Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Good evening. Day 5 after the latest Russian attack on Kyiv. Day 277 of the war. I am president of the Kyiv School of Economics, a former minister of economy of Ukraine, and a professor of economics at the University of Pittsburgh. I left the US for Kyiv 4 days before the war 1/ Image
and stayed there, with some short trips outside of Ukraine for fundraising. Officially, I am on sabbatical leave from Pittsburgh this year. I guess not many people have field sabbaticals, here the field is a war. I left the US because I must lead the Kyiv School of 2/
Economics through the war. I hold a green card and can leave Ukraine at any moment. But I do not want to and will not do it. Now, back to my day. It was busy and I am tired. Shopping, looking and assembling things. In short, preparing for another likely Russian attack tomorrow 3/
We got our super warm winter hiking clothing out. Many people suggested that we can sleep in a tent in our bedroom. So we dug out sleeping bags and went to buy a tent. 4/ Image
The shops were open and it was Black Friday. Everything on sale. But when we were about to pay, the electricity went off. The shop had a battery and continued to run. They used Xmas lights to save electricity instead of their regular ones. It was very cozy. Here is a pic. 5/ Image
Many people suggested that when the electricity and heating go out, we use candles or gas / kerosine heaters to warm the apartment. We decided against it. First, it is not too safe for novices. Second, none are on the market or we could find. So, we drove to 6/
another store to get at least some wood and coal. The plan is to use an simple and small firewood oven that we can set up on our balcony if all else fails. How do you drive when there is no lights in the city, that is, no traffic lights? Traffic police come out! My respect! 7/ Image
We wanted to try the firewood idea, just to practice, when we get home. But we got exhausted bringing all this stuff to the 8th floor. So, we will try it another time. Will post the picture. Yet, my wife wanted some tea anyway. And also she wanted to get hot water 8/ Image
for the morning. She asked me to start the generator so she can use electric tea pot. I did and discovered another problem. The snow on the balcony has melted. And the generator was sliding towards the windows because of vibration. I need a way to fix it in place, but that’s 9/
for tomorrow. Anyway, the water is boiled and stored in thermoses. We have two, one liter each. Perhaps, we should get more. We can probably order them delivered. Here is a pic of a delivery man on a bike 90 mins before the curfew. 10/ Image
That’s a private service. Public services work too. Here is a tractor shoveling snow on a sidewalk. All pictures taken when we were driving back from a mall. 11/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The mall looked normal too except for occasionally blinking light, shortage of products in electrical and heating departments, and occasional assignments by managers to their staff to remember to start generators for the night. There was even a sushi restaurant. A good one. 12/ Image
In the morning, we checked out a center of “nezlamnost”. These are shelters when people can get warm, get some tea, access internet, and power their devices. Here is a Starlinks set up for you :). Very cute! 13/ Image
The center is run by a charity organization “solomenski cats”. Solomenski is the place. Here is their logo. We proposed to them to equip 10 more centers like that and KSE Foundation will match / provide 50% of funding. The rest they should raise themselves 14/ Image
The centers are set up officially at the request / initiative of the president and mayors. There is some funding. For basics. They are set up in hospitals and schools. The problem is that often money is not enough. You should have organizational and procurement capability 15/ Image
This is where we will try to help. Finally, I posted separately about our students spending the last night at the university building (we have one, no dorm). Here are some pics. 16/ twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
We are ready for another attack. Russians often hit on Monday. That’s tomorrow. Every time damages get worse. No water and heat for days. But people are adapting. You can donate to KSE here. Thank you so much for your support!!!

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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 6
Foreman: Putin wasn't a major figure in the KGB. He was a functionary in a minor town in East Germany.

The head of the KGB residency there didn't even know who he was. He was spying on East Germans, not the West. 1/
Foreman: The judo analogy fits Putin better than the idea that he is a grand strategist playing multidimensional chess.

He is reactive. He sees opportunities and takes them rather than following some master plan. 2/
Foreman: There's a huge plot around Putin in many books. People imagine secret KGB circles planning Russia's future for decades.

I think that's rubbish. Putin was a functionary who got his chance, grabbed it and consolidated power. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 6
Foreman, ex-attaché in Moscow: Putin saw Biden as a weak touch after the evacuation from Afghanistan. He looked at Biden and thought: You're weak. I can get away with it

He chose badly. NATO stood together. America stood with Ukraine. Ukrainians fought for their independence. 1/
Foreman: Putin launched the invasion to absorb Ukraine, Ukrainian statehood and nationhood, and Ukrainians as an independent people, and bring them back into the fold.

He believes Russia cannot be a great power without Ukraine. 2/
Foreman: Putin wanted to push back against the 1991 settlement. He and the Siloviki [Russia's security elite] believed Russia had lost the Cold War.

They wanted Russia to regain its place as an independent great power on the world stage. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 5
Krzysztof Bosak, a far-right deputy speaker of Poland’s parliament, says the government secretly transferred Patriot missiles to Ukraine in March.

Poland’s Defence Ministry says the list of military aid is classified — European Pravda. 1/ Image
Bosak says the missiles were bought from the U.S. for Poland’s own layered air defense system.

The interceptors are needed for Poland’s defense against Russian Iskander missiles in Kaliningrad. 2/
The government has not publicly confirmed the transfer.

Deputy Defence Minister Cezary Tomczyk told Polsat News that the list of aid to Ukraine is secret.
But presidential official Marcin Przydacz said the transfer was “highly likely.” 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jul 5
FSB chief Alexander Bortnikov is personally overseeing an information operation to split Ukraine and Poland.

Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation says FSB will use forged WWII-era documents about the Volhynia tragedy, — United24. 1/ Image
The campaign is expected to intensify on July 5 through Russian state-controlled media.

Ukraine says Russian services want to publish fabricated historical materials and push them into Polish and Ukrainian information spaces. 2/
The target is to reopen historical wounds between Ukrainians and Poles.

The Volhynia tragedy remains one of the most sensitive issues in bilateral relations.

Moscow wants this dispute to weaken today’s strategic partnership. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 5
Ukraine publicly displayed its US-supplied Harpoon coastal defense missile system for the first time since receiving it in 2022.

The missile can strike maritime targets at roughly 70–130 nautical miles, or 130–240 km, depending on the version, United24 Media. 1/ Image
Ukraine showed the Harpoon launcher during Zelenskyy’s visit to Odesa region on July 4.

The Navy also presented domestically produced Neptune missiles, unmanned systems and torpedo weapons as part of a meeting on security in southern Ukraine. 2/
Ukraine received Harpoon coastal defense systems from the US and Denmark in 2022.

The missiles have been used operationally since the early stages of delivery, but the launchers had not been officially shown until now. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 5
German tanks are returning to a region they once razed.

For the first time since the Cold War, Germany is permanently deploying military units abroad: the 45th Panzer Brigade in Lithuania, as American forces in the region dwindle, The Economist. 1/ Image
The 45th Brigade trained along Lithuania’s border with Belarus to be ready to fight tonight to defend Vilnius and hold the Suwalki corridor.

It will grow from 1,600 soldiers to around 5,000 by the end of 2027, with armour, artillery, drones and air defence. 2/
Under “NATO 3.0,” America demands that Europeans lead their own conventional defence while the US provides a nuclear umbrella.

Germany plans to spend 3.5% of GDP on defence by 2029 and could outspend Britain and France combined by decade’s end. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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