Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pittsburgh
Apr 6 5 tweets 2 min read
Zelenskyy: We proposed to Russia a ceasefire for Easter. But for them all times are the same.

There is nothing sacred to them. If Russia can afford this war and finance it, it will not move toward peace on its own. That is why pressure on the aggressor cannot drop. 1/ Zelenskyy: Our long-range sanctions are working. They are cutting Russian revenues, above all oil revenues.

Only serious financial losses force Russia to think about an exit from the war. Everything Russia earns from shock oil prices, it will pour back into war. 2/
Apr 6 9 tweets 3 min read
Trump spent his first year back in office imposing tariffs on Europe, threatening to withdraw US troops, and flirting with NATO exit. Europe wants to reduce its dependence on Washington.

But the US accounts for over 20% of European exports — Jacob Kirkegaard, Foreign Affairs. 1/ Image Two-thirds of Europe's cloud market runs on Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Three quarters of European firms run on US software.

Visa and Mastercard handle roughly two-thirds of card transactions in the euro area. 2/
Apr 6 5 tweets 2 min read
DW: Ukrainians bring a lot of expertise in UK. They are showing the British how they operate drones.

"Our partners have a certain understanding of drones, but they have not encountered them. They don't fully understand how drones affect the battlefield, how intense it is.” 1/ Ukrainian serviceman: A Ukrainian warrior is an intellectual warrior. He knows why he's going to the front. He knows what he has to do at the front. This is in contrast to the Russian soldier who doesn't know why he's there, who gets sent there by Putin. 2/
Apr 6 10 tweets 2 min read
Orbán has vetoed more EU decisions than any leader in the bloc's history.

On April 12, Hungarians vote in what may end his 16-year grip on power — AP News. 1/ Image "He entered a club, read the rules, figured out how he can rig the rules, and then started to blackmail all of the other club members" — Dániel Hegedűs, Institute for European Politics. 2/
Apr 6 6 tweets 3 min read
Syrskyi: Russia gets about $700M a day from oil, and that money finances the war.

Our strikes on refineries, Ust-Luga, Primorsk, and missile plants are strategic actions. They cut export capacity, hit military production, and reduce the aggressor’s offensive potential. 1/ Syrskyi: There is no instant straight line from a strike on Ust-Luga to a trench in the east.

But the effect builds over time: fuel delays, disrupted deliveries, tanks that do not arrive, missiles that do not fly, and a smaller stockpile for Russia’s war machine. 2/
Apr 6 6 tweets 3 min read
Syrskyi: Since Jan. 29, we have been conducting an offensive operation on the Oleksandrivsk direction.

As of today, we have liberated more than 480 sq. km. Those actions forced Russia to change plans and shift part of its forces from the Pokrovsk direction. 1/ Syrskyi: Russia advertised a “spring offensive.” In reality, it never stopped attacking. But its plans were disrupted. Pokrovsk still stands.

Every day the enemy attacks, takes losses, rolls back, and ends with dead and wounded — but no success. 2/
Apr 6 5 tweets 2 min read
Bolton: We need to accelerate opening the Strait of Hormuz. We need to tell China it is not getting another barrel of oil from the Gulf.

We need to blockade the strait so no more Iranian oil gets out. And we need to keep going after regime leaders and the Revolutionary Guard 1/ Bolton: I think the regime is beginning to fracture.

And let’s be clear: what we have seen so far shows why the only path to lasting peace and security is to get rid of the regime itself. We should be doing a lot more to help the regime’s opponents inside Iran. 2/
Apr 6 5 tweets 2 min read
Trump: Unfortunately, the American people would like to see us come home.

If it were up to me, I'd take the oil, I would make plenty of money.

I'd also take care of the people of Iran much better than they've been taken care of. They've killed 45,000 protesters. 1/ Trump: We sent guns, a lot of guns [to Iran]. They were supposed to go to the people so they could fight back.

The people they sent them to, kept them because they said, what a beautiful gun, I think I'll keep it. I'm very upset with a certain group of people. 2/
Apr 5 11 tweets 2 min read
Russia is moving missile production facilities deeper into its territory.

Ukraine's drone and missile campaign forces the Kremlin to retreat from strike range

Kyiv's long-range strategy is working, — The Telegraph. 1/ Image Roscosmos, Russia's space agency heavily involved in missile production, will relocate facilities from Moscow region to Omsk in Siberia and Perm near the Urals — both far beyond Ukraine's current strike range. 2/
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
How exactly did Ukrainian troops "fuck" NATO during Hedgehog drill?

Daily Mail: First, NATO troops didn't check the roads, some blew up on mines. Next, they got spotted by drones.

Attack drones hit several vehicles at once when parked too close, and hit tanks on the move.

1/ Ukrainian pilots destroyed 17 armored vehicles in a few hours, and defeated 6000 NATO soldiers in 4 days, defending their position.

One NATO commander said: “We are fu**ed”.

2/
Apr 5 5 tweets 2 min read
Korcok, former Slovakia FM: For me, pragmatism means nothing when Fico is betraying the national interests of Slovakia.

He is losing credibility, has no influence within the European Union, and is destroying the credibility of Slovakia. 1/ Korcok: Fico is misleading the public. It is ridiculous to say Ukraine damaged the pipeline.

