Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 25
Ukraine Def. Minister Mykhailo Fedorov: cut Russia’s Starlink access, signed a record Patriot missile contract, bought more drones in one quarter than in all of last year, launched an AI center, reorganized the MoD and started an audit of the defense-industrial complex. 1/ Image
Three months of new leadership — Fedorov for United24. First move: together with SpaceX, they cut Russia’s access to Starlink terminals. The Russian army lost communications for managing Shahed drones. 2/
Created a dedicated small air defense command and appointed Pavlo Lazar as deputy commander. Introduced after-action review for every strike on critical infrastructure and a rapid response mechanism. Interception rates across all aerial threats increased. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 25
“I am Ukrainian. If you [Russians] come here, I will have no choice but to kill every one of you who signs a contract.”

A Ukrainian soldier crashed a Russian university recruitment Zoom call in Krasnodar after posing as a Russian drone officer — The Telegraph. 1/
“The front line has barely moved in four years and Russia’s invasion created “a cemetery the size of two countries. Any Russian who steps onto Ukrainian soil will be killed.” 2/
The call took place at Kuban State Agrarian University, where students were being recruited for Russia’s drone forces. Staff cut the feed only after he warned that all their faces were recorded. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 25
China is expanding into Russian-occupied Ukraine. Its firms handle cash-yuan trade at 80 Donbas bank branches and ship mining equipment and heavy trucks across the occupied territory.

Beijing officially does not recognize the occupation — United24. 1/ Image
Large state-owned Chinese corporations avoid the region to dodge secondary sanctions. Medium-sized private firms fill the gap.

Chinese students and community leaders based in Russia act as intermediaries, keeping ties with manufacturers back home. 2/
In 2022, occupation authorities revived the abandoned Karan quarry in Donetsk. By late 2023, it signed deals with two Chinese firms for rock-crushing equipment.

Locals now call it the "Chinese quarry." Its stone builds the Novorossiya highway linking Rostov to Crimea. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 25
The US-Israeli war on Iran is a gift to Moscow and Beijing.

Russia and China are feeding Iran a full kill chain — imagery and signals intelligence for targeting US and Israeli forces, plus damage assessment after the strikes — Jon B. Alterman and Ali Vaez, Foreign Affairs. 1/ Image
Moscow and Beijing see the Ukraine playbook in reverse. The US has tied down Russia for four years at a cost of tens of billions.

Now they want the US mired in a simmering Gulf war that drains American resources and erodes its standing. 2/
Trump waived sanctions on Russian oil to rein in prices — an economic windfall for Moscow.

Iran's Shahed, upgraded with Russian battlefield lessons from Ukraine, now penetrates US-engineered defenses. Moscow is sharing further enhancements with Tehran. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 25
Stubb: If Russia fired missiles at 12 European countries, we’d call it world war.

Europe’s position is clear: keep the Strait of Hormuz open and defend freedom of navigation. Once there’s a ceasefire or deal, Europe can help monitor and secure it with allies. 1/
Stubb: Any Iran deal has four pillars: uranium enrichment, ending proxy groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis, limiting missiles, and securing the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran now sees Hormuz as leverage — a kind of economic nuclear weapon controlling 20% of global oil exports. 2/
Stubb: Russia-Ukraine talks are stuck for two reasons: US focus on Iran and Russia’s unwillingness to make peace.

Three scenarios remain — war continues, peace, or one side weakens. The most likely is continued war, with Ukraine in a much stronger position than a year ago. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Apr 24
Ukraine is producing drone unicorns worth over $1 bn The founders will be extraordinarily wealthy. The soldiers who fought for those companies to exist may return to bombed factories and destroyed housing.

After WWII the US faced the same problem — Mitzie Purdue in KyivPost. 1/ Image
Dmytro Kavun, president of Dignitas Ukraine, has spent two decades in cybersecurity and works closely with Ukraine’s defense-tech ecosystem.

He says several Ukrainian drone companies are on track to reach billion-dollar valuations. US investors are eager to buy. 2/
These companies built something remarkable. Engineers and startup founders with no military background coordinated with soldiers on the battlefield daily, sometimes hourly.

New technologies deployed in weeks, not the years it takes in the West. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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