Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 3
Firepoint co-founder Shtilierman: Ukraine does not need 300 km ballistic missiles. Moscow is not 300 km from our border.

Russia is a monocentric state, with power concentrated in Moscow and St. Petersburg. That is why Ukraine is developing longer-range ballistic capabilities. 1/
Shtilierman: We produce Flamingo missiles as much as we are ordered to produce.

The capacity is there. The bottleneck is bureaucracy around engine exports in Europe and the U.S.

2/
Shtilierman: There are five Flamingo launches in open sources.

We never publish anything before the official General Staff report. Many missions happen and are never publicly reported.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 3
Russian intelligence started tracking Boris Johnson while he was an Oxford student in the 1980s.

The Kremlin called him "likeable but not trustworthy," said he had "no principles" and "could be easily manipulated," The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Russian officers ruled out recruiting Johnson.

Their conclusion: "A manic self-promoter such as Johnson can't really be taken seriously as a candidate for any deep and lasting intelligence connection." 2/
Dominic Cummings, the architect of the Vote Leave campaign and Boris Johnson's future chief adviser, moved to Russia in 1994.

Russian intelligence suspected he was already working with MI6 but opened a file on him anyway and tried to recruit him. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 3
Russia destroyed a Ukrainian Red Cross humanitarian warehouse in a massive overnight attack on Kyiv on July 2.

The strike caused over $1.76mn in damage to equipment and emergency supplies, United24. 1/ Image
Russia launched 74 missiles and nearly 500 drones during the assault. It damaged about 100 residential buildings and caused direct hits on at least 20 others.

Air defense intercepted 4 ballistic missiles, 32 of 34 Kh-101s, 8 Kalibrs, 4 Kh-59/69s and 476 drones. 2/
Ukrainian Red Cross: The rented warehouse served as one of its key logistics centers.

It held humanitarian cargo for emergency response, medical institutions, and vital aid to hundreds of thousands of vulnerable people. Russia also damaged an aid delivery vehicle. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 3
Russia is planning an attack on Poland to test NATO, US warns.

The scenarios include missile and drone strikes on critical infrastructure or Russian troops crossing the border from Kaliningrad or Belarus, The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Russian troops could cross into Poland and claim they entered by mistake because of GPS failure.

Another cover story: a mission to recover a disabled military helicopter. 2/
Moscow expects Poland to negotiate instead of opening fire if Russian troops cross the border.

The Kremlin would demand that NATO suspend military aid to Ukraine before withdrawing. If Poland agrees, Russia enters NATO territory and leaves on its own terms. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 3
For four years, Putin tried to shield Russians from the war through silence and euphemisms.

Now drones hit Moscow, fuel shortages affect at least 56 regions.

Whatever officials do, they still avoid saying what is happening, — NYT. 1/ Image
The war is still officially a Special Military Operation.

Fuel shortages are blamed on “unscheduled maintenance at refineries.”

Military spending becomes “structural transformation of the economy.” Language is used as a shield. 2/
On June 18, Ukraine attacked Moscow with nearly 200 drones.

Putin said nothing for days.

When he finally spoke, he blamed the West and said the strikes were meant to “destabilize society.” 3/
Read 12 tweets
Jul 3
Fedorov: During the latest mass attack on Kyiv, Ukraine intercepted about 95% of Shaheds — around 600 were launched.

Against cruise missiles, the interception rate can also reach 80–90% when Ukraine has enough F-16s and enough missiles to cover the whole country.

1/
Fedorov: Ukraine is investing heavily in cheap missiles to prepare for winter and bad weather, when interceptor drones face limits.

During the main mass attack, about 75% of Shaheds were intercepted by interceptor drones.

2/
Fedorov: Ukraine continues to destroy 30,000–35,000 Russians a month — killed or seriously wounded.

Partners call this a unique statistic: in this war, drones make evacuation harder, so the share of killed is unusually high.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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