Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pittsburgh
Apr 6 6 tweets 3 min read
Syrskyi: Russia gets about $700M a day from oil, and that money finances the war.

Our strikes on refineries, Ust-Luga, Primorsk, and missile plants are strategic actions. They cut export capacity, hit military production, and reduce the aggressor’s offensive potential. 1/ Syrskyi: There is no instant straight line from a strike on Ust-Luga to a trench in the east.

But the effect builds over time: fuel delays, disrupted deliveries, tanks that do not arrive, missiles that do not fly, and a smaller stockpile for Russia’s war machine. 2/
Apr 6 6 tweets 3 min read
Syrskyi: Since Jan. 29, we have been conducting an offensive operation on the Oleksandrivsk direction.

As of today, we have liberated more than 480 sq. km. Those actions forced Russia to change plans and shift part of its forces from the Pokrovsk direction. 1/ Syrskyi: Russia advertised a “spring offensive.” In reality, it never stopped attacking. But its plans were disrupted. Pokrovsk still stands.

Every day the enemy attacks, takes losses, rolls back, and ends with dead and wounded — but no success. 2/
Apr 5 11 tweets 2 min read
Russia is moving missile production facilities deeper into its territory.

Ukraine's drone and missile campaign forces the Kremlin to retreat from strike range

Kyiv's long-range strategy is working, — The Telegraph. 1/ Image Roscosmos, Russia's space agency heavily involved in missile production, will relocate facilities from Moscow region to Omsk in Siberia and Perm near the Urals — both far beyond Ukraine's current strike range. 2/
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
How exactly did Ukrainian troops "fuck" NATO during Hedgehog drill?

Daily Mail: First, NATO troops didn't check the roads, some blew up on mines. Next, they got spotted by drones.

Attack drones hit several vehicles at once when parked too close, and hit tanks on the move.

1/ Ukrainian pilots destroyed 17 armored vehicles in a few hours, and defeated 6000 NATO soldiers in 4 days, defending their position.

One NATO commander said: “We are fu**ed”.

2/
Apr 5 5 tweets 2 min read
Korcok, former Slovakia FM: For me, pragmatism means nothing when Fico is betraying the national interests of Slovakia.

He is losing credibility, has no influence within the European Union, and is destroying the credibility of Slovakia. 1/ Korcok: Fico is misleading the public. It is ridiculous to say Ukraine damaged the pipeline.

The cause is Russian aggression and the consequence is that the EU decided to stop taking Russian oil and gas.

While Fico is missing Russian oil, Zelenskyy is missing peace. 2/
Apr 5 11 tweets 3 min read
Here is how the US rescued a downed airman from deep inside Iran.

A two-day manhunt, a CIA deception operation, dozens of aircraft, Special Forces on the ground — while Iranian state TV broadcast a reward for his capture, writes Washington Post. 1/ Image Friday: a US F-15E was shot down over Iran. Both crew members ejected. The pilot was found and rescued quickly.

The weapons system officer was missing. Iranian television broadcast a reward for his capture and called on residents to "target" any Americans they found. 2/
Apr 5 8 tweets 2 min read
Imagine Amazon — but for combat drones. Ukraine built it. Commanders log in, browse hundreds of drone models, pay with brigade credits and receive delivery in 5-10 days.

Successful strikes earn bonus credits. No other military in the world does this — NYT. 1/ Image Capt. Denys Poliachenko was in an icy bunker near Pokrovsk. Russian forces were building up 20 miles away.

His attack drones could not reach that far. He opened his phone and ordered a cold-weather long-range model. "I can order any device sitting in a dugout". 2/
Apr 5 13 tweets 3 min read
A Russian soldier winds along a woodland path, unaware a Ukrainian drone is six minutes away. From a bunker 12 miles away, his thermal signature glows white on a grayscale screen.

Ukraine’s spring offensive reclaimed 400-435 sq km in the south in six weeks — The Times. 1/ Image Two months ago the 82nd Air Assault Brigade was pulled from Pokrovsk to stop a Russian advance at Huliaipole.

Russians were moving 7 km a day, threatening Zaporizhzhia and Pavlohrad — where Ukraine produces rocket fuel for missiles. 2/
Apr 5 9 tweets 4 min read
Russian soldier now fighting for Ukraine: We were told that the Russian army was greeted with open arms.

I was mobilized into the Russian army in 2022. I ended up in the 83rd Separate Airborne Assault Brigade.

Russians tried to re-educate me. Then they decided to bury me. 1/ “Black”: They tried to re-educate me. They showed me videos about biolaboratories, Odessa 2014.

And then told me: “There's nothing to talk to you about”. They decided to send me to waste. 2/
Apr 5 10 tweets 2 min read
“The main motive was to stop the enemy invasion on our land” — Ukrainian officer “Dutchman.”

He left civilian life and joined a volunteer battalion in 2022 as Russia launched a full-scale invasion.

Dutchman had left the army in 2017 — and returned when war began, ArmyInform. 1/ Image His parents reacted “very badly.”

“Dear son, there is war here, what if you get killed?” he recalls. “Of course the reaction was negative.” They still worry, he says, as he serves on the front and rarely comes home. 2/
Apr 5 4 tweets 2 min read
Kasparov: Putin is war. As long as Putin’s Russia exists, the war will continue.

