Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 15
Stalin expected to crush Finland in 10 days. It took 105 days and 400,000 Soviet casualties. He got 10% of Finnish territory.

Putin invaded Ukraine expecting a quick victory parade. 4 years later, Russia controls just 20% of pre-war Ukrainian territory — WP. 1/ Image
Stalin's USSR had 170 million people vs Finland's 3.5 million. A Soviet general told Stalin it would take 10 days max.

Molotov said Stalin wanted to celebrate his birthday "on the steps of Finland's Parliament in precisely 20 days." 2/
The war ended March 13, 1940 — over three months later with massive Soviet losses the Kremlin concealed.

Stalin had to settle for a fraction of what he wanted. Sound familiar? 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 15
Petraeus: This is Ukraine's greatest generation.

When the cessation of hostilities begins, we're going to see Ukraine as the greatest military industrial complex in the West, building an entirely new country focused on new technologies and new economic endeavors. 1/
Petraeus: Ukraine is producing tomorrow's technology for today's war. West produces yesterday's technology for tomorrow's wars. That's got to be changed dramatically.

They've got to overhaul that, bring it more up to date, to reflect how warfare is evolving on the ground, in the air and on the sea in Ukraine. 2/
Petraeus: What allies have got to do is not fall into the trap of buying legacy systems rather than buying what is the future of warfare. The place to see that is in Ukraine.

We‘ve got to learn how they have shortened the kill chain. It starts with new concepts for operations that turn into doctrine. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Rubio: The US and Europe are heirs to the same civilization.

From language to law to government, America is built on Western foundations. This alliance is not just military or commercial, it is civilizational. 1/
Rubio: When the US sounds critical about Europe, it is because we care. Our fate is intertwined with Europe’s. We want Europe to survive and prosper.

But this must be an alliance of partners willing and capable of fighting for who they are and what matters to them. 2/
Rubio: China is not the new Soviet Union. But there are parallels. Our future will be stronger if we address shared challenges together.

Great powers must maintain dialogue. It would be irresponsible not to talk and avoid unnecessary conflict. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Starmer: Europe is a sleeping giant. Our economies dwarf Russia’s — by more than 10 times over. We have enormous defense capabilities.

Europe has more than 20 types of frigates, around 10 types of fighter jets, over 10 types of main battle tanks. Meanwhile, the US has one. 1/
Starmer: Russia has made a huge strategic blunder in Ukraine. Russian casualties number well over a million.

But even as the war continues, Russia is rearming and reconstituting its armed forces and industrial base. 2/
Starmer: Even if a peace deal in Ukraine is struck, Russia’s rearmament would likely only accelerate. The wider danger to Europe would not end there. It would increase.

We must respond to this threat in full. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 15
Rubio: The U.S. is not leaving NATO. We have thousands of troops deployed and may shift some forces, as we always have, but our commitment stands.

We welcome stronger NATO capabilities and greater influence from allies. That’s a positive, not a threat.

1/
Rubio: We don’t want Europe to be dependent on America. We’re not asking Europe to be a vassal, we want to be partners.

The stronger each country and NATO as a whole are, the stronger the alliance is.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Europe: “We’ll send peacekeeping troops to Ukraine.”

Voters: “No, you won’t.”

Politico: 53% of Germans oppose sending troops. 43% of French voters say no. Even if that risks a fragile ceasefire.

1/ Image
Only the U.K. and Canada show more support than opposition for sending troops to secure a postwar deal.

Western unity fractures when boots hit the ground.

2/
In the U.S., 43% oppose deploying troops to Ukraine. 37% support it.

That aligns with Trump’s position: no American forces will be sent.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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