Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Ukraine struck 40% of Russian oil exports while Gulf states — burned by China and Russia backing Iran — are now signing defense deals with Kyiv instead, writes Con Coughlin in The Telegraph. 1/
Zelenskyy estimates total gains at 117.6 square miles — about 10% of the territory Kyiv lost to Moscow in 2025. Russia recorded almost no territorial gains for the first time in two and a half years. 2/
Russia’s spring-summer offensive has little prospect of seizing Ukraine’s “fortress belt” in Donbas. Russian casualties are averaging around 35,000 per month. 3/
“The only thing worse than no tanks in Red Square are burning tanks in Red Square.”
A European diplomat in Moscow captures how fast Putin’s authority is collapsing inside Russia, writes Mark Galeotti in The Times. 1/
For the first time in decades Putin cancelled armored vehicles from Saturday’s Victory Day parade. Moscow is ringed with Pantsir-S missile launchers on rooftops, electronic warfare stations and drone jammers. 2/
The mere risk of an attack changed Putin’s plans. There is no evidence Kyiv planned a strike on the parade — but that did not matter. 3/
Patriot batteries guard the runway at Rzeszów airport — this small regional airfield 55 miles from Ukraine became the main hub for military aid to Kyiv.
Up to 40 cargo flights per day. Wounded soldiers treated here before flying to European hospitals — El País. 1/
On February 24, 2022 Ukraine closed its airspace. Rzeszów went from 10-12 commercial flights per day to 20-40 large cargo planes daily — Hercules, Boeing 747s, Antonov An-124s from around the world. 2/
The airport had 300 staff. It now has 550. Fuel consumption jumped from 100,000 liters per week to 500,000-600,000 liters per day. Lines of trucks stretched endlessly. 3/
Fiona Hill: We are in a realm of magical and wishful thinking.
Iran is another personalized standoff between Trump and whoever his counterparts are, with each side trying to show who has the edge. Everyone else is watching this spectacle with real alarm. 1/
Hill: It will be very hard for any other state to corral Trump into a negotiation track.
This is all about how Trump thinks he is being viewed on the world stage: whether he looks strong, in control, and able to impose his will. 2/
Hill: Trump does not think about consulting allies because he does not think of them as allies. They are supplicants.
He sees them as subcontractors in his project, not partners in a larger enterprise. 3/
Kasparov: This is a global war. Russia and Iran are working together, and behind them is the Chinese dragon.
China helps Putin openly, supports him economically and technologically, and the outcome in Ukraine will be felt from Taiwan to Nicaragua, Belarus to Zimbabwe. 1/
Kasparov: Ukraine changed military strategy. The battlefield is radically different from five years ago.
A few good drone operators can decimate battalions, and Ukraine has built a wall of drones where the dead zone is not barbed wire, but 50 kilometers of drones. 2/
Kasparov: How could America attack Iran without preparing for Iran’s main weapon — drones? The country with the best experience against drones is Ukraine.
Ignoring that was insanity, and it cost America lives, enormous prestige, and exposed old military thinking. 3/
Kasparov: America is no longer the rock people knew. For dissidents it was a beacon; for everyone else, a force to reckon with.
Today all bets are off. The world built around US military, economic and political power is over, and America’s role will be reconsidered. 1/
Kasparov: NATO is dead. It is not just irrelevant; it refused to take part in the war it was built for.
Russia was the original threat, and when the real challenge to European security came from Russia, NATO waffled, ducked, and categorically refused to join. 2/
Kasparov: Europe is now building defense plans without America. Once Europeans erase old plans that included the US and build new ones, why bring America back?
America lost its reputation, and the geopolitical damage will be felt for years, maybe decades. 3/