A sovereign Ukraine cannot stand next to this empire, because Ukraine negates its whole logic. This is not chess. There is no draw here. He has to destroy Ukrainian statehood. 1/ Kasparov: Only Ukrainian victory can create conditions for a normal Russian state.

Ukraine that endures and wins becomes the gravedigger of Russian imperialism — the virus that mutated through centuries. That is why Ukraine’s victory is not regional. It is historic. 2X
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
Kasparov: The Iran war has sharply changed the Russia-Ukraine equation.

Arab monarchies that had been pro-Russian because of money laundering and smuggling are now signing deals with Ukraine, because drones made in Iran with that money are flying at them. 1/ Kasparov: Unexpectedly, Zelenskyy is becoming a key figure for states that once leaned toward Moscow.

Laundering money was one thing. But when Iranian drones made with that money start flying at you, Ukraine suddenly becomes the partner that matters most. 2/
Apr 5 6 tweets 3 min read
Kasparov: Hegseth is simply not the kind of person the Pentagon needs in wartime.

One of America’s worst miscalculations was failing to prepare for drone war.

I connect that directly to Trump’s attitude toward Ukraine and to corruption inside the administration. 1/ Kasparov: Russian space intelligence is helping Iran hit American aircraft.

You do not strike planes that accurately without satellite reconnaissance. Yet Washington keeps brushing it off, even though the planes are already hit and that is visible reality. 2/
Apr 5 5 tweets 2 min read
Rubio (2015): Iran after sanctions relief will build up its capabilities, establish dominant military power in the region, and raise the price of U.S. operating there.

They'll build anti-access capabilities, target U.S. servicemen, try to pull us out of the Middle East. 1/ Rubio: At some point Iran will build a nuclear weapon because they will know we can no longer strike their program. This is not imagination.

It exists today. It's called North Korea, where a regime has nuclear weapons and we cannot do anything about it. 2/
Apr 5 14 tweets 3 min read
In 2014, Col. Dovhal's unit aimed Soviet howitzers by hand with artillery compasses, correcting fire by phone through locals.

By 2025, his 147th Separate Artillery Brigade — built from scratch in a year — runs drones, interceptors, EW, and ground robots, UP. 1/ Image The brigade fields 3 artillery battalions, a dedicated recon battalion, FPV and bomber drone units, electronic warfare, and logistics running on unmanned ground vehicles — all under one command on the Pokrovsk axis. 2/
Apr 5 6 tweets 2 min read
Russians want Ukrainians to constantly fear their drone attacks.

Russia launched nearly 6,500 drones in March alone. March 23–24: Russia launched nearly 1,000 drones in a single day. The record since the start of the war — Kyiv Independent.

1/ Image Ballistic missiles now account for 65% of mass strikes — up from 35% in late 2025. Attacks increasingly hit during the day, when people are at work and school.

In the first three months of 2026, Russia launched 150% more missiles than in the same period last year.

2/
Apr 5 7 tweets 2 min read
Zelenskyy: The situation at Hormuz mirrors what Russia did to our Black Sea food corridor. We destroyed part of their fleet — they retreated. We ran civilian convoys using sea drones.

Nobody asked us to come help with Hormuz, only to share our experience. — AP.

1/ Image Zelenskyy: Russians love to talk about compromise but never make it. They speak only in ultimatums.

I am 100% convinced Russia wants to fully occupy us.

We need a ceasefire, security guarantees — then diplomacy.

2/
Apr 4 6 tweets 3 min read
Sikorski: When the U.S. went into the Vietnam War, the UK did not join.

NATO has survived these problems before, like France leaving the Joint Command and the Iraq war. We are free countries. We have public opinion. 1/ Sikorski: Poland spends the largest share of GDP on defense in NATO, 4.8% more than the United States, and our military budget is $55 billion a year.

But we're still at peace, and we're closer now to understanding each other's [US-NATO] approaches. 2/
Apr 4 9 tweets 2 min read
Every US president chose diplomacy over force, waited too long, and North Korea now has 50 nuclear warheads and ICBMs that can reach the continental US that mistake with Iran by learning North Korea lesson.

Trump decided not to repeat that mistake with Iran, writes WSJ. 1/ Image In 1984 the CIA warned North Korea was pursuing weapons-grade plutonium.

Pyongyang joined the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 1985 — then spent years delaying safeguards, blocking inspectors and advancing its program in secret. 2/
Apr 4 9 tweets 2 min read
“The frontline is like Terminator. A land robot arrives at your position and there is nothing you can do about it.” — drone operator Bambi.

Ukraine’s ground robots hold positions for 45 days, evacuate wounded and take prisoners, The Guardian. 1/ Image Land robots now handle 90% of Ukrainian army logistics. In January alone Ukraine’s forces carried out a record 7,000 ground vehicle operations.

Russian FPV drones make it nearly impossible for humans to move supplies or evacuate wounded without being killed. 2/ Image
Apr 4 9 tweets 2 min read
“Like having a visit by the Third Reich” — that is how Rep. Joe Wilson described the arrival of Russian parliament members at Capitol Hill.

Kara-Murza in Washington Post: appeasing an aggressor never leads to peace. The 20th century proved it. 1/ Image Five members of Russia’s rubber-stamp Duma arrived in Washington — the first such delegation since Putin annexed Crimea in March 2014.

The group was led by Vyacheslav Nikonov, a United Russia lawmaker and grandson of Stalin’s Foreign Minister Molotov. 2/