Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!
Kuleba: Russia uses talks to buy time, not to stop the war.
They are open to talks, but too far from settlement to stop.
They will keep bombing and advancing. For Ukraine, nothing has changed — we must survive what may be the hardest winter of our independence.
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Kuleba: A ceasefire is impossible without three detailed agreements approved by Ukraine: security guarantees, Ukraine’s reconstruction, and EU membership.
Without these, there are no real guarantees the deal will hold — and no reason for Ukraine to make concessions.
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Kuleba: EU accession is first of all about money. The EU budget runs in 7-year cycles, and the next one starts in 2028.
If funding for Ukraine’s enlargement isn’t built into that budget by 2027, adding it later will be extremely hard.
Rutte: We’re coming up to the 4th anniversary of Russia's all-out war on Ukraine.
This is the harshest winter for Ukrainians in over a decade. It is -20°C in Kyiv. Russia is heavily targeting civilian infrastructure, leaving Ukrainians in freezing cold without heat or water. 1/
Rutte: Europe cannot provide enough of what Ukraine needs to defend itself today and to deter tomorrow.
Without flow of weaponry from the US, we cannot keep Ukraine in the fight. They provide interceptors to take down missiles going into Kyiv. 2/
Rutte: The time when we let the US carry much of the burden for our shared security is over. It's fair that Europe and Canada take more responsibility for their own security. And they do. 3/
Stoltenberg on Greenland: It’s serious when NATO's biggest ally, the US, is challenging the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Denmark and Greenland.
Especially because the core mission of NATO is to protect borders and sovereignty. 1/
Stoltenberg on progress in Davos: When there are disagreements among NATO allies, it’s good to find different platforms for talking.
There have been some contacts between Denmark and the US. That's a good thing. 2/
Stoltenberg on the existential moment for NATO: It's serious. We have made it clear that Greenland is part of the Kingdom of Denmark that has been recognized by Nordics and the US for many years.
There are challenges in the Arctic strategically. 3/
Russia has just 3 Oreshnik missiles but is trying to scare Europe with a growing “arsenal”.
Ukrainian Foreign Intelligence (FISU): The system is a tool for intimidating Ukraine’s partners, but it's combat performance is dubious and relies on outdated technology — United 24. 1/
FISU: Moscow plans to start serial production of Oreshnik in 2026, aiming for at least five missiles per year. But its combat value is doubtful.
The system relies on Soviet-era designs, suffers frequent failures, and one launch reportedly flew without a proper warhead. 2/
The Oreshnik strike on Lviv earlier this month appears to have been psychological, not kinetic.
With only a handful of missiles available, Moscow is using them to amplify fear and political pressure on Europe. They compensate for limited stock with intimidation. 3X
Three Ukrainian officers carried out a solo assault in Lyman, and captured a Russian infiltration group — United24.
Officer “Fifteen”: “Orel” was wounded, but he didn't mention it when we were escorting the prisoners. He said he didn't want them to hear it and get any ideas. 1/
Three officers — Granat, Fifteen, and Orel, launched the operation after intel confirmed Russian troops inside the town.
Russians had set up a covert outpost in a basement, with antennas, radios, ammo, thermobaric grenades, and supplies — planning to hold until reinforcements arrived.
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The assault was coordinated with aerial reconnaissance. After a short firefight, the Russian soldiers surrendered.
The Pentagon has unveiled a new US defense strategy: Russia will remain a persistent but manageable threat to NATO's eastern members for the near future.
Russia suffers from demographic and economic issues. Moscow is not in a position to make a bid for European hegemony. 1/
Russia still retains deep reservoirs of military and industrial power. Russia has also shown that it has the national resolve required to sustain a protracted war in its near abroad. 2/
Our NATO allies are strongly positioned to take primary responsibility for Europe's conventional defense, with critical but more limited US support. 3/