Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 16
Former Swedish PM, Carl Bildt: Since Alaska, Trump has essentially endorsed the Russian demand.

He wants Ukraine to give up territory Putin failed to conquer despite throwing his entire might against it for three and a half years. 1/
Carl Bildt: I don't think there are any paper security guarantees that can replace what we need to do.

Real security is not documents, but Ukraine's own defensive capabilities supported by European finance. 2/
Carl Bildt: It's a fairly bizarre document [US NSS]. It has an extremely distorted view of what's happening in Europe.

It expresses concern about the fate of democracy in Europe, but not the fate of democracy in Russia or China. It sees Russia as effective for stability. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 16
Drones dominate Ukraine’s trenches, but they won’t decide a U.S.–China war.

Ukraine fights a land war without air control. Pacific fight would hinge on fighters, missiles, ships and AWACS across thousands of miles — not quadcopters, writes Justin Bronk for Foreign Affairs.
1/ Image
Cheap drones thrive in Ukraine because the war is static, land-based and attritional.

Neither side controls the air. Front lines stretch 600+ miles. Infantry fights within 6–12 miles.

These conditions do not exist in the Indo-Pacific.

2/
In Ukraine, drones cause up to 70% of daily battlefield casualties.

But Russia breaks Ukrainian defenses with 500–3,000 kg glide bombs, dropped weekly by Su-34s from 40+ miles away.

Bombs, not drones, crack hardened positions.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 16
“Just ten metres — but f*ck, the pain. I thought I might die there.”

Ania, a 34-year-old Ukrainian marine born with one leg, remembers dragging herself through mud toward help after her Jeep slammed into a tree near the front line — The Times. 1/ Image
Russian drones had shut the skies. No air ambulance. The nearest hospital was almost an hour away — an eternity in a war where minutes decide survival.

What saved her was an 8-foot-wide metal box on wheels, hidden under camouflage: a Stabnet. 2/
Inside that narrow container was something Ukraine’s war increasingly lacks: time.

Warmth. Sterility. Blood. Ultrasound. Oxygen.

“Being treated there,” Ania said, “gave me the feeling that everything was going to be OK.” 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 15
What’s new after peace talks in Berlin?

Ukraine and the U.S. moved close to NATO Article 5–style security guarantees, but they fight over territory — especially Donbas, write Axios and Reuters.

1/ Image
Security guarantees moved. Territory issues didn’t.

U.S. officials say talks made “clear progress” on guarantees and claim “90%” of issues are done.

Zelenskyy says the sides still hold “different positions on territory.”

2/
Washington wants Ukraine to withdraw from about 14% of Donbas it still controls and convert it into a demilitarized “free economic zone.”

Zelenskyy: why wouldn’t Russia move in the minute Ukraine pulls out?

3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 15
Kaja Kallas: Europe pressures Moscow and boosts support for Kyiv: €27B in military aid this year and 2M artillery rounds.

We can’t slow down. Any peace deal needs strong security guarantees, since Ukraine is pushed to drop NATO.

1/
Kaja Kallas: Donbas is not Putin’s endgame — if he gets it, he will take more. Only Ukraine can set the terms of any deal.

Concessions must come from the aggressor, not the victim. There is no moral equivalence between the two sides.

2/
Kaja Kallas: Our call with Witkoff and Kushner barely worked. Tech failed, so we had no real talks on the reparations loan.

Belgium’s worries are clear, and others are ready to share the burden. If we move ahead, the risk shifts to Europe, not Belgium.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 15
Russia has blown off every US-led peace proposal since 2022. Kyiv agreed to ceasefires and talks. Moscow answered with missiles and new territorial demands.

In 2025 alone, Washington put forward 6 ceasefire initiatives. Russia refused all six. Here's a timeline — United24. 1/ Image
March 2025: The US proposed a 30-day ceasefire. Zelenskyy agreed and publicly backed the plan. Putin refused to sign and kept Russian strikes going. 2/
April 2025: Washington pushed another ceasefire proposal. Russia responded with a wave of large-scale attacks across Ukraine.

Kyiv said talks could start after Russia stopped firing. Moscow said no. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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