Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 15
Russian troops surrendered to robots. Drones and ground bots took a Russian position without infantry and without losses on Ukraine’s side — Telegraph.

Zelenskyy: For the first time in the history of this war, an enemy position was taken exclusively by unmanned systems. 1/
Ground robots now carry out assault, evacuation, mine-clearing, logistics, supply runs and reconnaissance.

Zelenskyy: they completed 22,000+ missions in the last three months. Syrskyi says robotic systems handled 50% more tasks in March than in Feb. 2/
Ukraine now has 280+ companies building ground robots. Kyiv aims to produce 20,000+ this year, with 99% made in Ukraine.

Front-line models can operate up to 31 miles away, and many cost £7,500-£22,000. Some brigades already created dedicated UGV units. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 15
Hodges: Crimea is still the decisive terrain of the war. For Putin it is symbolic, because the whole war started with seizing it.

It also anchors Russia’s ports and its ability to project power across the Black Sea. 1/
Hodges: If Russia can no longer use Crimea’s ports, bridge, and ferries safely, the peninsula loses real value.

The Black Sea Fleet has already been pushed out of Sevastopol, and isolating Crimea further would strip Moscow of a key military asset. 2/
Hodges: Ukraine does not need a frontal assault on Crimea right now.

It should keep isolating it, keep hitting airfields and air defenses, and make the Kerch bridge unusable. Crimea is still on Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Budanov’s objective list. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 15
Hodges: Peter Magyar’s win should remove Hungary’s veto on EU funds for Ukraine pretty soon.

Kyiv is only a couple of months away from literally running out of money, so unlocking the €90bn package would be both timely and important. 1/
Hodges: It feels like momentum has shifted in Ukraine. You no longer hear that Russian victory is inevitable.

Russia seems unable to stop strikes on oil, gas, and defense industry targets, while Putin has gone quiet and moved more air defenses around his residence. 2/
Hodges: With Orban out, Moscow loses another voice inside the EU and NATO.

Russia got nowhere in Venezuela, Armenia, and Syria, failed to swing Moldova, and now has less ability to shape events in neighboring states. Only Georgia and Belarus still stand out. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 15
For decades, Germany blocked every attempt to build European defense without America. Merz reversed course after concluding Trump was ready to abandon Ukraine.

Germany leads a coalition planning to run NATO without the US. The project has a name: "European NATO" — WSJ. 1/ Image
Germany, France, the UK, Poland, the Nordics, and Canada are planning to fill US command roles, run air-and-missile defenses, and secure reinforcement corridors into Poland and the Baltics.

The planning runs through side meetings and dinners inside NATO. 2/
Pistorius, German Defense Minister: "NATO must become more European in order to remain trans-Atlantic."

The plans accelerated after Trump threatened to seize Greenland from NATO ally Denmark. The Iran war standoff gave them fresh urgency. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 15
"Mojtaba Khamenei is the most dangerous thing that could happen to Iran and the region." He built a network of assassins and apocalyptic true believers inside the Revolutionary Guard for 25 years. Now he is supreme leader, writes WSJ. 1/ Image
The US and Israel killed Ali Khamenei hoping to trigger regime change or bring more moderate leaders to power.

Instead Mojtaba survived the airstrike that killed his father and several family members. Clerics selected him as the new supreme leader within weeks. 2/
Danny Citrinowicz, former head of the Iran desk for Israeli: "We created a reality that is worse than what Iranians were facing before the war." 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 15
The US-led coalition fired 1,802 Patriot interceptors in 16 days of the Iran war. More than twice what Ukraine used in four years against Russia.

Zelenskyy: "Ukraine did not have that many missiles since the start of the war" — Politico. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy: "There is not enough production capacity in Europe."

Ukraine signed a €4B defense deal with Germany — several hundred PAC-2 missiles from Raytheon, built in Germany, plus 36 IRIS-T launchers from Diehl Defense. 2/
PAC-2 missiles detonate near the target. PAC-3s hit it directly — more precise, better suited for stopping ballistic threats.

The German-built PAC-2s will not arrive until 2027. Ukraine needs them now. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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