Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 22
Ukraine is proposing naming a slice of the Donbas “Donnyland” to pull Trump toward Kyiv’s position in peace talks, — NYT.

Ukraine is testing a simple lever — attach Trump’s name to a postwar arrangement, then make abandoning it politically costly in Washington. 1/ Image
The territory is a front line.

A depopulated strip about 50 miles long and 40 miles wide, with one working coal mine and businesses that serve soldiers. Netting covers the main highway into the area to protect against exploding drones. 2/
The talks are stuck on who controls that land after a ceasefire.

Russia wants full legal control of the Donbas. Ukraine wants a structure that blocks a future invasion and does not legitimize Russian annexation. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 21
Trump spoke to Bloomberg, CBS, Axios and the New York Post in one morning. He claimed Iran agreed to an "unlimited" nuclear suspension, to hand over its enriched uranium, and to a weekend deal.

None of it was true. A near-deal collapsed within hours — CNN. 1/ Image
Trump told Bloomberg Iran agreed to an "unlimited" suspension of enrichment.

He told CBS Tehran "agreed to everything" and would hand over its uranium. He told Axios a deal would come "in the next day or two." Sources said Iran had not agreed to those terms. 2/
Source familiar with the talks, to CNN: "The Iranians didn't appreciate POTUS negotiating through social media and making it appear as if they had signed off on issues they hadn't yet agreed to."

Trump officials privately told CNN the commentary damaged the talks. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Apr 21
China gained more from the Iran war than anyone — without firing a single shot.

Diplomatic leverage, military intelligence, energy dominance, rare earth dependency — Axios. 1/ Image
The US committed roughly 80% of its JASSM-ER stealth cruise missile inventory to the Iran fight, pulling stockpiles from the Pacific.

The conflict significantly depleted US supplies of Tomahawk and Patriot missiles, THAAD interceptors and drones. 2/
Beijing got a free masterclass in modern American warfighting: how the US uses AI to target, how it rotates carrier groups, how cheap Iranian drones drain its most expensive interceptors.

For Chinese war planners gaming out a Taiwan invasion, it was better than any simulation. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 21
Ukraine rep. to UN Melnyk: Russia murders civilians. They strike ambulances, emergency personnel and firefighters. Between March 30th-April 13th, Russia launched over 3600 strike UAVs, 1350 guided bombs and more than 40 missiles against Ukraine, killing at least 70 civilians. 1/
Melnyk: Russia does not control more than 20% of the Donetsk region territory. This is pure blackmail. Russia demands Ukraine to abandon one of the most heavily fortified and logistically developed defensive lines. 2/
Melnyk: We must not forget that beyond these fortifications there are cities and villages where Ukrainians live. How can we leave hundreds of thousands of these people?

To seize the territory, Putin would have to send at least another 1.5M soldiers. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Apr 21
Zelenskyy: Putin still has major economic problems, $100B deficit.

A short Middle East war won’t cover Russia’s huge deficit — maybe 10% at most. A longer war helps Moscow, drains the US, pressures Europe’s energy reserves, and shifts the global balance toward China.

1/
Zelenskyy: We prepared a “drone deal” for the US and proposed it to Trump.

It’s a full defense system: drones, anti-drone protection, air defense, and electronic warfare. Ukraine has built a unique system for stopping mass attacks because of this war.

2/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine is investing $30 billion in defense in 2026. The industry says it already has capacity for $60 billion in output.

This is a massive wartime leap — from almost nothing to a major defense sector, built with partner funding and years of rapid growth.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 21
Stubb: I don’t believe in a world without alliances.

The danger today is a world of spheres of influence, where institutions weaken and big powers do what they want while small countries do what they can.

1/
Stubb: We are witnessing a new shift in world order — like after 1918, 1945, and 1989. The post-Cold War system lasted about three decades.

Its break began with Russia’s war on Ukraine and has been accelerated by recent US foreign policy and new regional wars.

2/
Stubb: After the Cold War came a unipolar moment with the US in the driver’s seat.

Many believed no reform of post-WWII institutions was needed. That era began to fade after 9/11, Iraq, Afghanistan, and other shocks that changed global politics.

3/
Read 9 tweets

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