Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 23
Zaluzhnyi: The old rules no longer work, but people still have high hopes for them. The new ones have not yet even been formulated yet.

Personally, for me, the main condition is the preservation of democracy and freedom and the standard of living. 1/
Zaluzhnyi: The reconstruction process should begin now, without waiting for a peace deal, which may never happen.
The energy system has become a new front in the war. Its stability determines the outcome of the conflict and the country's ability to survive, therefore to win. 2/
Zaluzhnyi: In Europe there is not a single country with a positive birth rate, so the loss of manpower on the battlefield would have huge socio-economic rather than near military complications.

Evolution towards the robotization of warfare offers an alternative. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 23
Ukraine starts exporting weapons to Europe.

Kateryna Mykhalko, who led Ukraine's Technological Forces for 2.5 years: "Cheap Shaheds cannot be shot down with multimillion-dollar missiles.

This is ineffective defense strategy. Europe needs asymmetric solutions" — Hromadske. 1/ Image
On Feb 8, Zelenskyy announced start of Ukrainian weapons export. 10 export centers to open in Europe in 2026.

Germany already started production of Ukrainian drones. Similar production lines began operating in Britain. Technological Forces unite 80+ defense companies. 2/
Mykhalko: "Export is not just about crossing border with piece of metal. First of all, it's about technological cooperation, integration, supply chains to European countries.

This is critical for Ukraine's strategic defense, and for EU security it's no less important." 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 23
Budanov: Moscow is testing world order for strength, international institutions for viability.

Independent Ukraine is a challenge to Russian imperialism and great Russian chauvinism. Without Ukraine there can be no new empire. 1/
Budanov: Work is not easy, but we are definitely moving forward and approaching the moment when all sides will need to make final decisions - continue this war or move to peace.

I hope that justice will still prevail. 2/
Budanov: Peace without accountability is a pause in hostilities, but not a solution.

Peace without consequences for aggressor is invitation to repeat and example for all authoritarian regimes - attack, kill, destroy, and nothing will happen to you. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 23
Serhii Plokhy, Ukrainian historian: Ukraine now is like David against Goliath.

In 2025, they recieved less arms than the year before. And still fighting because of their belief in victory.

AI and drones are important in this war.

1/
Plokhy: In fall 2022, Russian former DM Shoigu called NATO and said Ukraine planned a ‘dirty bomb.’

Russia signaled it could use tactical nuclear weapons.

That changed the course of the war — arms deliveries slowed, and the 2023 counteroffensive lacked resources.

2/
Plokhy: Putin says Ukrainians and Russians are the same people.

He thinks Ukraine shouldn’t exist, they are all Russians. So the root causes of the war is existence of Ukraine.

NATO is just an excuse.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 23
Kasparov: Putin has vast capacity to create chaos in Europe. He wouldn’t even need to cross a border.

A few drones over key hubs, Frankfurt, Schiphol, De Gaulle, Heathrow, could paralyze European air travel. The West hasn’t shown an antidote, and Russian networks are active. 1/
Kasparov: Putin could stage a major provocation this year — I can’t put a percentage on it.

But if you look at his pattern of managing conflicts, a provocation against the Baltics is very likely — drones, “green men,” crossing near Narva or Daugavpils, or both.

2/
Kasparov: Europe must rebuild its defense around Germany and Poland, with the Baltics and Scandinavia and Ukraine at the core.

Without Ukraine, Europe won’t stand. As long as Ukraine fights and holds Putin back, a Baltic provocation becomes far harder for him.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 23
Applebaum: At the same time the U.S. says it’s stepping back, it’s supporting far-right politicians and think tanks in Europe, movements that are pro-Russian, oppose defense spending, and undermine European unity.

So people ask: which is it? What is U.S. policy really?

1/
Applebaum: Nobody wants to break the NATO.

Beneath the politics, U.S.–Europe military ties are still strong — joint training, exercises, operations, intelligence cooperation. It’s not as if everything is broken.

2/
Applebaum: The U.S. is no longer giving real support to Ukraine — beyond some intelligence and weapons sales.

Now 99% of the weapons and money come from Europe. Three years ago that seemed impossible, but Europe’s defense industry has ramped up fast.

3X
Read 4 tweets

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