Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Dec 28
He stepped on a mine, took two bullets, survived a grenade launcher strike and a drone drop. Five wounds. Each time, he returned to the front, Telehraf reports.

His name is Ruslan Knysh. Today, he has no limbs. 1/ Image
Ruslan: І knew I wouldn’t wait until the enemy came to drive me out of my home. I decided to take my fate into my own hands.

Ruslan is 20. He is from Donetsk region. He spent his first three years in an orphanage. As a teenager, he consciously switched to Ukrainian. 2/
At 18, Ruslan took an academic leave and decided to go to war. His mother was against it.

In late 2023, he packed his things, took his documents, and ran away from home. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 27
Zelenskyy travels to Mar-a-Lago Sunday, willing to cede eastern territory as part of a demilitarized zone, pending Ukrainian voter approval.

Ukraine isn't the obstacle to ending Putin's war — WSJ. 1/ Image
Ukraine opposed giving up territory in Donetsk, where a 31-mile fortified defensive line has slowed Russia. Now both sides could withdraw from current positions.

This is especially significant given Russia violated 2014 and 2015 Minsk cease-fires to prepare for 2022 invasion. 2/
In return, the West would offer security guarantees akin to NATO's Article 5 — an attack on one is an attack on all.

But these guarantees must be explicit, firm, and in the US case approved by Congress. Without Congressional backing, they won't be worth much when Putin tests them. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 27
Sanctions are hitting Russia’s energy sector on two fronts.

Plans to triple LNG output to 100M tons a year have been delayed by several years, while Russia’s flagship Urals crude has plunged to about $34 per barrel, Bloomberg. 1/ Image
Russia planned to triple LNG output to 100M tons per year by 2030, targeting a 20% share of the global market.

Deputy PM Novak said sanctions have pushed this goal back “by some years,” without giving a new deadline. 2/
Western sanctions hit both current and future Russian LNG projects.

The US blacklisted all LNG projects except Yamal LNG and sanctioned the shipping fleet used to export super-chilled fuel. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 27
Trump says there is a good shot at reaching Russia-Ukraine peace deal ahead of Zelenskyy’s visit to Florida, NYPost.

Trump: I think they want to do it now, and that Russia wants to do it. But every time one wants to do it, the other doesn’t. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy will bring a new 20-point peace proposal, a revision of the 28-point framework drafted in Nov by Trump envoys Witkoff and Kushner.

It includes a demilitarized zone and a “free economic zone.” The Kremlin says only that dialogue will continue. 2/
“He doesn’t have anything until I approve it. So we’ll see what he’s got,” — Trump to Politico about endorsing Zelenskyy’s plan.

Zelenskyy is ready to consider a referendum on territorial concessions if a ceasefire is secured — Axios. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Dec 26
Trump about Zelenskyy for Politico: “He doesn’t have anything until I approve it. So we’ll see what he’s got.”

Still, he believes he could have a productive meeting this weekend.

“I think it’s going to go good with him. I think it’s going to go good with Putin too.” 1/ Image
Zelenskyy plans to bring a new 20-point peace framework to the meeting in Florida on Sunday.

The proposal includes a demilitarized zone and focuses on US security guarantees, territorial control in Donbas, and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. 2/
Trump expects to speak with Putin “soon, as much as I want.”

The comments came a day after Zelenskyy spoke with Trump envoys Witkoff and Kushner. Zelenskyy called that a good conversation. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Dec 26
Russia isn’t winning — but Putin wants you to believe it is.

After 4 years of war, Ukraine still stands. Russians failed to take Kyiv and achieve a breakthrough. Putin’s strategy now is to convince the U.S. that Ukraine cannot succeed — Shaheen & McConnell, Washington Post. 1/ Image
In 2022, U.S. intelligence predicted Kyiv would fall within weeks. Instead, Ukraine stopped Russia, pushed it away from Kyiv, and confined Russian forces to the east. Those early predictions were wrong — then and now. 2/
After nearly four years of war, Russia has lost about one-third of its strategic bombers and more than 1 million killed or wounded. Equipment losses remain higher than Ukraine’s, despite Moscow’s full war economy. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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