Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pitt...
Jul 20 10 tweets 3 min read
Russia is firing missiles faster than its factories build them. In 19 days of July, it launched 20 Zircons out of the 30 it is expected to produce in all of 2026.

It spent two-thirds of the year's planned Zircon output already, drawing on its reserve — United24. 1/ Image Alongside those 20 Zircons, Russia fired 107 ballistic missiles between July 1 and 19, counted from daily reports by Ukraine's Air Force and regional air commands.

That ballistic total alone already surpassed what Russia's factories are estimated to build in a full month. 2/
Jul 20 5 tweets 2 min read
Palantir CEO Karp: Without AI systems, Russia would have won.

Without these technologies, Europe would face rampant terror attacks, and pro-Putin parties would run Europe. Europe as we know it exists because these tools are already in use.

1/ Karp: I will not support any party that sympathizes with Putin or the CCP.

These parties are complex, but they include people I suspect would not like me very much.

2/
Jul 20 15 tweets 6 min read
Chmut: Russia has no military genius. Its system fits the Russian dying in Donbas and commanders like him. Moscow waits for Ukraine to crack. Ukraine must crack Russia first.

Head of Ukraine’s top-funded defense charity “Come Back Alive,” Taras Chmut spoke to UkrPravda.

1/ Chmut: The Defense Ministry cannot make big changes without the Armed Forces. If the General Staff blocks them, nothing moves.

Fedorov had worked on drones, innovation, partners and procurement since 2022. Zelenskyy knew this fight existed when he appointed him.

2/
Jul 20 14 tweets 3 min read
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi: I was surprised to hear I had a conflict with Fedorov. I saw hard questions and different views as normal work in a major war.

Fedorov, if I offended you, I apologize. I can be tough, –– Militarnyi.

1/ Image Syrskyi: Ukraine is bigger than Fedorov, Syrskyi, or any of us. It will stand because it has an army, institutions and millions doing their jobs.

Turning the war into a fight between two names helps the enemy. Real work wins wars, not public drama.

2/
Jul 20 8 tweets 2 min read
Europe’s biggest alumina plant sits in Ireland, and is tied to sanctioned oligarch Oleg Deripaska, and sends much of its output to Russia.

Kyiv wants the flow cut. Dublin fears sanctions could put nearly 900 local jobs at risk, — FT. 1/ Image The plant produces raw material for aluminium.

Questions now focus on how much of its output reaches Russia and whether it supports military production in Siberia. Ireland says it has no proof of that link. 2/
Jul 20 6 tweets 3 min read
McFaul: Trump’s strategy was to appease Putin by making concessions without demanding anything in return.

He ruled out NATO membership for Ukraine and halted military and economic aid. Putin gave him nothing. Trump now seems to realize appeasement does not work. 1/ McFaul: Russia’s military has grown stronger, producing large numbers of drones and ballistic missiles.

The US and Europe, especially NATO’s eastern flank, must do more and coordinate joint defense commitments with Ukraine. 2/
Jul 19 4 tweets 2 min read
Kasparov: Ukrainians are publicly holding President Zelenskyy accountable during wartime.

It is the pulse of a living democracy. Even under Russian missile attacks, Ukraine's whole society is fighting for freedom, statehood, and its future. 1/ Kasparov: Ukraine's strike on the Wildberries storages targeted Russia's military logistics.

I accept Ukraine's account that Chinese components at the site supplied missiles and drones. Civilian losses are tragic, but the target was the war supply chain. 2X
Jul 19 5 tweets 2 min read
Kasparov: If Ukraine fought the way Putin does, Moscow would be covered in corpses.

Ukraine does not target civilians because it is a state fighting by civilized rules. Russia deliberately attacks Ukrainian cities and kills civilians; that contrast defines this war. 1/ Kasparov: Russia's missile attacks on Ukrainian cities are an intensification of Putin's war, not retaliation for a Ukrainian operation.

His objective remains the destruction of Ukraine as an independent state and the terrorizing of civilians until they capitulate. 2/
Jul 19 5 tweets 2 min read
Kuleba: Stripping temporary protection from military-age Ukrainian men already in the EU would create a serious legal crisis.
They would lose legal status across the bloc and face a choice: return to Ukraine or leave the EU for a country where they could regularize their stay. 1/ Kuleba: The new restriction does not apply to Ukrainians already in the EU under temporary protection, even when they renew it.

It applies to military-age men seeking protection for the first time after leaving Ukraine. 2/
Jul 19 11 tweets 3 min read
Ukraine stopped waiting for US Patriots. Zelenskyy and nine European leaders met in Paris on Monday and launched a coalition to build Ukraine's interceptor, FREYJA.

Fire Point says FREYJA runs cheaper and more scalable than the US Patriot — Rishi Iyengar, Foreign Policy. 1/ Image For years the West armed Ukraine. Now Ukrainian technology sits at the base, and Europe's defense giants bolt their systems onto it.

Fire Point signed with German radar maker Hensoldt last month and calls FREYJA the foundation for the first European missile defense shield. 2/
Jul 19 10 tweets 2 min read
Trump is redirecting U.S. foreign aid toward MAGA-aligned projects in Europe and beyond.

