Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

May 13
Putin said the war in Ukraine may be "coming to an end." In April, Russia lost 45 sq miles — its first net territorial loss since August 2024.

Ukrainian strikes cut Russian oil exports from 5.2M to 3.5M barrels a day. — The Guardian.

1/ Image
In April, Russia lost 45 sq miles of Ukrainian territory — the first net loss since August 2024. Ukraine recaptured Kupiansk in December.

Gains in Zaporizhzhia reversed after Russia lost Starlink access. A slow-motion Russian victory no longer looks certain.

2/
Ukraine claims it killed or wounded more Russian soldiers than Russia recruited for five straight months.

March and April: ~35,000 casualties each month. Russian recruitment: 24,000–30,000 per month. Putin has no appetite for a second public mobilization.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 13
Keane: Five weeks of talks have produced almost no progress.

Iran still refuses to dismantle its nuclear enterprise, wants indefinite control of Hormuz, and wants the US to finance regime recovery through reparations, unfrozen assets, and sanctions relief. 1/
Keane: A deal like that would favor Iran and set back both the Iranian people and US interests.

Tehran would use the money to rebuild its nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and proxies — the very things this war was launched to stop. 2/
Keane: After all this time trying to negotiate, Washington should recognize that no deal meeting its objectives is available.

The best option is to return to full combat operations, finish what we started, and go full throttle with Israel for one to two weeks. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 12
Putin ran a parade he could not defend.

If the US and Europe keep Kyiv funded and armed, Ukraine can negotiate from strength.

The fastest way to prolong the war is to offer Putin an exit that preserves his system — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Putin sells inevitability. The parade showed vulnerability.
Ukraine can now hit deep inside Russia. Putin avoided parking real hardware at a known place and time. 2/
After the spectacle, Putin said: "I think that the matter is coming to an end."
He still calls this war a "special operation." The language stays. The capacity shrinks. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 12
Belarus already gave Russia territory for the 2022 assault on Kyiv, launched missiles from its soil, repaired Russian tanks, and treated wounded soldiers.

But Putin appears to want more and is pressuring Lukashenko[Putin’s puppet] to deepen Belarus’s role in the war, Times. 1/ Image
Ukraine now fortifies the 1,080 km Belarus border with mines, trenches, anti-tank barriers, sensors, barbed wire, and anti-drone defenses.

The Rivne crossing, once used by thousands daily, now sits behind minefields and armored patrols. 2/
Zelenskyy: Belarus is building roads toward Ukraine and placing artillery near the border.

Ukraine also reported “unusual activity” on the Belarusian side on May 2. 3/
Read 11 tweets
May 12
Trump arrives in Beijing as a weakened president.

The Iran war unresolved, the Strait of Hormuz still closed, tariffs failing.

Xi holds the cards, including a near-monopoly over rare earths and critical minerals. — Gideon Rachman, FT.

1/ Image
When Trump imposed 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, Beijing restricted mineral exports.

US factory production lines shut down within weeks. Within months — a trade truce.

2/
China's AI models are now roughly six months behind US rivals. Electric vehicles — China is ahead. Nvidia is lobbying to soften chip export restrictions, arguing it will lose markets to Chinese competitors.

The US lead in technology is narrowing.

3/
Read 7 tweets
May 12
Germany and Ukraine will jointly produce long range drones that can fly 1,500 km.

Ukraine needs reach to hit launch sites and logistics deep behind Russian lines.

Germany wants Ukraine’s battlefield feedback loop built into production — Kyiv Post. 1/ Image
Boris Pistorius came to Kyiv quietly for a reason.

Weapons cooperation is no longer about just deliveries. Now Ukraine is building joint manufacturing capacity. 2/
The project spans two layers.

Short range systems under 100 km for the front, and deep strike platforms up to 1,500 km. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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