Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 5
Kyrylo Veres, commander of Ukraine’s K2 unmanned systems brigade: Reaching 50,000 confirmed enemy losses per month is realistic.

Unconfirmed can become near 80,000.

When you add unverified losses from infantry, and artillery, the real number is much higher.

1/
Kyrylo Veres: In the army, every specialist has a cost. As cynical as it sounds.

Training an FPV drone pilot costs about 300 times more than training an infantryman.

2/
Kyrylo Veres: If there’s another breakthrough toward Kyiv, many fighters will want to leave to defend their homes. Then it will collapse on both fronts.

I know this personally — in 2022, when my home near Kyiv was occupied, I begged my brigade commander to let me go.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
Zelenskyy: I hear signals about recognizing occupied Ukrainian territories as Russian to end the war.

That would change nothing. Not everyone would accept it, and only Ukraine signs for Ukraine. Our territories remain ours.

1/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine’s security guarantees will rest on preserving an 800,000-strong army and, after the war or a ceasefire, transitioning it from a mobilized force to a professional contract army.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Feb 5
Vance: We will work with Russia and China to reduce the amount of nuclear weapons in the world.

When Trump draws the “red line”, like that Iran can’t have nuclear weapons, he always keeps his options open, and only uses military strength when there are no options left.

1/
Vance: If Russia or China controlled Greenland, America’s missile defense wouldn’t work.

In a missile attack on the U.S., we simply couldn’t defend ourselves.

2/
Vance: We disagree a lot with Russia, but there may be limited areas of cooperation.

Putin should not have invaded Ukraine, and we will work to end the war. But U.S. policy isn’t about simple friends and enemies.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 5
Zelenskyy: It will take the Russians at least two years to capture Donbas, but they won't last that long.

It will cost them another 800,000 lives.

If we freeze the front line, that would be a significant concession on our part.

1/
Zelenskyy: Putin only fears Donald Trump, so Trump won’t accept all Russian conditions.

Trump knows that he has leverage over Russia through the economy, sanctions and arms supplies.

We are grateful to the Europeans. They have helped us a lot. But Putin is not afraid of them.2/
Zelenskyy: If we lose the war, we will become part of Russia.

We will simply lose our country's independence.

But I am confident that this will not happen.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 5
The Kremlin directly runs cyberattacks against the West.

Russia’s military intelligence (GRU) created, funded, and directed CyberArmyofRussia_Reborn, which attacked US and European critical infrastructure. One of the member is being tried in US court — Kyiv Independent. 1/ Image
In January 2024, Russian hackers remotely sabotaged the water system of Muleshoe, Texas.

They disabled sensors so tanks overflowed. The attackers later posted control-room footage on Telegram, openly claiming responsibility. 2/
The US Justice Department says CARR operated under GRU command.

A GRU officer selected targets, paid for hacking services, and coordinated operations. “Hacktivism” served as cover for state-run cyber operations. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 4
Kellogg: The longer the days go by, the better it is for Ukraine than it is for Russia. This war has gone on for four years.

Russia's only been able to take 1% more land. Once you get through the winter, I think it’s better for Ukraine than for Russia. 1/
Kellogg: Putin’s losses have been so severe, economic and personal, that he’s trying to find a way out of this. When he says he’s winning, I don’t think he’s winning this war. Historically, they will find they have failed. Ukrainians have done very well. 2/
Kellogg: In World War II with the Baltic states, the Welles Doctrine recognized no land conquered through aggression. I think the same thing is going to happen here. You don’t recognize it legally, and over time you hope that it changes. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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