Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 11
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has entered the economic track of Trump–Ukraine negotiations — a major signal that reconstruction planning is moving into real money and procedures, reports Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy said Fink joined Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Jared Kushner on Wednesday for what he called “the first meeting of the group that will work on a document concerning reconstruction and economic recovery of Ukraine.” 2/
Fink’s return is notable: BlackRock paused its Ukraine recovery fund nearly a year ago after Trump’s re-election.

Before the freeze, the fund was on track to raise $2.5B from governments, development banks and private investors. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 11
Zelenskyy: The Ukrainian people must answer the territorial question — either through elections or through a referendum.

1/ Image
Zelenskyy: The US President said Ukrainians want the war to end and shouldn’t delay it just so someone can hold on to a position. So I said clearly: yes, I support elections.

2/
Zelenskyy: If our partners can help us organize elections safely and on time, I will support it. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 11
Shapiro: The US shouldn't pretend to be neutral between Russia and Ukraine. There’s corruption in Ukraine, but also in Qatar and other nations with which Trump has relations. The idea that Russia will become pro-American is foolish. Russians are adversarial to US interests. 1/
Shapiro: Many Europeans on the right want to make a separate deal with Russia. That’s bad for the U.S. if Russia gains a large part of Ukraine and invades again.

I can see why Russia wants to expand, but what guarantee could the U.S. offer Ukrainians to stop fighting? 2/
Shapiro: You can see why Zelenskyy is refusing to cede land to Russia, though this doesn’t excuse the corruption in his regime. I asked Zelenskyy directly about corruption when I visited him in Kiev. You can watch the interview. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 11
Croatian Prime Minister, Andrej Plenković: Croatia has already transferred M84 and M80 tanks to Germany so they could go straight to Ukraine, where they will be used against Russian aggression.

This cooperation works and it should grow. 1/
Q: Why is Russian energy still entering the EU when Croatia can fully fill it through Liquefied Natural Gas and Jadranski Naftovod?

Plenković: JANAF can supply 100% of the oil Hungary and Slovakia need, without Russian oil. Croatia will present this again to the EU Commission 2/
Q: Does Croatia support ending sanctions exemptions?

Plenković: The Serbia–Hungary route breaks the logic of sanctions.

Russian oil enters via Druzhba, gets refined in Hungary and is shipped to Serbia — we can’t send non-Russian oil because they control the Serbian refinery. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 11
Boris Johnson: The only chance of ending the Russia-Ukraine war is to turn up the heat on Putin

It’s no use for Europeans to blame Americans while Europe still buys Russian gas. And no use us sitting in beautiful Bergen whimpering about Friday’s document [the new US strategy] 1/
Johnson: I was sitting in every significant NATO meeting from 2016 to 2022, and there was never a snowball’s chance in Hades [hell] of Ukraine joining NATO.

Because any such suggestion faced vetoes from France, Germany, and the USA — a caviar bowl of black balls. 2/
Johnson: It is a damnable lie for Putin to claim he was driven to invade by NATO expansionism.

He is the revanchist and neoimperialist terrified of Ukraine’s choice of a free, pluralist, democratic Western European identity. That’s what he hates, that’s what he fears. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 10
Q: What about the Ukraine peace plan? Where do we stand now?

Defence analyst, Michael Clarke: Russia hasn’t made concessions and is more rigid. Trump may pressure Ukraine to sign a surrender agreement. Europe support Ukraine and U.S.-Europe relations are fracturing over this. 1/
Q: What’s happening with the NATO relationship?

Clarke: NATO relationship is fracturing over Ukraine. This split, anticipated in the summer, has now emerged in December. It’s uncertain if this will be permanent, but the division is clear. 2/
Q: What’s happening on the ground in Ukraine?

Clarke: Russia claims to control Pokrovsk but hasn’t fully secured it. Ukraine still holds the north, and Russia’s surrounded Myrnohrad. Despite some gains, it’s been slow, with heavy casualties on both sides. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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