclear-capable Oreshnik into Russia’s overnight strike on Kyiv region.
The hypersonic missile hit Bila Tserkva as Moscow launched around 90 cruise and ballistic missiles plus hundreds of drones. 4 people died, at least 80 were injured — Telegraph. 1/
Oreshnik travels 10 times faster than sound and can carry nuclear warheads. Russia had used it before near Dnipro and Lviv with dummy warheads, causing little damage but sending a symbolic threat.
Ukraine said earlier this year Moscow had only 4 of these missiles. 2/
Zelenskyy: Putin can no longer even properly pronounce the word hurrah, he slurs and mumbles, yet he still wins against residential buildings with his missiles.
He launched his so-called Oreshnik against Bila Tserkva. They really are unhinged. 3/
Only death or Russia can depose Putin. Democracies cannot remove him.
They can still defeat his external ambitions. The only language he understands is military and economic force backed by political will — Timothy Garton Ash, The Guardian. 1/
Putin wants to subjugate Ukraine, restore the Russian empire, destroy NATO's credibility, undermine the EU, and rebuild a Russian sphere of influence over eastern Europe.
To prevent each of these is to defeat him. 2/
Orbán's fall in Hungary unblocked €90B in EU support, covering Ukraine's budget through 2027.
Putin's plan B is to ruin Ukraine if he cannot control it. Defeating him there means a prosperous, secure Ukraine inside the EU. 3/