Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Axios published a full 28-point Trump’s Ukraine-Russia peace plan. Trump will drive it hard and Zelenskyy might not have much choice.
Trump is aiming to get it done before the end of the year to have the cycle move off Epstein. 0/
The deal is pro-Russian but might be the only deal Ukraine can ever get given the US and Europe are unwilling to fund Ukraine
Ukraine is forced to give up territory, stay out of NATO, weaken its military, accept a vague U.S. guarantee and give Russia amnesty. 1/
Here is it point by point:
1. Ukraine’s sovereignty “will be confirmed,” according to the plan.
2. A comprehensive non-aggression agreement will be concluded between Russia, Ukraine, and Europe, declaring all ambiguities of the last 30 years settled. 2/
Whitaker: President Trump is frustrated with Vladimir Putin.
Every time they talk about a ceasefire or peace, more bombs hit Ukrainian cities. Trump is sustaining pressure with sanctions and expects European allies, including Germany, to use the same leverage.
1/
Whitaker: The resilience of the Ukrainian people and their desire to defend their country and freedoms struck me.
Their innovation with drones and other autonomous vehicles, their creativity, and their willingness to experiment in a real-time battle lab impressed me.
2/
Whitaker: Ukrainians are willing to enter a ceasefire and negotiate a peace.
Russians are unwilling to come to the table. Ukrainians are waiting; Russians need to get there. President Trump is using leverage and sanctions to push Russia to negotiate.
Trump’s Ukraine envoy Keith Kellogg plans to leave in January, writes Reuters.
Ukraine can lose one of the U.S. officials who consistently pushed back on Kremlin talking points.
1/
Kellogg hits the 360-day legal limit for special envoys. The law forces him out unless the Senate confirms him and no one expects that to happen.
2/
Kellogg acted as a rare pro-Ukraine voice inside an administration where some advisers questioned the origins of the war and echoed Moscow’s narrative.
3/
Mike Pence: Putin’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine is the worst act of aggression in Europe since 1939.
It’s more that an attack on one country. It’s an attack on the right of free people to choose their own destiny and on the principle that borders can't be redrawn by force. 1/
Pence: I have no doubt that if Putin overruns Ukraine, he won’t stop.
It will only be a matter of time before he crosses a border where our own men and women in uniform will have to deal with him. 2/
Pence: When my wife and I crossed from Poland into a relief center, we saw scenes I never expected outside old World War II footage - Ukrainian women and children carrying everything they owned on their backs, fleeing the Russian assault. 3/
A Ukrainian billionaire told me today: “It’s better to sit in a Ukrainian detention center than hang from a pine tree under Russia.”
Wherever Russia arrives, 20–25% of the population disappears. Chechnya is the clearest proof.
1/
Before the two Chechen wars, about 1.2 million people lived in the republic.
After ten years of Russian operations, fewer than 1 million remained.
Some were killed. Some vanished in filtration camps. Many fled and never returned.
2/
The storming of Grozny in 1999–2000 showed Russia’s method of war: artillery and aviation erased kindergartens, schools, hospitals, and residential districts. Over 125,000 civilians died.
Grozny became a burned-out, uninhabitable city. 3/
EU leaders accepted his 15% tariff without hitting back because they feared he would cut US security support during the war in Ukraine, writes Gideon Rachman for FT.
1/
Trump cut Europe out of his talks with Putin on ending the war. EU diplomats begged the White House for access and got nothing.
Same in Gaza: the US, Qatar, Egypt and Israel drove the ceasefire. Europe watched from the sidelines.
2/
In Sudan, the UAE, Egypt, Turkey and Russia shape the war. France lost West Africa. Jihadists and Russian units filled the gap.
Europe keeps losing ground in every conflict zone near its borders.
3/