Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Ukraine's top diplomat Sergiy Kyslytsya reveals Russian tactics in Istanbul: ignore substance, deny Ukrainian identity, offer fake progress to trick the Americans.
The real lesson? "In a dictatorship, you have to deal directly with the dictator" — The Times. 1/
Russian negotiator Vladimir Medinsky opened talks with a lecture claiming "we, the Russians are killing Russians" — completely denying Ukraine's separate identity despite facing Ukrainian defense ministers, generals and diplomats. 2/
The Russian strategy was deliberate provocation: they came with dossiers on every Ukrainian delegate and said "provocative things and quite nasty" to anger them so Ukraine could be blamed for derailing talks. 3/
Russia faces seven consecutive years of high budget deficit (over 2%) — streak unseen since 1999, with 2025 deficit projected at 2.6% of GDP and government abandoning goal of keeping it below 1% — The Kyiv Independent. 1/
Economist Benjamin Hilgenstock says 2026 deficit projection of 1.6% is wishful thinking — deficit of 2-3% of GDP is a lot for Russia since it doesn't have access to financing like normal countries. 2/
Rostec CEO Sergey Chemezov admitted in August profitability of production remains low, and somewhere even zero, if not negative, leaving not too many funds for development. 3/
Russian activist Igor Rogov, arrested in Poland, has admitted he worked as an FSB agent, informing on fellow opposition figures.
Court papers show he infiltrated movements linked to Navalny and Khodorkovsky before — The Guardian
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Rogov and his wife moved to Poland days after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. He told investigators he was coerced by the FSB years earlier and later paid for spying. Meetings took place in an unmarked apartment near the agency’s HQ.
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In Poland, Rogov allegedly used his wife to transfer an encrypted USB stick with reports on Russian activists to FSB handlers. Prosecutors say he hid it among souvenirs and sent it via post to Russia.
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Russia’s drone war has entered an industrial phase.
Moscow now produces over 6,000 Shahed-type drones a month and can launch 700+ in a single night.
Each costs as little as $20k–$70k, while intercepting one with a Patriot missile costs over $3 million. — CNN
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Ukraine defends its skies using a layered system:
Machine-gun trucks for low-flying drones
Electronic-warfare (EW) systems to jam or spoof GPS
SAM and MANPAD missiles for higher threats
Laser weapons in development
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Russia adapts fast. It now flies decoy “Gerbera” drones made of plywood and foam to exhaust Ukraine’s ammo. Others fly as high as 4,900 meters (beyond the reach of machine-guns) to overwhelm defenses.
Jana Bakunina, Russian living in London since 1999, visited Yekaterinburg in autumn 2023 to interview friends and family — found "two years on, nothing has changed" in their support for Putin, inews writes.
"Every Russian ruler has been bit of despot." 1/
Her friend Katya, CEO of major business, believes Bucha war crimes were fabricated because "a Russian wouldn't loot, rape or kill civilians," calling Ukraine unfortunate pawn in Russia's defense from NATO. 2/
Pro-Putin businessman, 50 with three children, told her: "Russian men are sacrificing their lives so that I can enjoy peace and have good life" — doesn't view Putin as aberration because "every Russian ruler has been bit of despot." 3/