The grants target EU tech rules, “censorship,” national sovereignty, conservative free speech groups and anti-communist messaging, — FT. 1/ Image One proposed grant would put $2M toward efforts to counter “censorship” linked to EU regulations, including the Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act. 2/
Jul 19 5 tweets 2 min read
Macron: France, Germany and the United Kingdom will develop complementary deep-strike capabilities.
France, Germany and Italy will also advance next-generation air defense to strengthen Europe’s conventional deterrence. 1/ Macron: France and Germany are expanding advanced deterrence cooperation to create strategic doubt among our adversaries. Closer nuclear coordination will also generate new conventional defense cooperation. 2/
Jul 19 5 tweets 2 min read
Kellogg: The United States can break Iran’s economic leverage without a ground invasion.

By neutralizing Kharg Island, which handles most Iranian oil, and Iran’s positions controlling the Strait of Hormuz. 1/ Kellogg: American air strikes can isolate Iran’s battlefield, but air power alone will not achieve the objective.

Germany’s Blitz failed to break Britain; bombing can prepare the battlefield, but it cannot finish the job by itself. 2/
Jul 19 4 tweets 2 min read
Kasparov: Putin used Russian money effectively to buy entire Western political parties and corrode the political class.

That system became a foundation strong enough to help his regime survive even under today’s pressure. 1/ Kasparov: More than half of French voters backed openly pro-Putin parties in the first round of the 2022 presidential election.

German AfD is most definitely bought by Russia. Or even were paid from the very beginning. 2X
Jul 19 10 tweets 3 min read
The Insider recorded testimony from Ukrainian POWs freed in May 2026.

The torture they describe is institutional, a method with names for its techniques.

The "tapik" field telephone wired for shocks, the "water treatment," nine-hour interrogations. This is what it did to one finance officer. 1/Image Oleksandr Ivanov, 33, from Kyiv. Chief of the financial service of the 3rd Marine Brigade. When Russia invaded, his brigade was trapped in Mariupol. He sent his men back to Mykolaiv and stayed. Captured in April 2022 during a breakout attempt. 2/
Jul 19 9 tweets 2 min read
Russia can no longer keep its combat aircraft safe in occupied Crimea. A Ukrainian drone costing about $10,000 destroyed a Su-24M bomber worth millions at Saky airfield.

The bomber was minutes from taking off to hit Ukraine when two drones caught it on the ground — United24. 1/ Oleksandr Pivnenko, commander of Ukraine's National Guard, announced the strike on July 16 and released footage of the operation by the Omega Special Purpose Center.

Two strike drones hit the Su-24M as crews readied it at Saky for another mission against Ukraine. 2/
Jul 19 7 tweets 2 min read
Fire Point's Flamingo cruise missile reaches twice as far as the Tomahawk and carries a larger payload at half the cost. Its wings are filled with Styrofoam.

Shtilerman: "They need to fly for 15 hours. Anything beyond that is a waste of money." — The Atlantic.

1/ Image Fire Point now produces roughly 200 long-range drones a day and up to three Flamingo cruise missiles a day. Its missiles reach Siberia.

Nine European countries plus Ukraine just announced a joint anti-ballistic missile coalition — with Fire Point's FP-7x as its basis.

2/
Jul 18 9 tweets 2 min read
FT: Germany is studying Ukraine’s war experience to adapt its own army.

The Bundeswehr is learning from Ukrainian soldiers about drones, counter drone defense, deep strikes, force organization, procurement and rearmament. 1/ Image Christian Freuding, Germany’s land forces chief, says Ukrainian soldiers bring unmatched combat experience and the scale of an 800,000 strong force. He says European and Ukrainian security remain inextricably linked. 2/
Jul 18 8 tweets 2 min read
Ukraine’s 20-somethings are reshaping its war machine and displacing a Soviet-era old guard in defense.

A Defense Ministry staffer in her early 20s found Denmark had earmarked the wrong shells for Ukraine and secured 15,000 long-range rounds, NYT. 1/ Image The staffer works under Oleksii Antoniuk, 24, deputy head of the ministry’s cooperation department.
Oleksii: “If not for her, this wouldn’t have happened.”

Young Ukrainians under 30 are gradually displacing a Soviet-era old guard in defense. 2/
Jul 18 6 tweets 3 min read
Former Ukrainian FM Kuleba: I do not believe Ukraine’s crisis is only about Fedorov’s conflict with Syrskyi or corruption networks in the Defense Ministry.

You do not fall from peak trust and power to a complete rupture with Zelenskyy in six months for those reasons alone. 1/ Kuleba: My hypothesis is that something personal broke between Zelenskyy and Fedorov.

The president learned something that affected him personally and could no longer trust Fedorov as he had for years. 2/
Jul 18 6 tweets 3 min read
Applebaum: Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 partly as a direct challenge to NATO and the United States.

Moscow wanted to prove there was no Western alliance, that Ukraine was not a real country, and that Europe and America would not come to its defense. 1/ Applebaum: Russia wanted to show that it alone was the sovereign power in Eastern Europe and would decide what happened there.

Instead, it was surprised: the United States and a united Europe pulled together and proved that a democratic world still exists. 2/