The cause is Russian aggression and the consequence is that the EU decided to stop taking Russian oil and gas.

While Fico is missing Russian oil, Zelenskyy is missing peace. 2/
Apr 5 11 tweets 3 min read
Here is how the US rescued a downed airman from deep inside Iran.

A two-day manhunt, a CIA deception operation, dozens of aircraft, Special Forces on the ground — while Iranian state TV broadcast a reward for his capture, writes Washington Post. 1/ Image Friday: a US F-15E was shot down over Iran. Both crew members ejected. The pilot was found and rescued quickly.

The weapons system officer was missing. Iranian television broadcast a reward for his capture and called on residents to "target" any Americans they found. 2/
Apr 5 8 tweets 2 min read
Imagine Amazon — but for combat drones. Ukraine built it. Commanders log in, browse hundreds of drone models, pay with brigade credits and receive delivery in 5-10 days.

Successful strikes earn bonus credits. No other military in the world does this — NYT. 1/ Image Capt. Denys Poliachenko was in an icy bunker near Pokrovsk. Russian forces were building up 20 miles away.

His attack drones could not reach that far. He opened his phone and ordered a cold-weather long-range model. "I can order any device sitting in a dugout". 2/
Apr 5 13 tweets 3 min read
A Russian soldier winds along a woodland path, unaware a Ukrainian drone is six minutes away. From a bunker 12 miles away, his thermal signature glows white on a grayscale screen.

Ukraine’s spring offensive reclaimed 400-435 sq km in the south in six weeks — The Times. 1/ Image Two months ago the 82nd Air Assault Brigade was pulled from Pokrovsk to stop a Russian advance at Huliaipole.

Russians were moving 7 km a day, threatening Zaporizhzhia and Pavlohrad — where Ukraine produces rocket fuel for missiles. 2/
Apr 5 9 tweets 4 min read
Russian soldier now fighting for Ukraine: We were told that the Russian army was greeted with open arms.

I was mobilized into the Russian army in 2022. I ended up in the 83rd Separate Airborne Assault Brigade.

Russians tried to re-educate me. Then they decided to bury me. 1/ “Black”: They tried to re-educate me. They showed me videos about biolaboratories, Odessa 2014.

And then told me: “There's nothing to talk to you about”. They decided to send me to waste. 2/
Apr 5 10 tweets 2 min read
“The main motive was to stop the enemy invasion on our land” — Ukrainian officer “Dutchman.”

He left civilian life and joined a volunteer battalion in 2022 as Russia launched a full-scale invasion.

Dutchman had left the army in 2017 — and returned when war began, ArmyInform. 1/ Image His parents reacted “very badly.”

“Dear son, there is war here, what if you get killed?” he recalls. “Of course the reaction was negative.” They still worry, he says, as he serves on the front and rarely comes home. 2/
Apr 5 4 tweets 2 min read
Kasparov: Putin is war. As long as Putin’s Russia exists, the war will continue.

A sovereign Ukraine cannot stand next to this empire, because Ukraine negates its whole logic. This is not chess. There is no draw here. He has to destroy Ukrainian statehood. 1/ Kasparov: Only Ukrainian victory can create conditions for a normal Russian state.

Ukraine that endures and wins becomes the gravedigger of Russian imperialism — the virus that mutated through centuries. That is why Ukraine’s victory is not regional. It is historic. 2X
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
Kasparov: The Iran war has sharply changed the Russia-Ukraine equation.

Arab monarchies that had been pro-Russian because of money laundering and smuggling are now signing deals with Ukraine, because drones made in Iran with that money are flying at them. 1/ Kasparov: Unexpectedly, Zelenskyy is becoming a key figure for states that once leaned toward Moscow.

Laundering money was one thing. But when Iranian drones made with that money start flying at you, Ukraine suddenly becomes the partner that matters most. 2/
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
Kasparov: Hegseth is simply not the kind of person the Pentagon needs in wartime.

One of America’s worst miscalculations was failing to prepare for drone war.

I connect that directly to Trump’s attitude toward Ukraine and to corruption inside the administration. 1/ Kasparov: Russian space intelligence is helping Iran hit American aircraft.

You do not strike planes that accurately without satellite reconnaissance. Yet Washington keeps brushing it off, even though the planes are already hit and that is visible reality. 2/
Apr 5 5 tweets 2 min read
Rubio (2015): Iran after sanctions relief will build up its capabilities, establish dominant military power in the region, and raise the price of U.S. operating there.

They'll build anti-access capabilities, target U.S. servicemen, try to pull us out of the Middle East. 1/ Rubio: At some point Iran will build a nuclear weapon because they will know we can no longer strike their program. This is not imagination.

It exists today. It's called North Korea, where a regime has nuclear weapons and we cannot do anything about it. 2/
Apr 5 14 tweets 3 min read
In 2014, Col. Dovhal's unit aimed Soviet howitzers by hand with artillery compasses, correcting fire by phone through locals.

By 2025, his 147th Separate Artillery Brigade — built from scratch in a year — runs drones, interceptors, EW, and ground robots, UP. 1/ Image The brigade fields 3 artillery battalions, a dedicated recon battalion, FPV and bomber drone units, electronic warfare, and logistics running on unmanned ground vehicles — all under one command on the Pokrovsk axis. 2/